To much fitting in posting between work.
If you look at my #1 I say we aren't that good, that is what I meant to type in #2 and it came out very good instead of aren't very good. This team still has huge holes, with or without PRich healthy. Teams like Oregon, USC, etc. even tOSU in Columbus which was a down team by their standards with the coaching change could have named the score against us, thankfully the scores they named were fairly low. There is a huge talent gap between us and the top teams and one partial and one full class aren't going to change that even if every recruit we get pans out.
That said, our expectations this year with the talent we have should be six wins, with or without PRich. The only OOC game that should even be a consideration for us as fans (the coaches and players better take everybody serious until it is proven they don't have to) is Fresno and that is because it is a road game. We are more talented than all three of those teams. We will take some beatings in the PAC, again our talent isn't there with the top teams. At the same time there are enough teams in the PAC who we are comparable enough with that we should and better get 3 wins.
Don't take this as minimizing PRich's talent or impact on the game. Given a choice I would much rather have him out there healthy this year. At the same time we are getting better talentwise overall and an even bigger factor is we are another year away from coach don't get to high or low, just figure out how to lose and his era of giving up. If Embree is the coach I think he is we will see a stronger, more focused team that looks for ways to win instead of lose. That won't help us against the elite teams but our schedule isn't all elite teams.