I am very excited about this team, partly because I believe the pieces coming in are better than the pieces departing and partly because of expected improvement of young returning players.
I like Gatling better than Collier. Collier averaged 7ppg last year and played D for the first time in his career. His lack of great lateral quickness still left his D lacking at times, but he was a calming force. I expect Gatling to be nearly as good from beyond the arc and much better driving to the basket on offense. I also expect he will be better at preventing defenders from getting in the lane. At the end of the day, I would be surprised if Gatling didn't average 9 a game and help shore up the perimeter D.
I like Battey as much as I liked George King - King could really light it up when he wanted to. He could also play D when he wanted to. Problem was that the want to wasn't always there. Battey and King are completely different players, but I think Battey will be every bit the match up problem and be a more consistently willing player (Whether on D, rebounding or hustle plays). I don't exect Battey to average nearly 13 a game like King, but he won't need to. I suspect he'll get 7-8ppg but improve CU's low post D and rebounding.
I'd be shocked if Bey didn't improve on a similar path to what Andre Roberson did in his time at CU. Andre went from 6.7ppg and 7.1rbg to 11.6 and 11.1. I suspect Bey goes from 6.1ppg and 5.1RBG to 11PPG and 9RBG.
I'd be shocked if Dallas Walton doesn't make similar statistical strides as Bey. The upside on Walton isn't being talked about much right now. But we're talking about a player who has played two full years of basketball in the last five. Hard not to grow every day when that is the case. Don't be surprised if at year end you see DW averaging 10ppg and 7rbg.
I'd be shocked if McKinley Wright doesn't make a jump similar to Spencer Dinwiddie or Alec Burks in their second years. Spencer went from 10ppg to 15.3PPG. Alex went from 17ppg to 20ppg. I fully expect Wright to go from 14.2 to 18.5PPG and for his assist to turnover ration to be close to 6 to 1 (up from 5 to 3).
I also expect Schwartz to make similar strides to Askia Booker who improved from 9.1ppg to 12.4ppg. That only puts Scwarts in the 7ppg range, but with CU's other weapons he won't need to score a ton more. More importantly, I expect his defense and aggressiveness to be vastly different.
The offensive improvements are easy to quantify, what we are all really going to love is just how good this team can be defensively. The biggest weakness is McKinley Wright due to his size....but he is such a competitor I bet he stands up well anyway.