1. I think you're right that Tucker ignored him, but I don't think he was just trying to save face with the Bosco coaching staff. I think his late re-entry was probably due to Tucker striking out on one or more guys in the South that he wanted to swing at first, and when those plans didn't work out, he scrambled to keep Toler in the mix.
2. Yes, I understand coaching staffs have their own ratings that don't always match up to the recruiting sites, and I believe Tucker probably wanted a few other guys who he had been recruiting the past few years (see item 1).
As I stated, MT gets the BOTD until proven otherwise. I'm just saying that Safety is arguably the thinnest and least talented position on the team, and losing a legacy recruit like Toler to a currently much better program like Wisconsin doesn't look good at all, especially when he actually did go out there in an attempt to keep him with CU (according to the article published nationally).