wyobuff
Well-Known Member
After a good showing splitting 1-1 at the LA Schools, our buffs have 5 games left, and just about every one of them has huge implications for P12 tourney seeding.
Right now, We are sitting alone in 5th place in the conference.
We are sitting OK in terms of conference seeding, and have some great opportunities down the stretch ( vs ASU, vs Zona, @Utah, @Stan, @Cal).
To gain any traction in the conference race, we need to beat ASU - right now, they have 1 game on us, and if we even the series when they visit, and still finish with even records, they'll look at our record v the regular season champ (UCLA or Zona) and compare that with theirs. They have a tough go down the stretch, so I think here we will be OK if we just beat them and move on.
We are also .5 games ahead (stan) and behind (cal) the bay area teams, with sole opportunities to earn a tie breaker over them the last 2 games of the season. Obviously, by the time we get on the plane to SFO we will know a lot more, but cal is probably the one we'd rather win if we had to split the season. That would give us first cut tiebreaker over them and we wont move on to the second level (they beat zona, as we all remember). They dont have a favorable schedule down the stretch either, with a road trip to the arizona schools, and home vs the LA and Mountain schools.
Cal and stan dont have a very favorable remaining schedule either - vs LA teams, @Zona teams, vs Mtn Teams.
Unfortunately, we blew a huge opportunity @UCLA, but that's over and we need to hope that they get a few losses hung on them down the stretch, but they have a pretty favorable schedule going forward (home stand with the bay area and oregon teams, at the wash teams). Unlike everyone else that's in the mix (us, cal, zona, asu) UCLA is playing 4/6 games against the worst teams in the p12.
Despite the trajectory of our season from early jan to early feb, we are still very much in the mix here and could win (though doubtful). Finishing as high as 2nd or 3rd is very within the realm of possibility, as long as we can beat cal and ASU.
These other teams at the top are going lose some games too, so all we have to do is hope for a few favors (mainly from the functionally useless up to this point oregon schools).
We are only 1.5 games behind ULCA (though in a very unfavorable tie-breaker situation), and 2 games behind arizona, with a chance to drop an L on them this week.
Right now, We are sitting alone in 5th place in the conference.
| Team | Record |
| Arizona | 10-2 |
| UCLA | 9-3 |
| ASU | 8-4 |
| Cal | 8-4 |
| Colorado | 8-5 |
| Stanford | 7-5 |
| Utah | 6-7 |
| Washington | 6-7 |
| Oregon St | 5-7 |
| Oregon | 4-8 |
| Wazzu | 2-11 |
| USC | 1-11 |
We are sitting OK in terms of conference seeding, and have some great opportunities down the stretch ( vs ASU, vs Zona, @Utah, @Stan, @Cal).
To gain any traction in the conference race, we need to beat ASU - right now, they have 1 game on us, and if we even the series when they visit, and still finish with even records, they'll look at our record v the regular season champ (UCLA or Zona) and compare that with theirs. They have a tough go down the stretch, so I think here we will be OK if we just beat them and move on.
We are also .5 games ahead (stan) and behind (cal) the bay area teams, with sole opportunities to earn a tie breaker over them the last 2 games of the season. Obviously, by the time we get on the plane to SFO we will know a lot more, but cal is probably the one we'd rather win if we had to split the season. That would give us first cut tiebreaker over them and we wont move on to the second level (they beat zona, as we all remember). They dont have a favorable schedule down the stretch either, with a road trip to the arizona schools, and home vs the LA and Mountain schools.
Cal and stan dont have a very favorable remaining schedule either - vs LA teams, @Zona teams, vs Mtn Teams.
Unfortunately, we blew a huge opportunity @UCLA, but that's over and we need to hope that they get a few losses hung on them down the stretch, but they have a pretty favorable schedule going forward (home stand with the bay area and oregon teams, at the wash teams). Unlike everyone else that's in the mix (us, cal, zona, asu) UCLA is playing 4/6 games against the worst teams in the p12.
Despite the trajectory of our season from early jan to early feb, we are still very much in the mix here and could win (though doubtful). Finishing as high as 2nd or 3rd is very within the realm of possibility, as long as we can beat cal and ASU.
These other teams at the top are going lose some games too, so all we have to do is hope for a few favors (mainly from the functionally useless up to this point oregon schools).
We are only 1.5 games behind ULCA (though in a very unfavorable tie-breaker situation), and 2 games behind arizona, with a chance to drop an L on them this week.
