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Not much respect.. #89

not really a respect thing, unless you think computers can have respect. we just don't have enough metrics that are good. That's not good.
 
If you look closely, our five year average isn't going to be good anyway.

Losing Lindsey and the three WRs is going to take a lot of last year's production away. And let's not forget Oliver & Lagauda's loss as well. What the computers cannot do accurately is how well the replacements will do.
 
Would be shocked if this WR group doesn't blow away last years group production. RB, hard to say how will replace PL. Offense as a whole depend on OL and. No idea how will compare to 2017

Losing so me key guys in secondary, but would be surprised if front 7 doesn't show considerable improvement, which would result in a solid D overall.
 
If you look closely, our five year average isn't going to be good anyway.

Losing Lindsey and the three WRs is going to take a lot of last year's production away. And let's not forget Oliver & Lagauda's loss as well. What the computers cannot do accurately is how well the replacements will do.
I don't think that enough attention is being paid to the fact that McMillian is coming here, either. I know I drink some kool-aid and wear my gold colored glasses a lot, but even with as much as I'm a ridiculous Phillip Lindsay fanboi... even I look at the CU RB situation in 2018 and say that even with the loss of Taz, between McMillian and actually having some depth (which we had none of in 2017 other than Bish) that we're not getting worse at the position.

Now, this may be a bit of kool-aid, but at WR I look at it like this:

- Winfree was our best WR in 2016 camp, got hurt, and is now back to 100% with experience plus more training & coaching under his belt
- Ento was our best WR in 2017 spring ball but redshirted so that he could bulk up and then get starter's snaps in 2018 for a better NFL shot
- Shenault was incredibly productive on his targets as a big play guy in 2017 and was ready for a larger role last year
- MacIntyre will be MacIntyre as a reliable slot who gets open, catches pretty much everything, and is a really tough cover - especially out of 4-wide
- Nixon has a ton of potential as a playmaker out of the slot who will get his chance this year
- Brown is a former 4* who had 250 yards receiving with a 17.9 avg as a freshman when Chev coached him at TTU
- We just signed another very high quality WR class with some really good WR recruits from 2017 coming off redshirt years

Therefore... I don't expect the unit to take a step back. In fact, I think that it's got more size to create matchup problems and will be better than the 2017 unit.

Also on offense:

QB: Montez should improve as should his backups (we lost nothing)
TE: Bounds should improve and Darion Jones is a JUCO signing that significantly upgrades the position with a new dynamic for the offense

To me, it really comes down to 2 huge question marks:

1. Will the youthful OL gel and be significantly improved from 2017's disappointment
2. Will Chev's playcalling be an improvement over Lindgren's which too often was out of rhythm & too slow to adjust to the flow of the game

If those 2 big questions are answered the right way, there's no reason this shouldn't be among the best offenses we've ever seen at CU.
 
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I don't think that enough attention is being paid to the fact that McMillian is coming here, either. I know I drink some kool-aid and wear my gold colored glasses a lot, but even with as much as I'm a ridiculous Phillip Lindsay fanboi... even I look at the CU RB situation in 2018 and say that even with the loss of Taz, between McMillian and actually having some depth (which we had none of in 2017 other than Bish) that we're not getting worse at the position.

Now, this may be a bit of kool-aid, but at WR I look at it like this:

- Winfree was our best WR in 2016 camp, got hurt, and is now back to 100% with experience plus more training & coaching under his belt
- Ento was our best WR in 2017 spring ball but redshirted so that he could bulk up and then get starter's snaps in 2018 for a better NFL shot
- Shenault was incredibly productive on his targets as a big play guy in 2017 and was ready for a larger role last year
- MacIntyre will be MacIntyre as a reliable slot who gets open, catches pretty much everything, and is a really tough cover - especially out of 4-wide
- Nixon has a ton of potential as a playmaker out of the slot who will get his chance this year
- Brown is a former 4* who had 250 yards receiving with a 17.9 avg as a freshman when Chev coached him at TTU
- We just signed another very high quality WR class with some really good WR recruits from 2017 coming off redshirt years

Therefore... I don't expect the unit to take a step back. In fact, I think that it's got more size to create matchup problems and will be better than the 2017 unit.

