StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 02/27/2012

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet projects Colorado as an NCAA Tournament bubble team but likely out unless it improves. The Buffaloes are sitting at #74 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-9 overall record and an 11-5 record in the Pac 12.
Over the last four games, Colorado got a quality win against RPI #35 California and wins against Utah and Arizona State but also took on a bad loss to RPI #106 Stanford.
Colorado is not that good against top competition, with a 4-5 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Buffaloes have a single quality win against RPI #35 California, they're also dinged by four bad losses including RPI #106 Stanford (2 losses), RPI #115 UCLA, and RPI #103 Maryland.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Mississippi State (19-10, 6-8 SEC, StatRank #62), LSU (17-11, 7-7 SEC, StatRank #63), Texas (18-11, 8-8 Big 12, StatRank #55), and Oregon (20-8, 11-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53).
The first four teams out are Arizona (21-9, 12-5 Pac 12, StatRank #78), Illinois (17-12, 6-10 Big Ten, StatRank #77), Ole Miss (16-12, 6-8 SEC, StatRank #85), and NC State (18-11, 7-7 ACC, StatRank #71).
The next four out are Brigham Young (24-7, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #51), Cincinnati (20-9, 10-6 Big East, StatRank #75), Colorado (19-9, 11-5 Pac 12, StatRank #76), and St. Joseph's (PA) (19-11, 9-6 A-10, StatRank #49).[TABLE="class: tablepad"]
[TR]
[TD]Regional 1

#1	Duke
#2	Michigan State
#3	Baylor
#4	Florida
#5	Indiana
#6	Alabama
#7	Gonzaga
#8	California
#9	Colorado State
#10	Northwestern
#11	Creighton
#12	Long Beach State
#13	Harvard
#14	Akron
#15	Belmont
#16	Bucknell
#17	MVSU

[/TD]
[TD]Regional 2

#1	Kansas
#2	Missouri
#3	Georgetown
#4	Florida State
#5	Notre Dame
#6	Connecticut
#7	Murray State
#8	Iowa State
#9	Kansas State
#10	Seton Hall
#11	Miami (FL)
#12	Oregon
#13	LSU
#14	Iona
#15	Davidson
#16	Long Island
#17	UNCA

[/TD]
[TD]Regional 3

#1	Kentucky
#2	North Carolina
#3	Marquette
#4	Louisville
#5	Southern Miss
#6	UNLV
#7	Temple
#8	Memphis
#9	Purdue
#10	South Florida
#11	Saint Louis
#12	Saint Mary's
#13	Mississippi State
#14	MTSU
#15	Drexel
#16	Texas-Arlington
#17	Savannah State

[/TD]
[TD]Regional 4

#1	Syracuse
#2	Ohio State
#3	Michigan
#4	Wisconsin
#5	Vanderbilt
#6	Wichita State
#7	Virginia
#8	New Mexico
#9	San Diego State
#10	West Virginia
#11	Washington
#12	Texas
#13	Oral Roberts
#14	Nevada
#15	Weber State
#16	Valparaiso
#17	Stony Brook

[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]

Big East Conf NCAA Teams Conf Teams Pct in NCAA [TD="align: center"]9

[TABLE="class: charttable"] [TR] [TD]

Big Ten

SEC

Big 12

ACC

Mountain West

Pac 12

Missouri Valley

A-10

C-USA

West Coast

Southland

Big South

Sun Belt

Horizon

MEAC

Patriot

WAC

America East

SWAC

Ivy League

Atlantic Sun

Summit League

Big Sky

CAA

Ohio Valley

MAC

MAAC

SoCon

NEC

Big West

[TD="align: center"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[/TD]

[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


Originally posted by Fight CU
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[sackman]

I'm seeing a lot of teams on that list that we have beaten. Kinda pisses me off, frankly.

 

[Goose]

This is a bad bracket. Period.

 

[jgisland]

I'm seeing a lot of teams on that list that we have beaten. Kinda pisses me off, frankly.

CU is 3-3 against teams on this list.

 

[absinthe]

All of the statsheet stuff is computer projected no human eye applied.

 

[CVilleBuff]

This is a bad bracket. Period.

Yeah, I was going to start pointing out the ridiculous aspects of this bracket + bubble teams, but I stopped myself because it's simply too numerous to even bother with.