2023 Season Record Prediction

[Buffnik]

Since we now have both our coaching staff and substantially all of our roster (77 of 85 scholarships) set, and we know what opponent rosters look like, let's get out our crystal balls.

Beyond your number for the poll question:

- what's your upside and downside number?
- which games do you see as the key swing games?
- what percentage chance do you give for our Buffs to make the Pac-12 Championship game?

Schedule
9/2 @ TCU
9/9 vs Nebraska
9/16 vs CSU
9/23 @ Oregon
9/30 vs USC
10/7 @ ASU
10/13 vs Stanford
10/21 BYE
10/28 @ UCLA
11/4 vs Oregon State
11/11 vs Arizona
11/17 @ Washington State
11/25 @ Utah

 

[Bread]

Picked: 6
Upside: 9
Downside: 4
Swingers: UCLA, Or. St, nubs, Tini’s mom
Chance to make it to P12 champ game: 15%

 

[Big Jim]

Six wins. Eight wins upside, four downside.

Almost certain wins: CSU and Stanford
Likely wins: Nebraska and Arizona
50/50 (would be likely wins as home games): ASU, UCLA, OSU and WSU
Unlikely wins: TCU and Utah
Almost certain losses: Oregon and USC

 

[Buffnik]

Picked: 8
Upside: 10
Downside: 5
Swing: TCU, UCLA, OSU, Utah
P12C: 10%

 

[TDforTD]

I say 6 wins and then we absolutely hammer an unfortunate team in a bowl game that has no place playing us given our SOS.

 

[The Alabaster Yak]

Even with the staff and roster known, it's hard to predict, so I say 6 wins. Floor is 4 wins, ceiling is probably 9 wins.

Swing games are Nebraska, @UCLA and Oregon State. Win those three and it feels like there's a great chance at 8 wins. Lose those 3 and they could easily start 1-4 on their way to another sub-.500 season.

10% chance of Pac 12 Championship Game

 

[Burrito]

Yes

 

[LesGrossman]

Low: 3
Mid: 5
High: 7-8

TCU: Tossup
Nebraska: Tossup
CSU: W
Oregon: L
USC: L
ASU: Tossup
Stanford: W
UCLA: Likely L but possible signature win
Oregon State: L
Arizona: Tossup
WSU: Tossup
Utah: L

I’m expecting somewhere in the 3-5 win range. Next year is likely 7-8 wins imo

 

[Leon Sandcastle]

Schedule
9/2 @ TCU L
9/9 vs Nebraska W
9/16 vs CSU W
9/23 @ Oregon L
9/30 vs USC L
10/7 @ ASU W
10/13 vs Stanford W
10/21 BYE
10/28 @ UCLA L
11/4 vs Oregon State W
11/11 vs Arizona W
11/17 @ Washington State W
11/25 @ Utah L

7 - with the most unlikely win coming against OSU

 

[goalline]

Six wins. Eight wins upside, four downside.

Almost certain wins: CSU and Stanford
Likely wins: Nebraska and Arizona
50/50 (would be likely wins as home games): ASU, UCLA, OSU and WSU
Unlikely wins: TCU and Utah
Almost certain losses: Oregon and USC

This.

 

[Not Sure]

Yes

In!




Am I doing this right?

 

[Burrito]

Low: 3
Mid: 5
High: 7-8

TCU: Tossup
Nebraska: Tossup
CSU: W
Oregon: L
USC: L
ASU: Tossup
Stanford: W
UCLA: Likely L but possible signature win
Oregon State: L
Arizona: Tossup
WSU: Tossup
Utah: L

I’m expecting somewhere in the 3-5 win range. Next year is likely 7-8 wins imo

3-8 wins?

 

[Da Lama]

6-6 and a bowl invite.

9/2 @ TCU - L
9/9 vs Nebraska - W
9/16 vs CSU - W
9/23 @ Oregon - L
9/30 vs USC - L
10/7 @ ASU - W
10/13 vs Stanford - W
10/21 BYE
10/28 @ UCLA - L
11/4 vs Oregon State - W
11/11 vs Arizona - W
11/17 @ Washington State - L
11/25 @ Utah - L

 

[Bison]

Low: 4
High: 7

@ TCU L
Nebraska W
CSU W
@ Oregon L
USC L
@ ASU W
vs Stanford W
@ UCLA L
vs Oregon State W
vs Arizona W
@ Washington State L
@ Utah L

For sure wins: Nubs, CSU, Stanford, Arizona.
Tossup: @ASU, OSU, @WSU.
For sure losses: @TCU, @Oregon, USC, @UCLA, @Utah

