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2023 CFB Predictions/Gambling Thread

ahoelsken

Well-Known Member
We usually have one of these going around this time, so **** it.

ACC Champ: Carolina. Total guess.
XII Champ: K-State
Big 10 Champ: Meatchicken
SEC Champ: Georgia
Pac 12 Champ: Washington

CFP picks: Georgia, Meatchicken, LSU, Washington
Championship: Georgia over Meatchicken

CU record: 6-6

Any win total bets you've seen you like: The CU over is a no-brainer. I like Air Force over 8.5. That schedule is easy as ****.
 
Here's my prediction:

Colorado can win every game but I am not expecting them to but it's possible.

Compare favorably to last year's TCU squad.

Strengths: QB1, WRs, Tackles1, Centers, RBs, EDGEs, Safeties, CB1/2/3, starting interior DLs, STs
Areas that can surprise you: TEs, CB depth, backup DLs
Weaknesses: QB depth, OL depth, Interior DL overall numbers (5 players), LBs.

Hard to stop: Skill players, passing attack, rushing attack, EDGE rushing on +5 3rd downs, poor passing attempts, or bad decision-making by the opp QB
What to try to beat CU: Rushing up the middle, testing TE's experience, testing CU OL in space, testing LBs on running downs, testing the young CBs.

TCU: I have this as a blowout win for CU. 63-14. Mirror images. CU more prepped for TCU. TCU overly confident just due to outside noise. CU has too much primetime players.

Nebraska: I find this to be a challenging game. Big OL like TCU but not as good as TCU. Good backs like TCU, no studs. But they actually plan on playing with 9-10 in the formation. They will test CU's lack of interior size and smaller safeties outside of Slusher. Also, I am much higher on Jeff Sims. While passing might not be how he's going to compete in this game, rushing will be and Prime has struggled with run-first QBs who are smart and make good throws in the past, see Southern game. I have this as a toss-up or CU blowout. If CU gets up 14-0 or 21-0 early, it's over but if it's close, it can go either way.

CSU: Better than people expect but too much horsepower for CU. 56 points or more will be scored by CU. CSU has the ability to score 28 but I am leaning to 10 points for now.

Oregon: I expect Oregon to win this game. One of the best OLs in CF. Good running game. Stud at QB. A couple of WR studs. No real weaknesses on defense. I do believe if CU gets ahead early, CU would pull the upset but I am strongly leaning toward Oregon 35-21. If CU wins, 42-21. I don't believe in Bo Nix as a QB playing from behind with the pass rush pinning their ears back.

USC: Another major upset alert. I have CU beating USC. Obviously, health is key but USC doesn't match up well against CU. They give up too many big plays, and their overly aggressive defensive style will get them killed against CU. That said, USC will score and score often. CU isn't stopping Celeb but like TCU v. Michigan or USC v. Tulane, you just need a couple of timely stops. CU 49-42.

ASU: This should be a good game. Both teams improved during the portal. I expect Rashada to start. This game might just be a really bad matchup as CU has a mix of things to make this a long day for a true FR QB. I have this as his first bad game. I think he will play well in the others, including against USC who will crush ASU. CU 49-3

Stanford: Another game I expect to be tougher than expected. Still, CU should win this game. 28-7 CU

UCLA: I actually really think UCLA is an excellent team this year. 2nd best to Washington in the PAC. QB really matters so much. I have this as a toss-up. If CU was to win, 35-32. This will be a close game, no matter what. UCLA has enough to keep CU to a level overall.

Oregon State: Styles make fights. Another toss-up for me. Development means so much because injuries could hurt either team. If CU wins, I am expecting 24-21 CU. Expecting a close game. OSU can really run. This could easily go either way.

Arizona: I like Jayden De Laura, the football player. I like his weapons. I like their coach. But they don't have the ability to shoot with CU or stop them. Then again, I don't believe CU will stop them either. 63-56 CU wins. Edge CU. Could be close.

Washington State: This should be tough. In Pullman. Ward v. Sanders. It's all about how the DL plays v. Washington St. OL which struggled greatly last year. If they dominate and WSU can't match CU for points, this could be a long night for Ward. That said, 42-35 CU. Edge CU. Could be close.

