Alabama is -5/-5.5 against SMU on a neutral field.
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CFP Race 2024
- Thread starter Robert Sorell
- Start date
I think most people still think Alabama is the Saban Alabama. They aren’t.
It is never wrong to root against ND
B1G, who played one more conference game than the SEC, managed to have 4 10-win teams with fewer than 3 losses.
People complain about Indiana's SOS, but if you consider that Wisconsin game as Alabama's 9th P4 game, then is an OOC of USF, WKU, and Mercer really that much better than FIU, Western Illinois, and Charlotte?
Same thing with Ole Miss- if you consider Wake Forest as their 9th P4, their OOC was Furman, Middle Tennessee, and Georgia Southern.
SEC Shouldn't get the benefit of the doubt if and until they play 9 conference games, or schedule two P4s out of conference.
So good this weekWas just coming here to post that. Curse you @Buffs35 (shaking tiny fist).
The only thing coming out of the $ESPNC that I like.
L Buff
Commissar of the Albuffs Collective Left
They're always good IMO ... highly produced and well written and staged.
I particularly enjoyed the Michigan fan's appearance.
May be the most elaborate one they’ve ever done.
Having a wild debate with some friends over hypotheticals. Would you possibly be able to share what your model says these games would be? If not, I understand.
CU - Miami neutral field
PSU - BSU neutral field
Texas - ASU neutral field.
*intentional “too many players”
Not trying to steal any thunder here, but while you wait on Manhattan, you can always play around with the Massey Ratings matchup tool here:
Massey would have CU as a 3-4 point dog to Miami, Penn State as a 11 point favorite over BSU, and Texas as a 14 point favorite over ASU.
Sagarin season long ratings has CU as a pick 'em vs. Miami, Penn State as 18 point favorites over BSU, and Texas as a 7 point favorite over ASU
Sagarin recent, which weights recent results more heavily, would favor CU by 4 points over Miami, PSU as 12 point favorite over BSU, and Texas as a 4 point favorite over ASU.
Thank you! Where do you find the Sagarin matchup tool?
Get rid of CCGs!! Make the season more important.
This is assuming 50/50 crowd and geographically equal sites:
Colorado -3 against Miami
Penn State -10 against Boise State
Texas -8 against Arizona State
My favorite was definitely hopes line: it's the hope that kills you.
A true doom disciple that one
That was awesome, I just didn't get why they did it with Georgia.
Think about it. Hope had to die for them to go to the playoffs. They ain't winning a natty without beck. It's standard doom scripture. Ironically granting them their immediate desire at the cost of their true hopes and dreams
Alright, I get it. Kinda deep for SEC Shorts, and probably flew right over the heads of most of their audience (as it did mine), but I like it.
I think a lot of people are sleeping on ND. They get Indiana at home, then a weaker than normal Georgia team, rolling into PSU/SMU/Boise. 2 of those 3 probably won't be there, and the jury is STILL out on whether or not Franklin can win the a big game. I think ND will be in the title game, with a puncher's chance to beat the winner of OSU/Oregon (maybe Texas, but I doubt it).
Robert Sorell
Well-Known Member
I think Beck will be done for the year, and honestly the Stockton kid played poorly and they won in spite of him.
Georgia was already a very flawed team that showed they can lose to anyone. I think they're a touch more beatable without Beck.
Hand crank- my understanding is that Sagarin you can more or less subtract their Sagarin ratings from one another to get point spreads.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
Same with FPI and Action Network’s Power Ratings. .
Trogdor
Soy Boy
So? They were favored by even more against Vandy and OU. Oregon wouldn't be the favorite against multiple teams, should they not be the #1 seed?
I expect ND to roll over Indiana although on paper this looks like a tough matchup for ND. IU has the nation's top run defense but that's against their joke of a schedule. Forcing Riley Leonard to beat you would likely spell trouble for ND but I don't think Indiana can stop the ND run game with the 1-2 punch of Love and Price plus Leonard's running ability. I think ND will have a tough time with Georgia.
I think that will all depend on how much UGA can get the backup QB into a semblance of a starting QB. There is no doubt in my mind that Texas choked that game away more than Georgia won it. The backup had one good drive and was absolutely dreadful the rest of the game. If they can make him a decent starter, then their defense might be able to win it for them in a low scoring game. If they can't, and ND has 10 days or so to prep for him, I can't see Georgia doing much if anything on offense, and eventually even Georgia's defense is going to break.