I think the Pac 12 has no need to ever expand unless it works for the conference. While being on the west coast limits the expansion options, it also provides the conference with a natural barrier where there are no rival conferences in the west to worry about. The conference owns a massive population footprint in some of the fastest growing population areas in the country. Perfect position to be in.
Ever is a long, long time.
I agree with your point that the Pacific as a natural border can work both ways, but a whole lot can happen in the next 10-15 years and god knows what the college landscape is gonna look like when our TV contract comes up for renewal. TV was the driving force between this round of Musical Chairs and if the other 3 power conferences are at 14 or even 16 in 10-15 years, the P12 might be forced to expand unless it wants to be left behind.
I can´t and won´t predict what´s gonna happen in 10-15 years, but the picture may not be as pretty as we´d like it to look and the way it looks right now. Just food for thought.
Most of these are no thank you's. ND isn't going to happen. If they join a conference it will be the Big 10, or maybe the Big XII. They aren't interested in what is primarily a west coast conference. BYU is a no thanks as well, they are a terrible fit because of the religious restrictions and are a bad match academically. The PAC already has a solid foothold on the TV market with Utah. Rice is in Texas but doesn't give you much interest in the Texas TV market. That one is a non-starter. SDSU and UNLV are both programs that can't even get the attention of their own home markets, lousy attendance and TV ratings. Also not PAC quality academically. New Mexico isn't an academic powerhouse either but it is the flagship university in a fast growing TV market that doesn't have much other local competition for the sports dollar. If they could get their act together on the field I think they could get the attention of the market and produce decent ticket sales. They already do in basketball. That leaves the only two legitimate candidates on your list as a potential UNM if they get their act together and KU which is a bit out of the edge of the conference footprint.
With a four-team playoff coming to college football in 2014, this new deal between the SEC and Big 12 solidifies the Big 12, which has lost four teams to other power conferences in the last 12 months. It remained quite poachable, but the increased payout for its teams and relationship with the SEC guaranteeing the league a place at the playoff table reduces that possibility significantly. Instead of losing teams, look for the Big 12 to add a few, with FSU and Clemson, and perhaps more ACC teams, sure look appealing.
It’s not like the ACC can ink a deal with the Big East or any other league and stay in the same financial bracket as the new big four, nor will it enhance the league’s national image. The ACC as it stands has but one option to rise up and send a message to the other four power conferences that it will remain relevant financially and on the field: Notre Dame.
The quote from Fox Sport SW is typical. I understand that there will always be a bit of homerism in local and/or regional media, but FSSW absolutely sloberknocks the tejass schools, the boomers, and recently, okie lite.
I'm not saying that this agreement won't do anything for the BigPlusMinus conference. It will from a financial aspect, media exposure, and as a bargaining tool for future negiations of any kind. But essentially they've just signed on to be the $ec's punching bag because that's exactly what's gonna happen for at least the next few years.
Unlikely that ND would join the ACC. They want their TV market to overlap with the Catholic belt. There are precisely 0 Catholics south of Maryland.
Oops, don't I look foolish.That quote is from FoxSports South, not SW, and the writer covers the ACC.
Agree, although for the sake of playing devil's advocate it's worth mentioning that due to John Swofford's (rather annoying) preoccupation with adding bland northeastern schools to the ACC, ND would have the built in "Catholic rivalry" with BC and could convince itself that they'd have a pretty strong presence in the mythical NYC market thanks to Syracuse. Again, I don't see ND joining a conference, but the ACC wouldn't be a bad fit for them. Despite being a midwestern Catholic school they'd fit in well with the strong academics of the conference and it'd be great for their other sports (for instance, they're very solid at lacrosse) along with increasing recruiting in the southeast.
Notre Dame aside, I'm still very skeptical that Florida State leaves the ACC. I just don't see it, and certainly not Clemson. Clemson's ties are just too deep.
Agree, although for the sake of playing devil's advocate it's worth mentioning that due to John Swofford's (rather annoying) preoccupation with adding bland northeastern schools to the ACC, ND would have the built in "Catholic rivalry" with BC and could convince itself that they'd have a pretty strong presence in the mythical NYC market thanks to Syracuse. Again, I don't see ND joining a conference, but the ACC wouldn't be a bad fit for them. Despite being a midwestern Catholic school they'd fit in well with the strong academics of the conference and it'd be great for their other sports (for instance, they're very solid at lacrosse) along with increasing recruiting in the southeast.
Notre Dame aside, I'm still very skeptical that Florida State leaves the ACC. I just don't see it, and certainly not Clemson. Clemson's ties are just too deep.
Different cultures, traditional sports, etc - but there are a ton of Catholics in the South (especially FL and TX) - they tend to be Hispanic, but the fact is that they are a huge and growing demographic. ND would be smart to start trying to cultivate a fan base among them - and the sooner the better (for ND that is).Unlikely that ND would join the ACC. They want their TV market to overlap with the Catholic belt. There are precisely 0 Catholics south of Maryland.
Different cultures, traditional sports, etc - but there are a ton of Catholics in the South (especially FL and TX) - they tend to be Hispanic, but the fact is that they are a huge and growing demographic. ND would be smart to start trying to cultivate a fan base among them - and the sooner the better (for ND that is).