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2013 Pac-12 Tournament: Colorado vs OSU Game Thread

allbuffs

allbuffs

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Join us today for the 2.30pm PST (3.30MT) as the Pac-12 opens its inaugural Vegas based post season Basketball tournament. All of the games will be carried live on the Pac-12 network today including CU vs OSU. The Buffs will look to avenge their recent home loss to the Beavers and for those of you who have been under a rock for the past 12 hours it looks like we'll have Andre Roberson back and starting for us today.

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As of right now I dont have an online stream available so if you know of one please post it, chat will be open.

jgisland said:
Buffs favored by 5.5 in vegas right now. Line moved from 4.5 yesterday before the Dre announcement. The O/U is 134. KenPom has the buffs by 6. 71-65 with a 72% likelihood of winning. Sagarin has CU as a 5 point favorite and sevenovertimes has the buffs a 5 pt fav (70-65) with a 69% chance of winning.
Click to expand...
 
Buffs favored by 5.5 in vegas right now. Line moved from 4.5 yesterday before the Dre announcement. The O/U is 134. KenPom has the buffs by 6. 71-65 with a 72% likelihood of winning. Sagarin has CU as a 5 point favorite and sevenovertimes has the buffs a 5 pt fav (70-65) with a 69% chance of winning.
 
jgisland said:
Buffs favored by 5.5 in vegas right now. Line moved from 4.5 yesterday before the Dre announcement. The O/U is 134. KenPom has the buffs by 6. 71-65 with a 72% likelihood of winning. Sagarin has CU as a 5 point favorite and sevenovertimes has the buffs a 5 pt fav (70-65) with a 69% chance of winning.
Click to expand...

Sounds about right, the over/under might be a little high I think. I was thinking we'd have a 65% chance of winning and 5.5 would be a good spread.
 
I'm feeling pretty good about this - I hope ski gets his stroke at least partially back and pours in ten. A confidence building game today could put him on a hot streak for the next 3 games, and possibly continue into the big dance.
 
jgisland said:
Buffs favored by 5.5 in vegas right now. Line moved from 4.5 yesterday before the Dre announcement. The O/U is 134. KenPom has the buffs by 6. 71-65 with a 72% likelihood of winning. Sagarin has CU as a 5 point favorite and sevenovertimes has the buffs a 5 pt fav (70-65) with a 69% chance of winning.
Click to expand...

thanks JG - update the top post to reflect this.
 
KenPom does odds to get to each round based on his #'s

Here they are:

Seed
TeamQtrsSemisFinalChamp
4Arizona10067.943.330.1
3Oregon10065.13715.5
2California10069.637.815.5
1UCLA10055.523.914
8Stanford66.233.114.28.3
5Colorado72.226.913.88
6Washington50.9187.62.2
11Wash. St.49.11772
7USC57.318.971.8
9Arizona St.33.811.43.21.4
10Utah42.711.53.50.7
12Oregon St.27.85.21.50.5
 
jgisland said:
Here were last year's odds.

SeedTeamQtrsSemisFinalChamp
6Colorado92.836.310.53.9
Click to expand...
Hmm. we got some crappier matchups in the early rounds this year, but somehow we still have a better chance to go the final AND we double our chances to win.
 
RealTimeRPI gives CU a 66.7% chance of winning, predicts Buffs win 67-57.

CU RPI 36, Oregon State 179....please, for the love of god, do not lose.
 
absinthe said:
we are in DEEP **** if we lose this.
Click to expand...

Agreed. of the 4 remaining in the regular season, OSU was one that we really couldnt drop. Need to get it back this time, perhaps the selection comm will blame the loss on dre being on the bench and basically wave it.
 
jgisland said:
KenPom does odds to get to each round based on his #'s

Here they are:

Seed
Team
Qtrs
Semis
Final
Champ
4
Arizona
100
67.9
43.3
30.1
3
Oregon
100
65.1
37
15.5
2
California
100
69.6
37.8
15.5
1
UCLA
100
55.5
23.9
14
8
Stanford
66.2
33.1
14.2
8.3
5
Colorado
72.2
26.9
13.8
8
6
Washington
50.9
18
7.6
2.2
11
Wash. St.
49.1
17
7
2
7
USC
57.3
18.9
7
1.8
9
Arizona St.
33.8
11.4
3.2
1.4
10
Utah
42.7
11.5
3.5
0.7
12
Oregon St.
27.8
5.2
1.5
0.5
Click to expand...

What were our odds last year? Under 2%
 
cubuffs85 said:
Not sure about that, if were likely avoiding the First Four anyways which has been mentioned by some on here.
Click to expand...

We have a little breathing room from the First Four according to the Bracket Matrix, but not much. We'll get in if we lose, but I wouldn't bet heavily on avoiding the First Four, although it's certainly possible. Largely would depend on what others do as well.
 
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