 

[BuffinCali]

- what's your upside and downside number? 10 wins with a possible upset of Oregon. 6 wins if they do not upset fUCLA, OSU and UO
- which games do you see as the key swing games? Upsetting fUCLA & OSU
- what percentage chance do you give for our Buffs to make the Pac-12 Championship game? 65%

Schedule
9/2 @ TCU (W)
9/9 vs Nebraska (W)
9/16 vs CSU (W)
9/23 @ Oregon
9/30 vs USC
10/7 @ ASU (W)
10/13 vs Stanford (W)
10/21 BYE
10/28 @ UCLA (W)
11/4 vs Oregon State (W)
11/11 vs Arizona (W)
11/17 @ Washington State (W)
11/25 @ Utah

 

[Gary Indiana]

Picked: 6
Upside: 9
Downside: 4
Swingers: UCLA, Or. St, nubs, Tini’s mom
Chance to make it to P12 champ game: 15%

Nailed it. This is pretty much my thought exactly.

 

[Gary Indiana]

- what's your upside and downside number? 10 wins with a possible upset of Oregon. 6 wins if they do not upset fUCLA, OSU and UO
- which games do you see as the key swing games? Upsetting fUCLA & OSU
- what percentage chance do you give for our Buffs to make the Pac-12 Championship game? 65%

Schedule
9/2 @ TCU (W)
9/9 vs Nebraska (W)
9/16 vs CSU (W)
9/23 @ Oregon
9/30 vs USC
10/7 @ ASU (W)
10/13 vs Stanford (W)
10/21 BYE
10/28 @ UCLA (W)
11/4 vs Oregon State (W)
11/11 vs Arizona (W)
11/17 @ Washington State (W)
11/25 @ Utah

 

[LesGrossman]

3-8 wins?

View attachment 61558

It’s gonna be 3, I just have to hedge for the sunshine pumpers before they start crying. Purely a public service top line number

 

[Daaah]

9/2 @ TCU - L
9/9 vs Nebraska - W
9/16 vs CSU - W
9/23 @ Oregon - L
9/30 vs USC - L
10/7 @ ASU - W
10/13 vs Stanford - W
10/21 BYE
10/28 @ UCLA - L
11/4 vs Oregon State - L
11/11 vs Arizona - W
11/17 @ Washington State - W
11/25 @ Utah - L

 

[Victory]

It’s kind of an unknowable question. We haven’t seen any of these guys play together except for some at JSU and the spring game (sort of).

Talent wise we could go 11-1 or 6-6. I don’t see us doing worse than 6-6.

 

[Buffnik]

It’s kind of an unknowable question. We haven’t seen any of these guys play together except for some at JSU and the spring game (sort of).

Talent wise we could go 11-1 or 6-6. I don’t see us doing worse than 6-6.

It's always unanswerable. We're just on the far edge of the bell curve on having limited data to make an educated guess.

 

[buff4bcs1985]

I say 6 wins and then we absolutely hammer an unfortunate team in a bowl game that has no place playing us given our SOS.

Say.... Alabama vs CU independence bowl 2007

 

[Victory]

It's always unanswerable. We're just on the far edge of the bell curve on having limited data to make an educated guess.

Another way to put it, talent wise, on paper, where does this team fit in since 2006?

I could make a case, based on projected NFL talent, it’s #2. And #1 was a 10 win team. So it could be in that vicinity based on that angle.

 

[Buffnik]

Another way to put it, talent wise, on paper, where does this team fit in since 2006?

I could make a case, based on projected NFL talent, it’s #2. And #1 was a 10 win team. So it could be in that vicinity based on that angle.

I believe it's more talented than 2016. Depth puts it over the top along with having a QB who is likely to have an NFL career.

 

[BuffBronco]

So hard to predict, but I'll throw this one in

Buffs will beat USC!

2024 will be when it all goes down. Heisman Trophy QB, senior laden team, extra recruiting class

Playoffs or bust

 

[CarolinaBuff]

Seems like there's a wide range on how many wins given we have basically a new team but the talent level is also vastly improved. My best guess is the 5-7 win range and I went with the slightly optimistic 7 wins.

 

[hokiehead]

I know that running the table is really rare in CFB these days, but I'm struggling to find a loss on the schedule.

#ibelieve

 

[buffaholic]

9-4

 

[BuffsNYC]

2, but geometric progression. In 2026 we will win 16 games.

 

[Buffnik]

We have playmakers on offense, we're loaded with secondary talent, and we've got some dudes at ILB. The only real questions are in the trenches because the pass rush is gonna be fire.