Utah: Another team I have beating the Buffs but the Buffs can beat anyone. Just a tough matchup and injuries could play a key role for CU. That said, Utah has to stop CU insane offense. 28-21 Utah but if Utah can't stop CU passing attack, 42-24 CU.

No PAC-12CC or playoff predictions.

Wins: 7 and 2 were upsets (TCU and USC)
Toss-Ups: 3
Losses: 2

Development and health will be key for CU.

I currently have 40 good players on CU. 2 are studs. 8 could join as studs. 2 potential Heisman candidates, and 11 potentially good players like Dylan, and Cormani, for instance.)

Depth is a concern for me.
 
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We usually have one of these going around this time, so **** it.

ACC Champ: Carolina. Total guess.
XII Champ: K-State
Big 10 Champ: Meatchicken
SEC Champ: Georgia
Pac 12 Champ: Washington

CFP picks: Georgia, Meatchicken, LSU, Washington
Championship: Georgia over Meatchicken

CU record: 6-6

Any win total bets you've seen you like: The CU over is a no-brainer. I like Air Force over 8.5. That schedule is easy as ****.
ACC Champ: FSU
B12: OU
B10: Wolverines
SEC: UGA
PAC:NA

NCAA Champ: UGA to win 3 in a row.

I do believe CU, Washington, and USC could give UGA a tough game.
 
ACC Champ: FSU
B12: OU
B10: Wolverines
SEC: UGA
PAC:NA

NCAA Champ: UGA to win 3 in a row.

I do believe CU, Washington, and USC could give UGA a tough game.
Agree on UGA but here's a hot take-I've got them losing at Tennessee. Their fanbase seems to have forgotten that they ran Bobo off before he took the CSU gig......and he's a downgrade from Todd Monken.

63-14 win at TCU? Are you high?
 
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Here's my prediction:

Colorado can win every game but I am not expecting them to but it's possible.

Compare favorably to last year's TCU squad.

Strengths: QB1, WRs, Tackles1, Centers, RBs, EDGEs, Safeties, CB1/2/3, starting interior DLs, STs
Areas that can surprise you: TEs, CB depth, backup DLs
Weaknesses: QB depth, OL depth, Interior DL overall numbers (5 players), LBs.

Hard to stop: Skill players, passing attack, rushing attack, EDGE rushing on +5 3rd downs, poor passing attempts, or bad decision-making by the opp QB
What to try to beat CU: Rushing up the middle, testing TE's experience, testing CU OL in space, testing LBs on running downs, testing the young CBs.

TCU: I have this as a blowout win for CU. 63-14. Mirror images. CU more prepped for TCU. TCU overly confident just due to outside noise. CU has too much primetime players.

Nebraska: I find this to be a challenging game. Big OL like TCU but not as good as TCU. Good backs like TCU, no studs. But they actually plan on playing with 9-10 in the formation. They will test CU's lack of interior size and smaller safeties outside of Slusher. Also, I am much higher on Jeff Sims. While passing might not be how he's going to compete in this game, rushing will be and Prime has struggled with run-first QBs who are smart and make good throws in the past, see Southern game. I have this as a toss-up or CU blowout. If CU gets up 14-0 or 21-0 early, it's over but if it's close, it can go either way.

CSU: Better than people expect but too much horsepower for CU. 56 points or more will be scored by CU. CSU has the ability to score 28 but I am leaning to 10 points for now.

Oregon: I expect Oregon to win this game. One of the best OLs in CF. Good running game. Stud at QB. A couple of WR studs. No real weaknesses on defense. I do believe if CU gets ahead early, CU would pull the upset but I am strongly leaning toward Oregon 35-21. If CU wins, 42-21. I don't believe in Bo Nix as a QB playing from behind with the pass rush pinning their ears back.

USC: Another major upset alert. I have CU beating USC. Obviously, health is key but USC doesn't match up well against CU. They give up too many big plays, and their overly aggressive defensive style will get them killed against CU. That said, USC will score and score often. CU isn't stopping Celeb but like TCU v. Michigan or USC v. Tulane, you just need a couple of timely stops. CU 49-42.

