2022 Pac-12 Season (Men's & Women's)

[Buffnik]

Saturday, March 5

Men's Standings
1. Arizona (18-2). 28-3 overall. #2 NET
2. UCLA (15-5). 23-6 overall. #11 NET
3. USC (14-6). 25-6 overall. #33 NET
4. COLORADO (12-8). 20-10 overall. #75 NET
5. Oregon (11-9). 18-13 overall. #74 NET
6. Washington (11-9). 16-14 overall. #118 NET
7. Washington State (11-9). 18-13 overall. #58 NET
8. Arizona State (10-10). 14-16 overall. #96 NET
9. Stanford (8-12). 15-15 overall. #109 NET
10. California (5-15). 12-19 overall. #142 NET
11. Utah (4-16). 11-19 overall. #127 NET
12. Oregon State (1-19). 3-27 overall. #253 NET

Women's Standings
1. Stanford (16-0). 25-3 overall. #3 NET
2. Oregon (11-6). 19-10 overall. #12 NET
3. Washington State (11-6). 19-9 overall. #58 NET
4. Arizona (10-6). 20-6 overall. #17 NET
5. COLORADO (9-7). 20-7 overall. #29 NET
6. Utah (8-7). 17-10 overall. #27 NET
7. UCLA (8-8). 13-11 overall. #41 NET
8. Oregon State (6-9). 13-12 overall. #56 NET
9. Arizona State (4-9). 12-13 overall. #45 NET
10. USC (5-12). 12-15 overall. #73 NET
11. California (2-10). 11-12 overall. #89 NET
12. Washington (2-12). 7-15 overall. #96 NET

As a reminder:
Top 4 get Byes in the Pac-12 tournament.

Rule of thumb:
Top 50 in NET is usually a good sign that a Power Conference team will make the Dance (as long as it has a winning record).

Pac-12 Men's Tourney: March 9-12 (T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas). Televised on PACN, FOX and FS1, with the Final on FOX.
Pac-12 Women's Tourney: March 2-6 (Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas). All games on PACN, except the Final on ESPN2.

 

[Lightning]

Saturday, February 19th

Men's Standings
1. Arizona (13-1). 23-2 overall. #2 NET
2. USC (11-4). 22-4 overall. #26 NET
3. UCLA (10-4). 18-5 overall. #13 NET
4. Oregon (10-5). 17-9 overall. #72 NET
5. Washington (8-6). 13-11 overall. #129 NET
6. COLORADO (9-7). 17-9 overall. #85 NET
7. Stanford (8-8). 15-11 overall. #99 NET
8. Washington State (7-7). 14-11 overall. #48 NET
9. Arizona State (5-9). 9-15 overall. #119 NET
10. California (4-12). 11-16 overall. #139 NET
11. Utah (3-13). 10-16 overall. #125 NET
12. Oregon State (1-13). 3-21 overall. #249 NET

Women's Standings
1. Stanford (13-0). 22-3 overall. #3 NET
2. Oregon (10-4). 18-8 overall. #10 NET
3. Arizona (9-4). 19-4 overall. #11 NET
4. Washington State (9-5). 17-8 overall. #65 NET
5. Utah (6-6). 15-9 overall. #26 NET
6. COLORADO (6-7). 17-7 overall. #32 NET
7. UCLA (6-7). 11-10 overall. #58 NET
8. Oregon State (5-7). 12-10 overall. #50 NET
9. Arizona State (4-6). 12-10 overall. #39 NET
10. USC (4-10). 11-13 overall. #76 NET
11. California (2-7). 11-9 overall. #88 NET
12. Washington (0-11). 5-14 overall. #114 NET

As a reminder:
Top 4 get Byes in the Pac-12 tournament.

Rule of thumb:
Top 50 in NET is usually a good sign that a Power Conference team will make the Dance (as long as it has a winning record).

Pac-12 Men's Tourney: March 9-12 (T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas). Televised on PACN, FOX and FS1, with the Final on FOX.
Pac-12 Women's Tourney: March 2-6 (Mandalay Bay Events Center, Las Vegas). All games on PACN, except the Final on ESPN2.

A 3-1 finish (doable but will be tough) could get the men into 4th place.

 

[Da Lama]

How the hell does WSU hold a #48 NET???

 

[Buffnik]

How the hell does WSU hold a #48 NET???

They've got some sneaky good wins (Seattle, Weber, Winthrop). But there's really not much there. Our Montana State win is as good as any of theirs in the non-con - and we actually beat Eastern Washington. Still, there's a major risk that they'd get an at-large over the Buffs if we're both on the Bubble for the Pac-12 getting a 4th bid.

 

[CarolinaBuff]

We will almost certainly have to win the conference tournament in order to get in

 

[Buffnik]

We will almost certainly have to win the conference tournament in order to get in

As it stands today.

A lot can happen still.

I'll be curious to see what things look like after tonight. If we beat Stanford, things start looking better.

A couple things that would help our resume beyond the obvious are that we're 4-4 in road games and 2-1 neutral. If we can get wins at Stanford and Utah to finish, that 6-4 will look nice. And in the P12T, we'd probably need to reach the final - which would push us to 4-2 even with a loss. That 2-1 in the P12T likely gets us another 2 Q2/Q1 wins, too.

