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Lunardi: Colorado 20% chance of making the Dance

Is that 20% as an at-large or does it include our chance of winning the P12 tournament? If just at large, it's too high IMO.
 
Haven't won a road game yet against a good team. You need to make the tourney.


Need a win at Stanford, Cal or Arizona.
 
StatSheet has us as a 12 seed being one of the last 4 teams in. They have the PAC-12 with 3 bids (Cal, CU, Oregon).
 
StatSheet has us as a 12 seed being one of the last 4 teams in. They have the PAC-12 with 3 bids (Cal, CU, Oregon).

Nice. Always fun to see things like this, regardless of last year's bull****. Let's avoid Mississippi State at all costs though, if you think Stanford gave us trouble in the post...:lol:
 
I don't think a split is enough, I think to honestly be in the tourney discussion you have to beat UCLA, they have an RPI of 139 (which is 10 lower than Air Force at 129).
 
I don't think a split is enough, I think to honestly be in the tourney discussion you have to beat UCLA, they have an RPI of 139 (which is 10 lower than Air Force at 129).

This. UCLA has played itself out of relevance. Think about it, an RPI of 139 doesn't even get them into the proposed uber-March Madness with 124 teams. Sweeping in LA would be huge for the Buffs from a "let's take them seriously" standpoint. Splits are for hopefuls. Sweeps are for contenders.
 
This. UCLA has played itself out of relevance. Think about it, an RPI of 139 doesn't even get them into the proposed uber-March Madness with 124 teams. Sweeping in LA would be huge for the Buffs from a "let's take them seriously" standpoint. Splits are for hopefuls. Sweeps are for contenders.

If we sweep, do we get coffee? Is coffee for sweepers?

BTW, about damn time you started posting here.
 
Sweep puts us in a good position to put ourselves all alone in 1st when we beat Oregon next Thursday. Cal/Stanford and Zona are going to beat each other up this weekend.
 
Not gonna sweep, but agree with analysis that for a shot at a prayer, we need it.
 
This. UCLA has played itself out of relevance. Think about it, an RPI of 139 doesn't even get them into the proposed uber-March Madness with 124 teams. Sweeping in LA would be huge for the Buffs from a "let's take them seriously" standpoint. Splits are for hopefuls. Sweeps are for contenders.

Hey. Another San Francisco buff. Hurray.
 
does Kenpom or anyone do a theoretical final RPI based on what your record should be? I think our RPI is pretty good right now, but will continue to drop as we play more in conference games since the conference itself is so weak.
 
does Kenpom or anyone do a theoretical final RPI based on what your record should be? I think our RPI is pretty good right now, but will continue to drop as we play more in conference games since the conference itself is so weak.

RPI forecast does this, CU's RPI is 62 right now, expected RPI is 87. They have CU going 5-7 the rest of the way.
 
if we are talking NCAAT hopes... we definitely need to sweep this weekend. If we get swept, obviously we are done, period. I'd start to get nervous about an NIT bid at that point, but I'm sure we'd get there. Bottom line is this, these games remind me of last year's losses to Nebraska, Oklahoma, and Texas Tech on the road, which hurt us big time last year and put us on the bubble. You want respect, you beat bad road teams. We need these wins.
 
If we lose thursday we are done. Losing saturday would not be good, but it would make it much much more difficult. I'm expecting NIT.
 
I was watching "The Experts" today and they talked about the Pac 12 for a good ten minutes and I swear to you the word Colorado was not said once. I almost ****ing smashed my tv. I was so mad that I turned my tv off and went to class 15 minutes early.
 
First of all, be easy on my Wildcat roots for the following reasons:

1) I'm still a basketball fan and grossly appreciate things like Carlon Brown's block at Cal (chime in if you saw it) and most of the things Andre Roberson does and can/will be.
2) One time I went to Boulder and it was awesome.
3) As a new member of the Pac-12 and not being named Arizona State, I'm pulling for ya!
4) Come on, can't deny that's a pretty legit little program Lute pieced together down there
5) I know you don't have a problem with this.
 
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