ASU: This should be a good game. Both teams improved during the portal. I expect Rashada to start. This game might just be a really bad matchup as CU has a mix of things to make this a long day for a true FR QB. I have this as his first bad game. I think he will play well in the others, including against USC who will crush ASU. CU 49-3

Stanford: Another game I expect to be tougher than expected. Still, CU should win this game. 28-7 CU

UCLA: I actually really think UCLA is an excellent team this year. 2nd best to Washington in the PAC. QB really matters so much. I have this as a toss-up. If CU was to win, 35-32. This will be a close game, no matter what. UCLA has enough to keep CU to a level overall.

Oregon State: Styles make fights. Another toss-up for me. Development means so much because injuries could hurt either team. If CU wins, I am expecting 24-21 CU. Expecting a close game. OSU can really run. This could easily go either way.

Arizona: I like Jayden De Laura, the football player. I like his weapons. I like their coach. But they don't have the ability to shoot with CU or stop them. Then again, I don't believe CU will stop them either. 63-56 CU wins. Edge CU. Could be close.

Washington State: This should be tough. In Pullman. Ward v. Sanders. It's all about how the DL plays v. Washington St. OL which struggled greatly last year. If they dominate and WSU can't match CU for points, this could be a long night for Ward. That said, 42-35 CU. Edge CU. Could be close.

Utah: Another team I have beating the Buffs but the Buffs can beat anyone. Just a tough matchup and injuries could play a key role for CU. That said, Utah has to stop CU insane offense. 28-21 Utah but if Utah can't stop CU passing attack, 42-24 CU.

No PAC-12CC or playoff predictions.

Wins: 7 and 2 were upsets (TCU and USC)
Toss-Ups: 3
Losses: 2

Development and health will be key for CU.

I currently have 40 good players on CU. 2 are studs. 8 could join as studs. 2 potential Heisman candidates, and 11 potentially good players like Dylan, and Cormani, for instance.)

Depth is a concern for me.
I need some of what you're having pumped through my veins.
 
Agree on UGA but here's a hot take-I've got them losing at Tennessee. Their fanbase seems to have forgotten that they ran Bobo off before he took the CSU gig......and he's a downgrade from Todd Monken.
He is a downgrade from Monken but UGA is probably better this year talent wise than ever before. Excellent OL, versatile, excellent WR core, elite TE room, and a solid stable of talented RBs.

Defensively, they are exceptional. While I do expect Bobo to get in the way, just too good of a team this year and their schedule plays into their hands. I don't see them losing this year. Too many weapons, OL is stack, defense is stacked. Kirby tends to have them ready for battle. ST is always special at Georgia.

Hard to see Milton beating them. UT still has OL questions and UGA isn't the team you want to play against with OL issues especially late into the season. If they played UGA in week 0 or week 1, could be a legit upset
 
ACC Champ: FSU
B12: OU
B10: Wolverines
SEC: UGA
PAC:NA

NCAA Champ: UGA to win 3 in a row.

I do believe CU, Washington, and USC could give UGA a tough game.
I don't think USC can hang with them. In fact, I just grabbed the under on SC. They play Utah, Washington, and Oregon three out of four weeks in late October. That's tough, and I think they could wind up 1-2 there.

I'm picking USC to beat CU, but CU winning that game wouldn't shock me.
 
You can't be serious about this prediction :ROFLMAO:
Very serious

Five reasons

1. Chandler Morris - doesn't handle pressure well and struggles at throwing in tight windows. This defense will punish you for that.

2. TCU Secondary - While CB1 is of quality, CB2 and CB3 can be overly aggressive and break contain. That's a sign for disaster against Shedeur Sanders. Two of the two he clobbered at HBCUs was two of the best teams in FAMU and Alabama A&M. Both teams CBs were overly aggressive while is similar to Colorado under Prime but of course, tight window throws are Shedeur's strength.

