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How many wins for the Buffs this year?

How many wins?

  • 0

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 1

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 2

    Votes: 2 1.6%

  • 3

    Votes: 5 3.9%

  • 4

    Votes: 18 14.0%

  • 5

    Votes: 38 29.5%

  • 6

    Votes: 45 34.9%

  • 7

    Votes: 13 10.1%

  • 8

    Votes: 3 2.3%

  • 9

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • 10

    Votes: 1 0.8%

  • 11+

    Votes: 4 3.1%
  • Total voters
    129
I know it may be wishful thinking and biased, but I think the Buffs get bowl eligible with the favorable schedule, and finally a few lucky breaks. Wins against CSU, Sac State, Fresno State, ASU, Zona, and UCLA.
 
I think six, combination of a much weaker OOC schedule and Embree starting to get rid of the Hawkins "How are we going to lose" attitude gets us enough wins to go to a minor bowl game.
 
Yeah, I said two. i'm in a ****** mood and we suck. at least the buffs can only exceed my expectations now.
 
Went with 6, very optimistic I know. Think we pull a few out we shouldnt or not supposed to.
 
Months ago I guessed 6 and a bowl. But 2 things changed my opinion since then. #1: PRich; #2: I was convinced Wood would emerge as a big-time QB out of Spring. So I went with 5
 
I would love to hear from the 6 and more win folks what games they consider to be swing games and how many of them the Buffs win. I only see 3 games that I would be disappointed if we lost (non-Conf slate). Then we move into swing games and a few games where a Buff win would be a monumental upset.

Winning more than 5 means winning more than half of the swing games and that goes against the law of averages. Are folks setting themselves up for disappointment?
 
scotth92 said:
I would love to hear from the 6 and more win folks what games they consider to be swing games and how many of them the Buffs win. I only see 3 games that I would be disappointed if we lost (non-Conf slate). Then we move into swing games and a few games where a Buff win would be a monumental upset.

Winning more than 5 means winning more than half of the swing games and that goes against the law of averages. Are folks setting themselves up for disappointment?
Click to expand...

We've got a lot of games on our schedule against teams that are completely changing systems with new coaching staffs. I think that improves the odds of us pulling more upsets than you'd usually see.
 
I went with 6 because I just can't predict a losing season. I don't care how bad we are, I can't actually predict such a thing.
 
5 if things go well.
6 if things go really well.
7 if CU just gets flat out lucky.

so, 5.
 
Buffnik said:
We've got a lot of games on our schedule against teams that are completely changing systems with new coaching staffs. I think that improves the odds of us pulling more upsets than you'd usually see.
Click to expand...

This is a completely unscientific out of my ass use of percentages to represent my expectations for CU's chances of victory.

CSU - 85% New Coach. Talent advantage.
Sac State - 98% Talent advantage
@ Fresno - 60% BCS v nonBCS talent advantage.
@ WSU - 49% New Coach/System
UCLA - 51% New Coach. Folsom magic. Embree revenge factor
ASU - 51% New Coach. Folsom magic.
@USC - 4% Would have to catch them sleeping
@Oregon - 5% Because USC > O
Stanford - 10% Folsom magic = half of optimism
@Arizona - 49% CU tired of losing. New Coach
UDub - 50% Folsom magic. Inexperienced players now experienced
Utes - 60% Folsom magic. Bowl eligibility on line.

43% = 5.2 wins.
 
Skidmark said:
This is a completely unscientific out of my ass use of percentages to represent my expectations for CU's chances of victory.

CSU - 85% New Coach. Talent advantage.
Sac State - 98% Talent advantage
@ Fresno - 60% BCS v nonBCS talent advantage.
@ WSU - 49% New Coach/System
UCLA - 51% New Coach. Folsom magic. Embree revenge factor
ASU - 51% New Coach. Folsom magic.
@USC - 4% Would have to catch them sleeping
@Oregon - 5% Because USC > O
Stanford - 10% Folsom magic = half of optimism
@Arizona - 49% CU tired of losing. New Coach
UDub - 50% Folsom magic. Inexperienced players now experienced
Utes - 60% Folsom magic. Bowl eligibility on line.

43% = 5.2 wins.
Click to expand...

How is this not scientific? There are percentages (and stuff).
 
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