What an entertaining match with a tough ending last night. As was mentioned in the press conference, a few loose points in the 1st two sets were probably the underlying cause of the loss, with 5th sets always seeming to be “crap shoots”. (The play I can still particularly remember in this context is, late in the 1st set, something broke down on one play between our pass, set and attack and our hitter hit the antenna on her kill attempt after ASU had to send over a free ball.)
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Since I had some time on my hands while watching the football game (OH DAMN- SO CLOSE AGAIN), thought I’d also chime in on the volleyball coaching discussion, especially since everyone posting so far has seemed to be negative. In short, looking at it in (hopefully) a dispassionate way, I don’t understand, at least in terms of recent history and compared to other CU teams and coaches, how Coach Kritza would somehow be the CU coach that many see as being on the “hot seat”. (I wonder how much of it is due to the exciting constant momentum changing nature of volleyball?)
Appreciate other’s input, and apologize in advance on how wordy this is.
Note- I’m only going to be comparing volleyball to team sports, and will leave out football- since that’s a different animal which is already beaten to death in its forum, and lacrosse, since it’s a start-up program. Also, want to state I don’t know ANY of CU’s coaches, so their personalities (or whatever) don’t enter into my opinion. And, since I’m comparing volleyball to other sports below, I want to emphasize I’m VERY happy with all our coaches right now, and think they’re doing great jobs.
Regarding volleyball:
1) In the Pac 12, CU has improved each year from 2 to 4 to 9 wins. The 1st 3 years of Coach Kritza’s tenure (including the last two of CU’s Big 12 run) were obviously tough ones as far as wins and losses. If I remember correctly, this is pretty easily explained by the fact the players she inherited were probably shorter on talent needed to compete in a major conference than any other sport at CU by quite a bit (probably even compared to what Coach MacIntyre faced in football), and then had multiple players transfer out. Soccer and both basketballs had quite a few people already on their rosters for the new coaches who ended up being major contributors and stars in later years with their new coaches. Volleyball had Kerra Schroeder (who may have committed under the prior coach but still came to CU after the coaching change), and maybe one or two others (defensive specialists) who ended up helping out.
2) I was trying to think back over the last 5-6 years, and I think a strong argument could be made that last season the volleyball team had probably close to if not THE BEST seasons for any team sport at CU over the last 5-6 years (I’d say no worse than 3rd). So, I don’t understand how one can say- “hey coach, you had one of if not the best season of any sport at our school for years, but we still think you’re vulnerable after this year.” My belief of the quality of the season is based on:
a. The number of wins in the Pac 12 (based on how much better volleyball is in the Pac 12 compared to all the other team sports CU is involved in)***,
***I was curious, and looked at the average final RPI for the four Pac 12 team sports CU is involved in last year (excluded football and lacrosse), and volleyball’s was the toughest by quite a bit. The average final RPI’s for all Pac 12 teams at the end of last year were as follows: Volleyball- 40, Soccer- 59, Men’s Basketball- 78, Women’s Basketball- 87
b. The fact they had 2-3 QUALITY wins in conference. (what other CU teams have beaten one of the top 3 or 4 teams in the country (in Washington, #1 when they faced them, #4 in the final NCAA pole) as well as two other teams ranked in the top 25, at least when they played them?),
c. And then they equated themselves better than could have been expected (especially as probably one of the last teams selected) in the NCAA tourney by upsetting #25 Iowa State and then losing a tough 5 setter to #10 Minnesota on their home court.
I guess that’s one question for people’s expectations- I think we always need to keep relative strength of conference in mind when evaluating teams and their coaches. Do others’ agree?
3) So, how do the Buffs (and all teams in all sports) improve, and what's considered one of the coach's main responsibilities/ basis of evaluation?
Most people usually point to recruiting. On that front, using recruiting rankings***, volleyball has, starting with the 2012 freshman class, had 3-1/2 top 40 recruits become Buffs based on prepvolleyball.com’s (PV) rankings (PV seems to be the main ranking service for volleyball). (The Buffs are Ms.’s. Austin (2012 #26 per PV, top 25 per ESPN), Edelman (2012 #38 per PV, top 25 per ESPN), G. Simpson (2014 #15 per PV), and ½ credit for T. Simpson (#10 PV in 2011) since she transferred in as a junior.) What other CU sports have recruited close to that many highly ranked athletes? (I don’t have a subscription to know who, but per a volleyball blog, Buffs volleyball also has PV's #87 ranked HS senior coming in 2015.)
(***Probably because I’m an old f**t, I’m not a big believer in high school recruit ratings meaning much anyway, but agree with many they’re the only (premature) way to pass judgment on recruiting until we see how players end up performing over a few recruiting cycles.)
Regarding this season, I’d say it’s definitely been hard to gauge because of the apparent “walking wounded” nature of most of the injuries to many of the most key players (with 3 of the top 5-6 out at various times, and a couple others currently out who would probably be contributors to some extent), and the unexpected (to me) positive substantive contributions by ALL the freshmen. I think the fact the Buffs are easily competing with top 20 teams, and we’re pissed when we lose to them, is a testament of how good this team is, and how much better they can be given how little time the various players have had to play together in both games and practice due to the injuries and youth.
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On another related topic, as an often nervous fan, wanted to mention Pac 12 volleyball is looking even scarier this year than last year (where as I wrote above had an awesome average RPI of 40), especially for the middle and lower teams that the Buffs will typically have to beat to have a decent season and a possible/ probable NCAA tournament bid. (Stanford, Washington and USC have been the ones consistently at the top level of the Pac for MANY years, although surprisingly it looks like it may be a rare off year for USC (as usual, due to injury, along with the graduation of one of the best defensive players in the country).) UCLA and Oregon, schools that in certain years get to or exceed the big 3, both already have two wins each against top 25 clubs and are well inside the top 25. Even Oregon State, who dragged down the conference RPI last year while going 0-20 in conference, is looking VERY solid, with wins over teams that typically are solid in other conferences (such as Pacific, Long Beach State, Michigan), and are 2-1 start in the Pac. In short, the old cliché of there being no easy matches in conference is definitely looking to be true in the Pac for volleyball this year. (Another example of this, per one of the volleyball blogs, one of the most respected college rating services is called Pablo's. Per that ranking, going into this week's game the WORSE Pac 12 team was Washington State, ranked #44 in the country. Yikes! (CU was Pablo's #30 team by the way.))
On the bright side, I found somebody else post something in one the main volleyball forum that CU’s strength of schedule this year after non-conference ended might come in at around #10 in the country (once all the Pac 12 games are factored in, and I believe assume our non-conference foes beat who they're guessed to beat). Therefore, assuming his/ her analysis is somewhat accurate, IF we win enough, we shouldn’t have strength of schedule issues with our RPI- it’ll just be about winning enough games. Regarding winning and getting into the tournament, one thing the Buffs will need to do, no matter how many/ if they get any big wins this year, is go at least 9-11 in conference, as they won’t have an overall winning record if they don’t. (I believe an overall winning record is one of the requirements for qualifying to the tournament.)
Anyway, apologize again for the wordiness, and Go Buffs!