3. TCU pass rush - While I don't expect them to be bad this year, without Winters, they really don't have more than a specialist like D'Abreu. Those don't work against Prime's OL. They will have to get exotic. In the 3-3-5, that's not easy to do when you already have to deal with the 4 WRs CU has and Harrison in the seams and flats.

4. Pace - both teams are expected extremely aggressive with pace considering their OCs and personnel. Because of this, you will get an old Big XII feel but CU has an aggressive ACC/SEC style on defense. Games like this comes down to talent and studs, not depth and especially not depth in week 1. This would be a much better matchup for TCU in week 10 as they are deeper than week 1.

5. Mindset - CU is coming in with this, they think we are ass mindset while having more talent than TCU. It's one thing for Nichols State to have that mindset but CU is a legit team with potential studs all over the place.

TCU has to come in with the mindset they had against Michigan but they won't because they are playing a team everyone expects to be a cakewalk in their own fanbase. They will come in like this is a game to show America the NC game wasn't a reflection of who they are. I honestly think, they must have a this team is better mindset and that's just to keep it closer than a massive blowout.

I don't like the matchup for TCU and the timing couldn't be worse. That said, I think this is a good TCU team, more deep than last year and they definitely have more confidence based on what I've seen from their daily press conferences as players.

The only players I don't believe is underestimating Bud Clark and Willis Patrick. The rest are looking at this like a tune up game and that's the worst way you can look at a game against a team that's has a lot more studs than you. I honestly feel this could be worse than this score. I really do for TCU. I just don't think it's indictive of CU this year or TCU. Just a bad matchup and bad timing for TCU. Not having reliable gametape on CU is a disaster for game planning. Dykes already scared me when he said we are basically going to be like we are playing against ourselves and keep mistakes to a minimum. They could keep mistakes to a minimum and get killed.
 
Very serious

Five reasons

1. Chandler Morris - doesn't handle pressure well and struggles at throwing in tight windows. This defense will punish you for that.

2. TCU Secondary - While CB1 is of quality, CB2 and CB3 can be overly aggressive and break contain. That's a sign for disaster against Shedeur Sanders. Two of the two he clobbered at HBCUs was two of the best teams in FAMU and Alabama A&M. Both teams CBs were overly aggressive while is similar to Colorado under Prime but of course, tight window throws are Shedeur's strength.

3. TCU pass rush - While I don't expect them to be bad this year, without Winters, they really don't have more than a specialist like D'Abreu. Those don't work against Prime's OL. They will have to get exotic. In the 3-3-5, that's not easy to do when you already have to deal with the 4 WRs CU has and Harrison in the seams and flats.

4. Pace - both teams are expected extremely aggressive with pace considering their OCs and personnel. Because of this, you will get an old Big XII feel but CU has an aggressive ACC/SEC style on defense. Games like this comes down to talent and studs, not depth and especially not depth in week 1. This would be a much better matchup for TCU in week 10 as they are deeper than week 1.

5. Mindset - CU is coming in with this, they think we are ass mindset while having more talent than TCU. It's one thing for Nichols State to have that mindset but CU is a legit team with potential studs all over the place.

TCU has to come in with the mindset they had against Michigan but they won't because they are playing a team everyone expects to be a cakewalk in their own fanbase. They will come in like this is a game to show America the NC game wasn't a reflection of who they are. I honestly think, they must have a this team is better mindset and that's just to keep it closer than a massive blowout.

I don't like the matchup for TCU and the timing couldn't be worse. That said, I think this is a good TCU team, more deep than last year and they definitely have more confidence based on what I've seen from their daily press conferences as players.

The only players I don't believe is underestimating Bud Clark and Willis Patrick. The rest are looking at this like a tune up game and that's the worst way you can look at a game against a team that's has a lot more studs than you. I honestly feel this could be worse than this score. I really do for TCU. I just don't think it's indictive of CU this year or TCU. Just a bad matchup and bad timing for TCU. Not having reliable gametape on CU is a disaster for game planning. Dykes already scared me when he said we are basically going to be like we are playing against ourselves and keep mistakes to a minimum. They could keep mistakes to a minimum and get killed.
That’s a strong conviction. Retirement money on the ML. Or better yet, alt spread for generational money. How much you bet if I can ask?