But we need tonight or it's hard to see a path that doesn't require the P12T title (even if we beat Arizona next week).

 

[Da Lama]

They've got some sneaky good wins (Seattle, Weber, Winthrop). But there's really not much there. Our Montana State win is as good as any of theirs in the non-con - and we actually beat Eastern Washington. Still, there's a major risk that they'd get an at-large over the Buffs if we're both on the Bubble for the Pac-12 getting a 4th bid.

See, this is the problem with the formula. Seattle has run out a nice record because they play in what is basically a D2 conference. Winthrop slightly better conference, but the same thing. Weber is always decent, so I’ll give you that. I guarantee 95% of the NET teams #49-70 beat WSU head to head.

 

[Da Lama]

They've got some sneaky good wins (Seattle, Weber, Winthrop). But there's really not much there. Our Montana State win is as good as any of theirs in the non-con - and we actually beat Eastern Washington. Still, there's a major risk that they'd get an at-large over the Buffs if we're both on the Bubble for the Pac-12 getting a 4th bid.

NM

 

[Buffnik]

As usual, BPI hates us. That ESPN metric factors in an "altitude advantage" which downgrades our home wins. BPI gives Stanford a 71% chance to win tonight.

 

[BuffsNYC]

As usual, BPI hates us. That ESPN metric factors in an "altitude advantage" which downgrades our home wins. BPI gives Stanford a 71% chance to win tonight.

 

[Buffnik]

I'll update the OP again after today's games.

Men's schedule:
Washington State @ USC, 5:30 FS1

For the P12T seeding, if you don't get the BYE you want the 6-seed instead of the 5 because a win vs OSU is worthless for the resume. Much better to play Utah or Cal since OSU is the only Quad 4 neutral opponent on the Men's side.

Women's schedule:
Arizona @ Washington State, 1:00 PACN
Utah @ UCLA, 1:00 PACN
Cal @ Oregon State, 1:00 PACN
Arizona State @ Washington, 1:00 PACN
Stanford @ Oregon, 2:00 PACN
COLORADO @ USC, 2:00 PACN

Buffs still alive for the 4-seed. Need to win out with Utah losing 1 of 3 and for WSU to go 0/3 against Arizona, Stanford and then the finale @ Cal. We own the tiebreaker with UCLA, so it's fine if the Bruins beat the Utes today. Like with the Men, if we don't get the 4-seed, it's better to finish with the 5 than the 6 since Washington doesn't do much for the resume (it's the only Quad 3 neutral game on the Women's side).

 

[Buffnik]

Women's standings are updated for today since all the games are final.

Buffs have a tough finish at home next week, hosting the Oregon schools. But opportunity to make a bit of a statement heading into the P12T.

 

[Buffnik]

Men's schedule this week:

Mon: ASU (52) at UCLA (66)
Tue: NONE
Wed: Washington at Wazzu (9pm, ESPNU)
Thu: ASU at COLORADO (7pm, PACN); UCLA at Oregon (7:30pm, ESPN); Zona at Utah (9pm, FS1); USC at OSU (9pm, ESPN2)
Fri: NONE
Sat: UCLA at OSU (2pm, CBS); Wazzu at Washington (4pm, PACN); Zona at COLORADO (6pm); Stanford at Cal (6:30pm, PACN); USC at Oregon (8pm); ASU at Utah (8pm, ESPNU)
Sun: NONE

Women's schedule this week (final week of regular season):

Wed: Oregon at COLORADO (7pm, PACN)
Thu: USC at ASU (5pm); OSU at Utah (5:30pm); UCLA at Zona (7pm); Washington at Cal (8pm); WSU at Stanford (9pm, PACN)
Fri: NONE
Sat: USC at Zona (12pm); UCLA at ASU (12pm); OSU at COLORADO (12pm); UW at Stanford (1pm); Oregon at Utah (1pm, PACN); WSU at Cal (1pm)

-----------------------------------------------
Buffs looking for both programs to get to 20 regular season wins and secure winning records in Pac-12 play this week. I don't think we've done that before.

 

[buffgal]

Charlie Creme's Bracketology now shows CU as one of the last 4 byes and a 10 seed in the Spokane Region. He has the 10 seed playing Ohio State in Ames, Iowa. If, and that's a big if given our offense, they could beat Ohio State, they would most likely face Iowa State to move on. I hope this happens because I would get to see the team play.

He has Oregon as a 5 seed and Oregon State in the first four out. This will be a tough week of games for the women.

 

[Buffnik]

Updated OP.

Women's standings are final and match the tournament bracket (starts tomorrow). Buffs aren't hurt on NET from a 5-12 game considering that UW is NET 96.

Men's standings slightly adjust tonight after the Arizona vs USC game. Hoping to stay awake for that 9pm tip.

 

[Buffnik]

 

[BuffsNYC]

Oregon dick-stepping to end the season. Looks like whatever happens, we will get them on the second day of the tournament.

 

[Buffnik]

Men's standings updated above.

Here's the bracket: