StatSheet Projects Colorado as NCAA Tournament Bubble Team: 03/05/2012

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StatSeed is StatSheet's postseason projections for all of Division I, including the NCAA Tournament, National Invitation Tournament (NIT), College Basketball Invitational (CBI), and the CollegeInsider.com Postseason Tournament (CIT). Read more about how StatSeed is calculated.
StatSheet is projecting Colorado as a bubble team for the NCAA Tournament, but on the outside looking in. The Buffaloes are ranked #82 in the StatSheet StatRank with a 19-11 overall record and an 11-7 record in the Pac 12.
During the last four games, Colorado registered a quality win against RPI #37 California but also hit a setback with losses to RPI #52 Oregon and RPI #98 Stanford and a bad loss to RPI #153 Oregon State.
Colorado struggles against strong competition, with a 4-7 record against the RPI Top 100 that includes a 1-3 record against the RPI Top 50 and an 0-1 record against AP ranked teams. While the Buffaloes have a single quality win against RPI #37 California, they're also weighed down by three bad losses including RPI #153 Oregon State, RPI #103 UCLA, and RPI #109 Maryland.
The last four teams into the NCAA Tournament with at-large bids are Seton Hall (19-11, 8-10 Big East, StatRank #60), NC State (20-11, 9-7 ACC, StatRank #52), Oregon (22-8, 13-5 Pac 12, StatRank #53), and Texas (19-12, 9-9 Big 12, StatRank #55).
The first four teams out are Brigham Young (25-8, 12-4 West Coast, StatRank #48), Cincinnati (22-9, 12-6 Big East, StatRank #68), Mississippi State (21-10, 8-8 SEC, StatRank #76), and Tennessee (18-13, 10-6 SEC, StatRank #89).
The next four out are Colorado (19-11, 11-7 Pac 12, StatRank #80), Illinois (17-14, 6-12 Big Ten, StatRank #76), St. Joseph's (PA) (19-12, 9-7 A-10, StatRank #50), and Xavier (19-11, 10-6 A-10, StatRank #54).[TABLE="class: tablepad"]
[TR]
[TD]Regional 1

#1	Duke
#2	Baylor
#3	Georgetown
#4	Florida
#5	Florida State
#6	Memphis
#7	Colorado State
#8	Alabama
#9	California
#10	Northwestern
#11	Miami (FL)
#12	NC State
#13	Harvard
#14	Akron
#15	Belmont
#16	Bucknell
#17	MVSU

[/TD]
[TD]Regional 2

#1	Kansas
#2	Marquette
#3	Michigan
#4	Indiana
#5	Murray State
#6	Southern Miss
#7	Gonzaga
#8	Connecticut
#9	Creighton
#10	Saint Louis
#11	Ole Miss
#12	Oregon
#13	Long Beach State
#14	Drexel
#15	Davidson
#16	Long Island
#17	UNCA

[/TD]
[TD]Regional 3

#1	Kentucky
#2	Michigan State
#3	Missouri
#4	Louisville
#5	UNLV
#6	Vanderbilt
#7	Iowa State
#8	San Diego State
#9	Kansas State
#10	South Florida
#11	New Mexico
#12	Texas
#13	Oral Roberts
#14	Iona
#15	MTSU
#16	Montana
#17	Savannah State

[/TD]
[TD]Regional 4

#1	Syracuse
#2	North Carolina
#3	Ohio State
#4	Wisconsin
#5	Notre Dame
#6	Wichita State
#7	Virginia
#8	Temple
#9	Purdue
#10	West Virginia
#11	Saint Mary's
#12	Washington
#13	Seton Hall
#14	Nevada
#15	Valparaiso
#16	Texas-Arlington
#17	Stony Brook

[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]

[h=2]NCAA Tourney Projections by Conference[/h]

Conf NCAA Teams Conf Teams Pct in NCAA Big East [TD="align: center"]9

[TABLE="class: charttable"] [TR] [TD]

Big Ten

ACC

Big 12

SEC

Mountain West

Pac 12

Missouri Valley

A-10

C-USA

West Coast

Southland

Big South

Sun Belt

Horizon

MEAC

Patriot

WAC

America East

SWAC

Ivy League

Atlantic Sun

Big Sky

Summit League

CAA

Ohio Valley

MAC

MAAC

SoCon

NEC

Big West

[TD="align: center"]16[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]56.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]7[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]58.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]6[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]60.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]5[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]41.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]4[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]50.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]3[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]25.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]20.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]14[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]14.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]16.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]2[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]22.2%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]13[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]7.7%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]8[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]12.5%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]11[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]9.1%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]10[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]10.0%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]12[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]8.3%[/TD]

[TD="align: center"]1[/TD]
[TD="align: center"]9[/TD]
[TD="align: right"]11.1%[/TD]

[/TD]

[/TD]
[/TR]
[/TABLE]


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