Manhattan may want some of your action on the side. I could be interested if that score is indeed your conviction.

Would love to learn more your possible roll behind your “very serious” angle.
 
Here's my prediction:

Colorado can win every game but I am not expecting them to but it's possible.

Compare favorably to last year's TCU squad.

Strengths: QB1, WRs, Tackles1, Centers, RBs, EDGEs, Safeties, CB1/2/3, starting interior DLs, STs
Areas that can surprise you: TEs, CB depth, backup DLs
Weaknesses: QB depth, OL depth, Interior DL overall numbers (5 players), LBs.

Hard to stop: Skill players, passing attack, rushing attack, EDGE rushing on +5 3rd downs, poor passing attempts, or bad decision-making by the opp QB
What to try to beat CU: Rushing up the middle, testing TE's experience, testing CU OL in space, testing LBs on running downs, testing the young CBs.

TCU: I have this as a blowout win for CU. 63-14. Mirror images. CU more prepped for TCU. TCU overly confident just due to outside noise. CU has too much primetime players.

Nebraska: I find this to be a challenging game. Big OL like TCU but not as good as TCU. Good backs like TCU, no studs. But they actually plan on playing with 9-10 in the formation. They will test CU's lack of interior size and smaller safeties outside of Slusher. Also, I am much higher on Jeff Sims. While passing might not be how he's going to compete in this game, rushing will be and Prime has struggled with run-first QBs who are smart and make good throws in the past, see Southern game. I have this as a toss-up or CU blowout. If CU gets up 14-0 or 21-0 early, it's over but if it's close, it can go either way.

CSU: Better than people expect but too much horsepower for CU. 56 points or more will be scored by CU. CSU has the ability to score 28 but I am leaning to 10 points for now.

Oregon: I expect Oregon to win this game. One of the best OLs in CF. Good running game. Stud at QB. A couple of WR studs. No real weaknesses on defense. I do believe if CU gets ahead early, CU would pull the upset but I am strongly leaning toward Oregon 35-21. If CU wins, 42-21. I don't believe in Bo Nix as a QB playing from behind with the pass rush pinning their ears back.

USC: Another major upset alert. I have CU beating USC. Obviously, health is key but USC doesn't match up well against CU. They give up too many big plays, and their overly aggressive defensive style will get them killed against CU. That said, USC will score and score often. CU isn't stopping Celeb but like TCU v. Michigan or USC v. Tulane, you just need a couple of timely stops. CU 49-42.

ASU: This should be a good game. Both teams improved during the portal. I expect Rashada to start. This game might just be a really bad matchup as CU has a mix of things to make this a long day for a true FR QB. I have this as his first bad game. I think he will play well in the others, including against USC who will crush ASU. CU 49-3

Stanford: Another game I expect to be tougher than expected. Still, CU should win this game. 28-7 CU

UCLA: I actually really think UCLA is an excellent team this year. 2nd best to Washington in the PAC. QB really matters so much. I have this as a toss-up. If CU was to win, 35-32. This will be a close game, no matter what. UCLA has enough to keep CU to a level overall.

Oregon State: Styles make fights. Another toss-up for me. Development means so much because injuries could hurt either team. If CU wins, I am expecting 24-21 CU. Expecting a close game. OSU can really run. This could easily go either way.

Arizona: I like Jayden De Laura, the football player. I like his weapons. I like their coach. But they don't have the ability to shoot with CU or stop them. Then again, I don't believe CU will stop them either. 63-56 CU wins. Edge CU. Could be close.

Washington State: This should be tough. In Pullman. Ward v. Sanders. It's all about how the DL plays v. Washington St. OL which struggled greatly last year. If they dominate and WSU can't match CU for points, this could be a long night for Ward. That said, 42-35 CU. Edge CU. Could be close.

Utah: Another team I have beating the Buffs but the Buffs can beat anyone. Just a tough matchup and injuries could play a key role for CU. That said, Utah has to stop CU insane offense. 28-21 Utah but if Utah can't stop CU passing attack, 42-24 CU.

