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Official Allbuffs CFB gambling thread

Duff Man said:
Georgia is the best team in the country at the moment.
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You can make that case for sure, but LSU has a better chance at the playoff than UGA does right now (not to mention LSU has the best win the country with that W at Texas). We're going to likely get another Georgia-Alabama SEC championship game, and I don't see the committee taking a conference championship game loser unless they don't have any other choice. If LSU goes 11-1 and loses to Alabama, they could easily wind up with that 4th spot.
 
ahoelsken said:
You can make that case for sure, but LSU has a better chance at the playoff than UGA does right now (not to mention LSU has the best win the country with that W at Texas). We're going to likely get another Georgia-Alabama SEC championship game, and I don't see the committee taking a conference championship game loser unless they don't have any other choice. If LSU goes 11-1 and loses to Alabama, they could easily wind up with that 4th spot.
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What if Bama beats LSU and UGA (in champ game)? Both are 11-1.
 
hawg1 said:
What if Bama beats LSU and UGA (in champ game)? Both are 11-1.
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LSU ahead of UGA. UGA's loss would come later than LSU's, and LSU's big OOC win in your hypothetical would be better than Georgia's in my opinion (I think Notre Dame will wind up at 8-4 or 9-3, and I think Texas will better that).
 
ahoelsken said:
LSU ahead of UGA. UGA's loss would come later than LSU's, and LSU's big OOC win in your hypothetical would be better than Georgia's in my opinion (I think Notre Dame will wind up at 8-4 or 9-3, and I think Texas will better that).
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Good points. Relative score might matter too.
 
ahoelsken said:
You can make that case for sure, but LSU has a better chance at the playoff than UGA does right now (not to mention LSU has the best win the country with that W at Texas). We're going to likely get another Georgia-Alabama SEC championship game, and I don't see the committee taking a conference championship game loser unless they don't have any other choice. If LSU goes 11-1 and loses to Alabama, they could easily wind up with that 4th spot.
Click to expand...

Bama is vulnerable due to a VERY inexperienced defense. I would favor both Georgia and LSU right now.
 
Duff Man said:
Bama is vulnerable due to a VERY inexperienced defense. I would favor both Georgia and LSU right now.
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Bama recruits so much talent and has such a high expectation/ high pressure environment that their roster is always going to turn over more quickly and have some inexperience in spots. I think where it's starting to bite them, in contrast to Clemson, is with the crazy level of turn over with the coaching staff. Changing some staff is good, but Bama has lost any semblance of coaching, techniques & systems continuity outside of Saban himself. That makes it a lot harder to reload with inexperienced talent.
 
Duff Man said:
Bama is vulnerable due to a VERY inexperienced defense. I would favor both Georgia and LSU right now.
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I think that's fair, but Bama also has five more weeks between now and the time they get LSU at home. Plenty of time to improve.
 
Buffnik said:
Bama recruits so much talent and has such a high expectation/ high pressure environment that their roster is always going to turn over more quickly and have some inexperience in spots. I think where it's starting to bite them, in contrast to Clemson, is with the crazy level of turn over with the coaching staff. Changing some staff is good, but Bama has lost any semblance of coaching, techniques & systems continuity outside of Saban himself. That makes it a lot harder to reload with inexperienced talent.
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Shows defensively more so than offensively IMO-hasn't been too long since Stevie Sarkisian's first stint in Tuscaloosa.
 
ahoelsken said:
Shows defensively more so than offensively IMO-hasn't been too long since Stevie Sarkisian's first stint in Tuscaloosa.
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OL hasn't been dominant like it had been. On offense, having Tua and that group of WRs covers a lot of deficiencies.
 
Colorado is now +8.5/9.

Have money at this number. If it goes higher, I will bet more. Tomorrow AM halves and quarters should be interesting.
 
Threw some down on:
Michigan over 9.5 TT 1H
Georgia over 19.5 TT 1H
Wazzu over 20.5 TT 1H
Wake-Elon over 33.5 1H
Okie Lite +7.5
KU-WVU over 49
KU +4.5
Heavy tOSU over 12.5 TT 1Q

To go with earlier...
I maxed CU: ASU under 54.5
I maxed Auburn:aTm over 49
 
manhattanbuf said:
Threw some down on:
Michigan over 9.5 TT 1H
Georgia over 19.5 TT 1H
Wazzu over 20.5 TT 1H
Wake-Elon over 33.5 1H
Okie Lite +7.5
KU-WVU over 49
KU +4.5
Heavy tOSU over 12.5 TT 1Q

To go with earlier...
I maxed CU: ASU under 54.5
I maxed Auburn:aTm over 49
Click to expand...

I also have good chunks on Colorado +8.5 and +9
Added Cal +3
 
aTm 1H -2.5
aTm ML -160
ML parlay: Ole Miss and UGA.
Back out on Michigan

More to come; will study team totals and 1H

Split Tulane Thursday
Won USC last night
 
I have a parlay going
Wisconsin -3
UCF -11

Debating a UGA parlay with maybe Wazzu. That -18 seems easy. What do y'all think?
 
Can anyone see Maryland beating PSU outright at home?

Which Maryland will show up. Then again which PSU team will.
 
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