It’s flying under the radar somewhat nationally, but coaches and industry sources are wondering about
Todd Graham’s future at Arizona State.
With two different one-year stops in the past, at Rice and Pitt, a coach whose rep had become synonymous with job-hopping is now in danger of being told to leave before he can leave himself.
Those close to the program say ASU leadership is tiring of Graham, a feeling exacerbated by his lack of success. As is often the case, sources say the buyout needs to come in range before a decision is made. If he were to be let go at the end of the season, ASU would owe between $8-9 million in buyout money.
After consecutive 10-win seasons in 2013 and 2014, Arizona State won 11 total games the next two years. Graham is now 39-26 in five seasons with a 25-20 Pac-12 record.
The sixth (and perhaps final) season will assuredly look different: Graham has already hired five new assistants — including two new coordinators — and there’s still a tight ends coach opening.
Former Alabama receivers coach Billy Napier takes over the offense after Chip Lindsey, following his first season at ASU, left for Auburn.
One industry source noted that Napier had twice been passed over by Nick Saban for the Tide coordinator position, including in the past few weeks when he knew Steve Sarkisian was leaving for the NFL.
And former Baylor defensive coordinator Phil Bennett, departing amid the turmoil at that university, is the new defensive coordinator in Tempe. He’s already had to deflect questions about what he did or didn’t know related to Baylor’s handling of sexual assault cases and claims.
Rob Likens (receivers) and Michael Slater (defensive line) both came from Kansas’ struggling program.
New offensive line coach Rob Sale was most recently at Louisiana-Monroe, but has SEC experience at Alabama and Georgia. Sale replaces Josh Henson, who spent a month on the job before returning to Oklahoma State (his alma mater).
In a
video interview Wednesday with AZCentral.com, Graham explained the changes as part of the coaching industry. That’s true on the surface, but replacing half the staff rises to another level. It’s similar to what has recently happened at Ole Miss, where myriad changes have stemmed from the NCAA cloud hanging over the program.
There are no such issues at Arizona State, but coaches still see a bleak picture based on all the coaching moves. They say several assistants left voluntarily while others were pushed out.
“No one’s left from when (Graham) had success there. It feels like there’s too much negativity amongst the group there,” one source who knows the program told us. “I just don’t see it getting any better. About the only momentum they have is with the facilities.”
At No. 37 in the 247Sports Composite Team Recruiting Rankings, the 2017 recruiting class was still respectable — especially given all the staff turnover. But it did mark the lowest finish for the Sun Devils since the 2013 class.
Regularly recruiting in the 20s, it’s clear that the program has underachieved relative to the incoming talent.
A 56-35 loss to rival Arizona, which entered with no conference wins, was a particularly galling way to end a 5-7 season in 2016. The six-win year in 2015 was even more telling, considering ASU entered with lofty expectations, much of that amplified by Graham’s own preseason comments.
One big-picture stat seems particularly damning: In Graham’s five seasons, Arizona State has allowed an average of 40 sacks a season. It has been ranked in the 110s in each of the five years. There’s been no measure of improvement in a clear area of concern.
In the face of increasing internal and external doubt, Graham remains stubborn that this group of coaches and players will again get it right.
“I try to avoid certain words, but our guys are pissed off. I’m pissed off,” Graham told AZCentral.com. “Our guys are motivated. I know I’m motivated. … We want to get this thing back to where it was, and that’s winning and competing for the (Pac-12) South championship and competing for championships.”
In the event ASU makes a move, one name mentioned to us was West Virginia’s Dana Holgorsen. If Kevin Sumlin is out at Texas A&M, that also might be someone to consider.