Heres the question for you Greg-who do you replace them with? I'm perfectly fine with them staying in it-given the way that game played out. You can find flaws in the cases for what looks like a consensus 5-6-7.........
In no particular order....
Ohio State-That loss to VA Tech is awful. Happened at home, and VA Tech might barely eek into a bowl game.
Baylor-They played NOBODY in September. The win over TCU looks better and better, but is it enough to counter the weakest OOC in Division One?
TCU-Credit to them for playing Minnesota OOC. That said, they do have that loss to Baylor. How does the committee handle head to head?
If MSU is sitting at 11-1 with a loss to Alabama in Tuscaloosa, how do you take either Big 12 team or Ohio State over them? There's no harm in a road loss at Alabama......Sure, they don't have a conference championship, but how big is that, really?
I know you didn't ask for my opinion, but presuming all four (Baylor, TCU, OSU, MSU) win out:
MSU (Sagarin SOS out of these 4: 1, Conf Champs: No, Head to Head: N/A ,Common opponents: None)
Other considerations: only loss on the road to a playoff team, Weak OOC schedule, didn't even play in conference championship game
OSU (SOS: 3, Conf Champs: Yes, Head to Head: N/A, Common opponents: Beat Minnesota at Minnesota close)
Other considerations: most wins out of all 4 (will have played extra game), played a P5 and D1 independent OOC, Weakest conference out of the 4, worst loss out of the 4
TCU (SOS 2, Conf Champs: No: Head to head: Lost close on the road to Baylor, Common opponents: soundly beat Minnesota at home, beat WV close on the road)Other considerations: Played a P5 OOC, only loss was EXTREMELY close on the road to a very good team
Baylor (SOS: 4, Conf Champs: Yes, Head to head: beat Baylor close at home, Common Opponents: Multiple score loss to WV on the road)Other considerations: Conf Champs, probably the best victory of any of these teams, 2nd worst loss of any of these teams, weak OOC (although I do not think it's measurably worse than MSU)
In this scenario, I would personally put in OSU, although I think that OSU would get boatraced by any of the other playoff teams. There are serious warts on all of these teams, though.
That said, I think MSU loses the Egg Bowl, and I think Ohio State trips up somewhere. If that happens, then I honestly would have to think Baylor gets in.