Too broad of a question imo, wins the big 12 north with a 6-6 record or something like that, I would still not renew and still want him gone but I would understand why some may change their mind (and why he would stay, cause trust me at 6-6 he ain't going nowhere) but if he pulls off a 8-4 record (even if we don't win the north) then donations, tickets, and my full support of the head coach are all back. Wins is a more important indicator than the big 12 north imo (that's how bad our division is now :huh, but in year 5 with all his recruits, all his promises, all his chances he better show his best season yet and too me even 7-5 will not be good enough.
First off, I agree with you that wins are the measure of accomplishment, not zen like sayings and a happy show for those who they look down on as they expect them to to pay up for a less than mediocre product.
My fear, and with Hawk it could happen, is that he takes the quality talent that he has accumulated, makes it work for a year, and gets his 8-4 or ever 9-3 season. He and those who have kept him in position then say I told you so and extend him again. He follows up by reverting to the old Hawk and we get another 3-4 years of underachievement, excuses, and embarassing losses, all explained by "We are this close, look at what we did in the bowl year, we are going to get that back. In the mean time the foundation of the program goes to crap.
For me to believe I now need more than one year, after all we have had four years of pathetic performances, one lucky year doesn't erase all of that.