Lots of people aren’t paying attention.How come every conference is going toward divisionless but most tweets on the Big 12 alignment are people trying to divide it into 2 divisions? Did Yormark say something about this?
I think some of you would like this:
Interesting take by Nate Silver here - especially with regards to Stanford and Cal. One of the big punchlines, which I'd agree with, is essentially the fan apathy towards college football here relative to other regions.https://www.natesilver.net/p/ok-so-whats-your-college-football
And the Pac-12 left itself vulnerable with mediocre TV ratings. Over 2015-19, here’s how the various Pac-12 schools ranked in TV viewers per game among all college football programs:
- USC — 16th
- Stanford — 25th
- Oregon — 26th
- Washington — 28th
- UCLA — 29th
- Washington State — 39th
- Utah — 41st
- California — 47th
- Arizona State — 50th
- Colorado — 58th
- Arizona — 62nd
- Oregon State — 74th
...
The West has considerably lower overall college football avidity than the South or the Midwest, which lowers both the ceiling and the floor for TV ratings.
Yea my thought too. Hope he addressed that in his article or it's just bad analysisThat makes sense geographically to minimize travel but holy **** is it competitively unbalanced.
I haven’t read the article but if his argument is built upon that it’s a stupid argument- P12N had carriage in fewer households than pretty much if not all the other tier 3 distribution networks for the other conferences, and much of the content was on P12N. A better measure would be something like “Avg TV viewership on nationally televised games”. I bet a number of P12 schools do better by that metric.
I think some of you would like this:
ESPN tracks ratings in like 55-60 US media markets for its broadcasts & then applies metrics on which teams give numbs where irrespective of being ranked to see who lifts broadcasts where.That makes sense geographically to minimize travel but holy **** is it competitively unbalanced.
I haven’t read the article but if his argument is built upon that it’s a stupid argument- P12N had carriage in fewer households than pretty much if not all the other tier 3 distribution networks for the other conferences, and much of the content was on P12N. A better measure would be something like “Avg TV viewership on nationally televised games”. I bet a number of P12 schools do better by that metric.
As long as there is a stipulation in CFB that includes “top 4+ conference Champs” get in, I will feel OK about where we are.Why are people talking about the Pac living on and fighting to maintain its A5 or Power 5 status. It’s a distinction without a difference since the new playoff format simply takes the six highest ranked conference champs and the 6 best at large teams. It’s not A5 + 1, it’s just the top 6 ranked conference champs. The realignment happening now may cause them to adjust the number of conf champs vs at-large, but no version of the Pac going forward will change what they do there.
Networks are not devouring the ACC. It does not look like some posters are looking at Market Conditions for media rights. It has all changed in the last year. There is a finite amount of money and it is all committed. Fox, ESPN, are not shelling out money for non-premium tier programs. They just committed available money to USC, UCLA, UW, OU, TX, Oregon, CU, UA, ASU and UU. The only way the MWC or AAC can pick up the remaining PAC schools is if a media company steps up and says we will give pro rata shares for the additional members.After the networks devour the ACC, I suspect the MWC will be next.
Assuming the AAC picks up the PAC-4 schools, they will be going after SDSU, Boise State, CSU, and Air Force.
I don’t think Fox will have any interest in the MWC after getting USC, UCLA, UO, and UW.
Because only one G5 team thats conference champs can get into the playoffs. Whereas all P5 conference Champs get it. But the games matter a lot more when they have a chance to a playoff spot and you aren't fighting with MAC, MW, AAC, Sun Belt, and CUSA teams for that spot. That's a significant difference.Why are people talking about the Pac living on and fighting to maintain its A5 or Power 5 status. It’s a distinction without a difference since the new playoff format simply takes the six highest ranked conference champs and the 6 best at large teams. It’s not A5 + 1, it’s just the top 6 ranked conference champs. The realignment happening now may cause them to adjust the number of conf champs vs at-large, but no version of the Pac going forward will change what they do there.
this is basically perfect.Normal (plus K-State)
CU
KU
ISU
OSU
KSU
Utah
Arizona
ASU
Weirdos and Randos
BYU
Baylor
TCU
WVU
UCF
Cinci
TT
Houston
That’s not true, there is no such stipulation. They chose to include 6 as the number of conf champs to guarantee at least 1 group of 5 champ gets in, but the criteria is just the 6 highest ranked conference champions. If those six are SEC, Big 10, Big 12, MWC, AAC, and Conf U.S.A., so be it and the ACC champ would not be an AQ. There is no carve out for any specific league or league type.Because only one G5 team thats conference champs can get into the playoffs. Whereas all P5 conference Champs get it. But the games matter a lot more when they have a chance to a playoff spot and you aren't fighting with MAC, MW, AAC, Sun Belt, and CUSA teams for that spot. That's a significant difference.
I still don't get the UConn thing, and I think the XII has enough basketball brands-The PAC schools really don't have much value. I was told 15 mil on high end and that's if linked with attractive brands which aren't out there right now. Their brands are all worth 40 mil combined. They were never getting into the B1G. A case for Stanford in the B12 but not Cal and Stanford doesn't want to go to the B12.
The value is mainly PAC A5 status and their TV network which could be brought by ESPN for pennies on a dollar.
Rumor is UCONN and Oregon State is going to the B12 so the P4 could go to P3.
I did get info that Comcast debt still has to be paid by the previous schools in during that time so that could be a coup for any conference that wants to merge.
Delicious.
I don't know how much Wazzu can move the needle. At least with UConn you have growth potential considering the population, its hoops programs, and cooperation & desire from ESPN on building that brand.I still don't get the UConn thing, and I think the XII has enough basketball brands-
KU-Blue blood.
Arizona-close to blue blood, but I can't give them that status because they haven't been to a Final Four since 2001. Let's say very good program.
Houston-Final Four in 2021, #1 seed last year.
**** Bailer-2021 champs
Texas Tech-2019 runners up. Sweet 16 in 2022. Bad last year, but they made a good hire in Grant McCasland.
TCU-Two words: Jamie Dixon.
K-State-Haven't they been to three elite eights since 2010?
I think you add Wazzu over UConn.
You don't think an A5 status conference won't have precedence? Be logical.That’s not true, there is no such stipulation. They chose to include 6 as the number of conf champs to guarantee at least 1 group of 5 champ gets in, but the criteria is just the 6 highest ranked conference champions. If those six are SEC, Big 10, Big 12, MWC, AAC, and Conf U.S.A., so be it and the ACC champ would not be an AQ. There is no carve out for any specific league or league type.
There is no A5 designation so I wish people would not use it. The Power 5 were allowed some autonomy in the NCAA bylaws. Without doing a 5 paragraph post - it is the Power 5 or P5 that are allowed autonomy not some A5 designation.
ESPN wants them. Wazzu is obviously more proven. Gets good ratings on ESPN as well.I don't know how much Wazzu can move the needle. At least with UConn you have growth potential considering the population, its hoops programs, and cooperation & desire from ESPN on building that brand.
What I'm really curious about is the chatter about Gonzaga & UConn joining. I'd assume the Huskies would be non-football but they'd get some sort of fb scheduling plan on the ND model.ESPN wants them. Wazzu is obviously more proven. Gets good ratings on ESPN as well.