Problem is, we are inundated with youth, espeically on defense. We don't have the veteran presence to protect the young guys. They are out on an island.
agree actually.
I picked the Buffs to win 3 games (CSU and Sac State in close wins, and one other home game near the end).
I do not believe that our talent level is as good as CSU or Sac State in the skilled athlete area. We are lacking athletes, especially on offense. We have less athletes than any team I see on TV, including teams like Nevada, Wyoming, etc. We have a total of one fast WR and he is a true freshman.
Against USC, the offense kept shooting itself and we tackled poorly on defense. We were out of position often. We had a myriad of True Freshmen on the field (several times there were 4 at once time). The announcers made a big deal that Williams was starting for USC on the DL as a true frosh and that they were so decimated that they had to use Townsend (only a RS Frosh) in relief. Both were 4-star highly recruited guys.
We have run guys with that level of experience out there (classes of 2011/2012) as follows:
Crawley 464 plays
Tupou 247 plays
Daigh 147 plays
Mosely 235 plays
Henderson 308 plays
Greer 69 plays
Wright 145 plays
Parker 120 plays
Solis 82 plays
Washington 111 plays
Kafovalu 90 plays (started and played most of the game at DT vs. USC)
Hall 67 plays (so a lot of time at CB vs USC)
Henington 80 plays
That's on DEFENSE only. Nobody is doing that at that rate
So my point?
1. This team is hugely under-talented on offense. We need 4 more WR's who can catch and run. That would make everyone look better, including the defense who is on the field way too much.
2. This team is ridiculously young
3. Many of these young guys are going to be some good players who will win games at CU, if the coaching allows them to.
4. Upperclass leadership (especially on defense) is void. It is non-existent. Maybe not their fault. It's embedded in them I believe.
5. Embree mismanaged expectations by getting the fanbase excited about 6 wins. I have no problem with that being an internal goal. But it was a stretch goal from the beginning. ASU, AZ and UCLA were never patsies. They are loaded with 5 classes of talent.
I expected ugly, mistake-prone wins vs CSU and Sac State. If our defense played half good, we'd have gotten that. We certainly saw a lot of mistakes such as dropped punts, etc. We could easily have started 2-0 with ugly wins. Both those games were lost due to mistakes and an inability of the defense to "do their job". Guys like Crawley and Mosely were confused beyond belief.
Fresno State was never a win in my book, but I have no explanation other than leadership, and coaching for what happened that day. I think losing at home to Sac State deflated the team, and the upperclass guys fell into a funk. Deep Psychological funk. Serious about this. They are TOO scarred by the past.
Can Greg Brown really be this bad? We can't tackle and we can't get into position? We were better down the stretch last year once we got Orms on the field at corner and didn't have to play Espy or JJ there. It looks really bad. Is Cabral this bad? No chance. His guys are not good right now, but it's not the LB coach.
But then I look at Boise State, one of the most prolific offenses in history in 2012. Peterson is an absolute offensive genius, but they are struggling:
2011: 481 yards per game total offense; 44.2 points per game
2012: 374 yards per game total offense; 26.1 points per game
This is a huge falloff. Did Peterson lose the magic or did he lose magical skilled athletes? I'd bet the latter. Same with Cabral, only psychological issues are probably more at fault than raw talent at LB.
Embree has a team comprised of older guys who have lost, lost, lost. They are emotionally scarred.
Embree has a bunch of youth, without leadership from the upperclass guys. Probably the youngest team in our history and in the country.
Embree and coaches have an eye for talent, I believe that.
But can they coach? Can we see improvement week to week?
If I'm the AD, I haven't given up on Embree...... yet. But how the team plays the rest of this season will make or break it for me.
You have to expect improvement. I'm not seeing it. But I'll give it the rest of the season.
I'm also betting that Chris Peterson gets his offense going. Maybe not this year, but with time to get the right talent in there.