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Big Week Ahead For Tournament Hopes

jcatcher

jcatcher

Club Member
WSU is 171 in RPI and would be a really bad loss if it were to happen. Washington is 69, but plays at Utah before coming here. Utah has a bad RPI, but we all know it is tough to get a win in Salt Lake City. UW could be closer to 100 than to 50 after that game. Two wins would put us at 17-6, 6-4 in Conference. Two more wins after that and maybe one in Vegas would put us safely in. Lose either one of these two this week and we are officially a bubble team looking at a tough schedule to finish the season.

I'm incredibly encouraged after Saturday's win, but I will be sweating it out all week.
 
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Buffs have a legitimate shot at a 3 game win streak and winning 4 of 5 before the Az schools come to town.
 
I just noticed that RealTime RPI hasn't updated since Saturday morning. Our win over Utah and UW's loss to WSU aren't factored in yet.
 
jcatcher said:
I just noticed that RealTime RPI hasn't updated since Saturday morning. Our win over Utah and UW's loss to WSU aren't factored in yet.
Click to expand...


Colorado = 25
Washington = 80
WSU = 154



UCLA = 19
Arizona = 2
Arizona St = 47
Oregon = 46
Cal = 43
Stanford = 50
Oregon St = 88
Utah = 118
USC = 124


huge bubble watch for half the entire PAC12.
 
jcatcher said:
WSU is 171 in RPI and would be a really bad loss if it were to happen. Washington is 69, but plays at Utah before coming here. Utah has a bad RPI, but we all know it is tough to get a win in Salt Lake City. UW could be closer to 100 than to 50 after that game. Two wins would put us at 17-6, 6-4 in Conference. Two more wins after that and maybe one in Vegas would put us safely in. Lose either one of these two this week and we are officially a bubble team looking at a tough schedule to finish the season.

I'm incredibly encouraged after Saturday's win, but I will be sweating it out all week.
Click to expand...
Think we'll be sweating it out the rest of the way or let's put it this way, when we aren't sweating it out that's not a good thing. Fasten your seat belts...
 
Shldr2Shldr said:
I want to go 6 of 7 on that stretch. Really want that UofA win. 5-7 would be great for tournament chances though.
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That's a little greedy, but that would be great. I get looking at the big picture, I just did that after all, but I'm really just taking it one game at a time.
 
A loss to either of those two teams hurts, more then a win really boosts CU's tournament standing. The committee is still going to want CU to show they can beat a tourney caliber team, and Washington and Washington State are not that.

Hopefully they get two wins, and can build some confidence for the LA road trip.
 
rolandftw said:
A loss to either of those two teams hurts, more then a win really boosts CU's tournament standing. The committee is still going to want CU to show they can beat a tourney caliber team, and Washington and Washington State are not that.

Hopefully they get two wins, and can build some confidence for the LA road trip.
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I think they want to see us win a road game and preferably a team better than USC.
 
This stretch is going to be key. We HAVE to avoid bad losses down the stretch (Wazzu, UT, USC).
This is also going to be huge for Conf tourney seeding. We are in a 5 way tie for 3rd, with ASU and UW holding the tiebreakers over us, and us holding one over OSU with 0 remaining games with them. Stanford is also in the mix, but we only get them once this season as well. A win there could be crucial if things continue as they are going now.

All that being said, I noticed our RPI was 25. No team with an end-of-season RPI under 30 has ever gotten left out of the dance, and the lowest RPI that got left out of the dance was missouri st bears about 8 years ago. If I remember right, their RPI was 33-35
 
wyobuff said:
This stretch is going to be key. We HAVE to avoid bad losses down the stretch (Wazzu, UT, USC).
This is also going to be huge for Conf tourney seeding. We are in a 5 way tie for 3rd, with ASU and UW holding the tiebreakers over us, and us holding one over OSU with 0 remaining games with them. Stanford is also in the mix, but we only get them once this season as well. A win there could be crucial if things continue as they are going now.

All that being said, I noticed our RPI was 25. No team with an end-of-season RPI under 30 has ever gotten left out of the dance, and the lowest RPI that got left out of the dance was missouri st bears about 8 years ago. If I remember right, their RPI was 33-35
Click to expand...


where was Drexel in 2012? anyone remember.

And Missouri State had an RPI is 21 when they were snubbed. Just criminal.
 
I thought mizzou state RPI was higher than that, thanks.
As for 2011-2012 drexel, their RPI was 66, SOS 189
 
jcatcher said:
WSU is 171 in RPI and would be a really bad loss if it were to happen. Washington is 69, but plays at Utah before coming here. Utah has a bad RPI, but we all know it is tough to get a win in Salt Lake City. UW could be closer to 100 than to 50 after that game. Two wins would put us at 17-6, 6-4 in Conference. Two more wins after that and maybe one in Vegas would put us safely in. Lose either one of these two this week and we are officially a bubble team looking at a tough schedule to finish the season.

I'm incredibly encouraged after Saturday's win, but I will be sweating it out all week.
Click to expand...

two wins over the washington schools would put us at 18-6 7-4.
 
wyobuff said:
This stretch is going to be key. We HAVE to avoid bad losses down the stretch (Wazzu, UT, USC).
5
Click to expand...

Not picking on you Wyo but CU fans need to prepare themselves for a 3 game losing streak to close the season, they also need to realize that Utah in their gym is no joke - we will not be favored in that game and will likely lose it. We need to sweep these three, beat USC in their house split the Arizona schools (or win @ Furd) and win at least 1 in the pac-12 tourney to be certain of getting in, if we get swept by the Arizona schools then we may need 2 pac-12 tourney wins to get in.
 
absinthe said:
Not picking on you Wyo but CU fans need to prepare themselves for a 3 game losing streak to close the season, they also need to realize that Utah in their gym is no joke - we will not be favored in that game and will likely lose it. We need to sweep these three, beat USC in their house split the Arizona schools (or win @ Furd) and win at least 1 in the pac-12 tourney to be certain of getting in, if we get swept by the Arizona schools then we may need 2 pac-12 tourney wins to get in.
Click to expand...

I agree if those games were played today. They are a month from now. Teams can change & grow up a lot in that time. Likewise, some of those teams that look good now could suffer a key injury or tank by that time. If Stanford starts losing, they could draw 3,500 fans to that game on their court.
 
absinthe said:
Not picking on you Wyo but CU fans need to prepare themselves for a 3 game losing streak to close the season, they also need to realize that Utah in their gym is no joke - we will not be favored in that game and will likely lose it. We need to sweep these three, beat USC in their house split the Arizona schools (or win @ Furd) and win at least 1 in the pac-12 tourney to be certain of getting in, if we get swept by the Arizona schools then we may need 2 pac-12 tourney wins to get in.
Click to expand...

Believe me, I'm not too high on how they will close out the season right now (and kinda annoyed that 2 of the last 3 years, we've closed the season w 3 road games). I know UT in SLC is no joke - I remember what happened last year. We barely got them on OUR court, so going there is going to be tough. We need to steal 1 in the bay area if at all possible.

We are halfway through conference play - closing out the season isnt going to be easy, but they are going to have to get some wins to make the dance - I think we can all agree on that.
 
Buffnik said:
I agree if those games were played today. They are a month from now. Teams can change & grow up a lot in that time. Likewise, some of those teams that look good now could suffer a key injury or tank by that time. If Stanford starts losing, they could draw 3,500 fans to that game on their court.
Click to expand...

Would take an incredible run of wins for Stanford to draw a huge 3,500 crowd ;)
 
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