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Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports
Colorado’s debut (ish) season in the new Big 12 is starting to take more shape.
A few weeks after details of the Buffs’ first two games of the season were announced, the first round of season projections and predictions are starting to show up. That includes over at ESPN, where this season’s NCAA RPI numbers were released this week.
(As a quick reminder for any and everyone who doesn’t have time to know that these projections get released in mid-May, RPI is a metric created by ESPN that “is a measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team’s performance going forward” and “represents how many points above or below average a team is.”)
And considering the Buffs are coming off of a four win season while dealing with another largely-new roster, their debut – at #36 overall – is reason enough to go into the season at least cautiously optimistic. Here are some of ESPN’s other projections:
FPI: 6.0
Projected Win-Loss: 6.3-5.8
6Wins%: 63.2 percent
With that being said, ESPN’s models still don’t think much of the Buffs’ chances next season. They rank 10th among Big12 teams in FPI, and the projections only give CU a 4.1 percent chance of winning the conference (but they do have almost a six percent chance of making the playoffs!).
by camellis
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