In this thread people will only post reasonable expectations for the rest of this year.
I keep seeing people saying that of course we aren't going to get 4* and 5* players recruiting. Obviously. Or that it was obvious we weren't going to be able to hang with UO or ASU.
Against CSU I expect a W quite handily, but I am worried. Much like the first CSU, the second CSU sees this as an opportunity to upset a bad BCS team. Sefo to Prich for 200+ yards.
Outside of this week I'm expecting blowout losses to UCLA and UDub. The games will get out of hand very early and we will be playing scrubs in the 3rd.
I expect a 20 point loss against Arizona. I think the game gets out of hand in the mid-3rd quarter, but I'm hoping we can contain Carey. That dude ran for like 1000 yards against us last year. Stack the box and if we get beat in the air so be it. I'd love for us to be within 10 going into the half. Defeatist attitude? Unfortunately, yes.
Cal can't put up points, but neither can we. As of now I'd say we have about a 40% chance of winning at home. We will only win this game if PRich has a good game. There's no way around it. He's our only true playmaker and if he doesn't have a good game we'll lose.
SC may be deflated by the time they get here, but they are stacked with a nasty OL and a 3 headed RB monster. That defense is still pretty damn good. They put up 41 against ASU in Lane's final game. There's no reason to expect a W, but if we get inclement weather and can stop the run I don't expect a thrashing. Hopefully this is entertaining and they are decimated by the time they get here. Can't predict a W or an L, but expecting a L.
Utah. They are good. Took OSU to OT, lost by 7 to UCLA, beat Furd all at home. They go on the road, but unless they get hit by the injury bug this is going to not be pretty. We lose by 24 points.
On the field of play:
1. We are giving up 530ypg on defense. We aren't always playing the 1s either. If we can lower this by 70ypg that'll still put us around 100/125, but we are at 122/125. Dreadful.
2. We need to have fewer penalties. CU ranks #62 in penalties at 6 per game. This is only slightly better than last year's 6.2 penalties per game. When we do play teams that we can beat we have to minimize penalties to have a chance at beating them.
3. We are averaging 1.5 sacks per game. I want to average 2 sacks per game, but if we can even get 1.75 sacks per game that'd be an big improvement.
4. We are #117 in 3rd down efficiency on offense at 29.94%. I want to finish 37% or so in our remaining games (about #80ish)
5. We are 5/12 in RZ offense. That % isn't bad, but the number of RZ attempts is very low. I think expecting 3.5 RZ attempts per game should be expected if we want to show progress. Hopefully Sefo can get us into the RZ more, even if we aren't converting and have to settle for fgs.
It's late, but I'm sure we could analyze this more in depth.
Recruiting:
We aren't doing well and there's no expectation of getting better. Unfortunately, we will rank 12th in recruiting to finish. Hopefully they have an eye for talent, but as WR said in another thread other coaches depend on recruiting so it's hard to find 18 diamonds in the rough. This is one area we have to improve and soon. I don't know if MM's 3rd recruiting class can get any better if we suffer from yet another year of beatdowns.
We land 2 more high 3* players.
For next year:
Our guys pack on more muscle. We are tweeners. Let's put some bigger bodies on the field.
I keep seeing people saying that of course we aren't going to get 4* and 5* players recruiting. Obviously. Or that it was obvious we weren't going to be able to hang with UO or ASU.
| Oct. 19 | CSU | BOULDER |
| OCT. 26 | ARIZONA (HC) | BOULDER |
| Nov. 2 | at UCLA | Los Angeles, Calif. |
| Nov. 9 | at Washington | Seattle, Wash. |
| NOV. 16 | CALIFORNIA | BOULDER |
| NOV. 23 | SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA | BOULDER |
| Nov. 30 | at Utah | Salt Lake City, Utah |
Outside of this week I'm expecting blowout losses to UCLA and UDub. The games will get out of hand very early and we will be playing scrubs in the 3rd.
I expect a 20 point loss against Arizona. I think the game gets out of hand in the mid-3rd quarter, but I'm hoping we can contain Carey. That dude ran for like 1000 yards against us last year. Stack the box and if we get beat in the air so be it. I'd love for us to be within 10 going into the half. Defeatist attitude? Unfortunately, yes.
Cal can't put up points, but neither can we. As of now I'd say we have about a 40% chance of winning at home. We will only win this game if PRich has a good game. There's no way around it. He's our only true playmaker and if he doesn't have a good game we'll lose.
SC may be deflated by the time they get here, but they are stacked with a nasty OL and a 3 headed RB monster. That defense is still pretty damn good. They put up 41 against ASU in Lane's final game. There's no reason to expect a W, but if we get inclement weather and can stop the run I don't expect a thrashing. Hopefully this is entertaining and they are decimated by the time they get here. Can't predict a W or an L, but expecting a L.
Utah. They are good. Took OSU to OT, lost by 7 to UCLA, beat Furd all at home. They go on the road, but unless they get hit by the injury bug this is going to not be pretty. We lose by 24 points.
On the field of play:
1. We are giving up 530ypg on defense. We aren't always playing the 1s either. If we can lower this by 70ypg that'll still put us around 100/125, but we are at 122/125. Dreadful.
2. We need to have fewer penalties. CU ranks #62 in penalties at 6 per game. This is only slightly better than last year's 6.2 penalties per game. When we do play teams that we can beat we have to minimize penalties to have a chance at beating them.
3. We are averaging 1.5 sacks per game. I want to average 2 sacks per game, but if we can even get 1.75 sacks per game that'd be an big improvement.
4. We are #117 in 3rd down efficiency on offense at 29.94%. I want to finish 37% or so in our remaining games (about #80ish)
5. We are 5/12 in RZ offense. That % isn't bad, but the number of RZ attempts is very low. I think expecting 3.5 RZ attempts per game should be expected if we want to show progress. Hopefully Sefo can get us into the RZ more, even if we aren't converting and have to settle for fgs.
It's late, but I'm sure we could analyze this more in depth.
Recruiting:
We aren't doing well and there's no expectation of getting better. Unfortunately, we will rank 12th in recruiting to finish. Hopefully they have an eye for talent, but as WR said in another thread other coaches depend on recruiting so it's hard to find 18 diamonds in the rough. This is one area we have to improve and soon. I don't know if MM's 3rd recruiting class can get any better if we suffer from yet another year of beatdowns.
We land 2 more high 3* players.
For next year:
Our guys pack on more muscle. We are tweeners. Let's put some bigger bodies on the field.