Also on offense:

QB: Montez should improve as should his backups (we lost nothing)
TE: Bounds should improve and Darion Jones is a JUCO signing that significantly upgrades the position with a new dynamic for the offense

To me, it really comes down to 2 huge question marks:

1. Will the youthful OL gel and be significantly improved from 2017's disappointment
2. Will Chev's playcalling be an improvement over Lindgren's which too often was out of rhythm & too slow to adjust to the flow of the game

If those 2 big questions are answered the right way, there's no reason this shouldn't be among the best offenses we've ever seen at CU.


I think the offense comes down to 100% on the Offensive Line!!! With some better coaching and play calling, the OL could be kept out of the fray and may not hurt us, but if the OL is really good, then it makes this season really fun like 2016. I get a feeling like the younger players are going to be a whole new generation of good and feel like this offense if the play calling gets in a groove could be special, and I mean really special!!!
 
@Buffnik

I'm anxious to see that TE Jones in the CU passing game. I truly believe that could really make a big difference on offense and make the WR and RBs better as a whole. After seeing those good CU TEs plus the good ones in the NFL, I'm in the belief of having a great pass catching TE making a huge difference. I know the Broncos finally won a Super Bowl with Terrell Davis at RB but hey we had Shannon Sharpe at TE as well. The Chiefs had Tonly Gonlanez (who will get into the HoF next year on his first try IMO) and now Klece.
 
@Buffnik

I'm anxious to see that TE Jones in the CU passing game. I truly believe that could really make a big difference on offense and make the WR and RBs better as a whole. After seeing those good CU TEs plus the good ones in the NFL, I'm in the belief of having a great pass catching TE making a huge difference. I know the Broncos finally won a Super Bowl with Terrell Davis at RB but hey we had Shannon Sharpe at TE as well. The Chiefs had Tonly Gonlanez (who will get into the HoF next year on his first try IMO) and now Klece.
Yep. What seems to be happening is that as teams have put a much higher priority on defensive speed, defensive personnel have gotten smaller. Everyone's pretty much always in Nickel, too. The reaction by offenses seems to have been bigger WRs and a premium on finding a TE who can be a weapon in the passing game.
 
Something to watch with TE Jones is agility. He showed fantastic straight line speed after the catch, and clearly has size. The film highlights didn't show much ability to adjust to a throw, make sharp cuts, etc. Speed is good. Did not see any real agility, which may be a concern. Can't wait to see what he's got this spring.
 
Only ranked above 3 P5 teams (Kansas, Illinois, and Oregon State).

If we finish 11th or 12 in the Pac12 it would be a major disappointment
 
Things like this make no difference to me.

Who cares?

I highly doubt things like this even move the needle on recruiting.

It's just click bait.
 
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This analysis is useless. My kids could predict most of next year's top twenty teams without any fancy math. Let's see how close Connelly does for teams outside the top twenty.

This is why Nate Silver seemed like a God as a statistician in sports and then politics.
 
Will be interesting to watch. As I posted in another thread the dropoff from Lindsay isn't nearly as bad as we originally thought and I would actually expect the receivers to be better in terms of stats and leadership. Bobo played well last year but the other 2 didn't meet expectations. You would think that losing Kough and Iwrin would hurt quite a bit but that unit struggled a ton and those stats were about as bad as it gets in terms of sacks given up and rushing yards. Obviously we would prefer to have Irwin at tackle again but I don't think there is much dropoff with Kough and should be an upgrade by mid season.

The biggest thing I am looking at is how Mac deals with the expectations this year. Last season was the first time he stayed at a school after the turnaround season and it didn't seem like he did a good job motivating those guys to get better. This year will be more what he is used to and hopefully that shows.
 
2017 Preseason S&P Rankings (Actual Final Rankings): Their correlation/success rate in "predicting" the top 10 was 60%.
1. Alabama (1)
2. Ohio State (5)
3. Florida State (NR)
4. LSU (18)
5. Oklahoma (3)
6. Clemson (4)
7. USC (12)
8. Penn State (8)
9. Auburn (10)
10. Michigan (NR)
11. Wisconsin (7)
20. Georgia (2)
21. TCU (9)
78. UCF (6)
 
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