No PAC-12CC or playoff predictions.

Wins: 7 and 2 were upsets (TCU and USC)
Toss-Ups: 3
Losses: 2

Development and health will be key for CU.

I currently have 40 good players on CU. 2 are studs. 8 could join as studs. 2 potential Heisman candidates, and 11 potentially good players like Dylan, and Cormani, for instance.)

Depth is a concern for me.
Understand the concern with run-first QBs and the issues and JSU. But does having Kelly change anything for you?
 
Understand the concern with run-first QBs and the issues and JSU. But does having Kelly change anything for you?
I expect a more disciplined defense and a lot less 46 Bear. I heard Coach Kelly and he basically said it's going to be an very aggressive defense with a lot of stunts and blitzes which is what JSU did. It's a tough defense to score on. It has weaknesses like all defenses but its a true outside-in defense as Prime generally likes 5 DBs on the field at once and 4 linemen. I've seen as much a 2-4-5 and of course, it was an exotic blitz.

They like to mix it up. Your OL has to be in unison, especially the center. They are masters of the delayed blitz.

Against Nebraska, expect the return of the 46 Bear.
 
I expect a more disciplined defense and a lot less 46 Bear. I heard Coach Kelly and he basically said it's going to be an very aggressive defense with a lot of stunts and blitzes which is what JSU did. It's a tough defense to score on. It has weaknesses like all defenses but its a true outside-in defense as Prime generally likes 5 DBs on the field at once and 4 linemen. I've seen as much a 2-4-5 and of course, it was an exotic blitz.

They like to mix it up. Your OL has to be in unison, especially the center. They are masters of the delayed blitz.

Against Nebraska, expect the return of the 46 Bear.
I have never heard Kelly mention the 46 Bear. He seems like a 4/2/5 Star disciple from Saban/Smart lineage. I just don’t see how 46 Bear can compete against the speed/spread/space CFB offenses of today. It’s extinct isn’t it?
 
I have never heard Kelly mention the 46 Bear. He seems like a 4/2/5 Star disciple from Saban/Smart lineage. I just don’t see how 46 Bear can compete against the speed/spread/space CFB offenses of today. It’s extinct isn’t it?
46 Bear was Dennis Thurman base defense at JSU and I was saying I expect a lot less 46Bear.

He's definitely going to play 4/2/5. That's the way this defensive personnel is built to play like.

Hell no! Not at all. It's effective against teams with run dominant offenses which was common in the SWAC, uncommon in the PAC. It's not dead but it's on life support.
 
46 Bear was Dennis Thurman base defense at JSU and I was saying I expect a lot less 46Bear.

He's definitely going to play 4/2/5. That's the way this defensive personnel is built to play like.

Hell no! Not at all. It's effective against teams with run dominant offenses which was common in the SWAC, uncommon in the PAC. It's not dead but it's on life support.
Gotcha.I’m not sure who plays the Star position for CU.
 
That’s a strong conviction. Retirement money on the ML. Or better yet, alt spread for generational money. How much you bet if I can ask?

Manhattan may want some of your action on the side. I could be interested if that score is indeed your conviction.

Would love to learn more your possible roll behind your “very serious” angle.
Ask @manhattanbuff. I am willing to risk my money, not yours.
 
If you like it at 7.5 youll LOVE it at 6.5 now

Right Angle sports played UMASS +7.5
Hell, I liked it at 8. Standalone ESPN primetime home game (for what that's worth) in Las Cruces. As close as that campus will ever get to the bigtime. Should be electric.

NMSU returns a ton of production from last year's pretty decent team.

Plus, Jerry Kill.
 
Texas, UDub, Michigan over.

I like LaTech -10.5 this week.
I like Army -7.5 at Louisiana Monroe on Sept 2. I’m waiting to see if goes to -7 though. I’ll bet it either way or even at -8. Army is going to a more balanced offense this year so there will be some adjustments, but ULM looks to be really bad, again, and lost a lot of guys to the portal.

That’s my obscure game of that week.
 
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