The short answer is that it seems you know what you've got in a coaching staff by year two.
I was curious to see how the rest of the 2011 coaching changes looked after two years. (one and a half really)
There were 21 coaching changes in 2011. Of those, there are 4 coaches who have not improved their records over both their predecessor and their first year.
I think we can all agree that, despite his dropping numbers, David Shaw is doing a fine job at Stanford. That leaves Embree as one of 3 coaches that has come in and completely **** the bed.
Some other random info.
Of the 21 coaches hired, only 7 came in and posted an improved record over the previous coach in their first year (5 of these 7 saw a drop between the first year and second year). 12 of the coaches improved their record between their first and second years.
There are still 4-6 games to play in the second years for these coaches so things could vary a bit. But, it seems to me that the second year is where you see the benefit from the coaching staff with almost 60% of the 2011 hires showing improvement by the second year.
Full Data:
I was curious to see how the rest of the 2011 coaching changes looked after two years. (one and a half really)
There were 21 coaching changes in 2011. Of those, there are 4 coaches who have not improved their records over both their predecessor and their first year.
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I think we can all agree that, despite his dropping numbers, David Shaw is doing a fine job at Stanford. That leaves Embree as one of 3 coaches that has come in and completely **** the bed.
Some other random info.
Of the 21 coaches hired, only 7 came in and posted an improved record over the previous coach in their first year (5 of these 7 saw a drop between the first year and second year). 12 of the coaches improved their record between their first and second years.
There are still 4-6 games to play in the second years for these coaches so things could vary a bit. But, it seems to me that the second year is where you see the benefit from the coaching staff with almost 60% of the 2011 hires showing improvement by the second year.
Full Data:
| School | Out | In | Final Year | Year 1 | Year 2 |
| Arkansas State | Steve Roberts | Hugh Freeze | 0.33 | 0.77 | 0.57 |
| Ball State | Stan Parrish | Pete Lembo | 0.33 | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| Colorado | Dan Hawkins | Jon Embree | 0.42 | 0.23 | 0.14 |
| Connecticut | Randy Edsall | Paul Pasqualoni | 0.62 | 0.42 | 0.38 |
| Florida | Urban Meyer | Will Muschamp | 0.62 | 0.54 | 1.00 |
| Indiana | Bill Lynch | Kevin Wilson | 0.42 | 0.08 | 0.29 |
| Kent State | Doug Martin | Darrell Hazell | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.86 |
| Louisiana-Lafayette | Ricky Bustle | Mark Hudspeth | 0.25 | 0.69 | 0.67 |
| Maryland | Ralph Friedgen | Randy Edsall | 0.69 | 0.17 | 0.57 |
| Miami (Fla.) | Randy Shannon | Al Golden | 0.54 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Miami (Ohio) | Michael Haywood | Don Treadwell | 0.71 | 0.33 | 0.43 |
| Michigan | Rich Rodriguez | Brady Hoke | 0.54 | 0.85 | 0.71 |
| Minnesota | Tim Brewster | Jerry Kill | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.57 |
| Northern Illinois | Jerry Kill | Dave Doeren | 0.79 | 0.79 | 0.88 |
| North Texas | Todd Dodge | Dan McCarney | 0.25 | 0.42 | 0.43 |
| Pittsburgh | Dave Wannstedt | Todd Graham | 0.62 | 0.46 | NA |
| San Diego State | Brady Hoke | Rocky Long | 0.69 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| Stanford | Jim Harbaugh | David Shaw | 0.92 | 0.85 | 0.71 |
| Temple | Al Golden | Steve Addazio | 0.67 | 0.69 | 0.50 |
| Tulsa | Todd Graham | Bill Blankenship | 0.77 | 0.62 | 0.88 |
| Vanderbilt | Robbie Caldwell | James Franklin | 0.17 | 0.46 | 0.43 |
