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We're actually favorites vs Cal

GoonieBuff

GoonieBuff

Real home isn't Astoria
Club Member
Moderator
Believe it or not, we actually opened as 3 point favorites vs. Cal on Bookmaker this morning (usually the first offshore sports book to post odds). I figured we'd be 2 point favorites, so it's not some crazy line. Basically, Cal projects as the better team, but we're favorites due to playing at home.
 
I sure hope we play up to our capable level. Not sure what happened with Washington but that score just doesn't make sense.
 
Goff/Kline will throw for 400+ and 5 TDs, and only that low because we'll have just enough run game to limit their possessions. Only question is whether we can score enough to keep up. I doubt it.
 
cal wins this game by 20+...they will score...we will score but not nearly enough...and attempt fg's
 
You all have apparently not seen Cal play this year. They are bad. Goff has a big arm, and a bright future, but his team is not good. There is no Defense.
 
Cal had 483 yards offense and nearly 300 yards passing vs USC yesterday. They have also scored 28 points vs Pac-12 opponents in their last two games (our highest is 23, one time). Sure it was in garbage time, but we have had garbage time all season and still can't do anything
 
CU in Pac-12 play:

Avg for @home: 18pts (2 games)
Avg for away: 15pts (4 games)
Avg against @ home: 50.5pts
Avg against away: 50.5pts

Cal:
Avg for @home: 23.75pts (4 games)
Avg for away: 14.33pts (3 games, also not sure where the 11 point average is from)
Avg against @home: 47pts
Avg against away: 44.333pts

So............... Cal still sucks more amirite?
 
I'm not sure we win, but we better make it competitive. If not, something went very wrong.
 
Cal's not great, but they have played closer to common opponents overall and in the case of games @Washington and Arizona, they were significantly closer.

I see this as a winnable game for CU, but if I were to bet and had no attachment to CU, would certainly take the 3 points and Cal.
 
Getting blown out by 52 is going to have an effect on this week believe it or not
 
'Tini said:
The difference between the predictions after the UCLA game and after last night is pretty hilarious
Click to expand...

Then again, the difference between our performance in the UCLA game and last night is pretty stark; it's with good reason that people's perception has changed so drastically.
 
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TimmyDUBs said:
The UW game really affected people. We'll win
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You have to score more than 20 to have a chance in this league. We know the defense can't stop anyone. Given that PRich is likely to be hobbled, I would say confidence is justifiably shot right now.

I think the game is going to be close, but do I have confidence the defense can make key stops or that the offense can convert in the red zone? Not really.
 
sliderNcider said:
Getting blown out by 52 is going to have an effect on this week believe it or not
Click to expand...
No ****?

lawdogg said:
Then again, the difference between our performance in the UCLA game and last night is pretty stark; it's with good reason that people's perception has change so drastically.
Click to expand...
I know, and it's completely understandable (although I think people are making Cal something they are not)
 
If Cal's defense is as crappy as the numbers indicate, rather than getting into a 4 hour aerial dual with them and lose 48-45, I'd run the hell out the ball and make the game clock go faster. I don't like our chances in an air war with our DBs, Sefo banged up, and Prich nursing an ankle. At last come out alternating Adkins and Powell (Maybe both in the same backfield!) and stick with it as long as it works.
 
Cal has better athletes, but suspect coaching. The game will be close until the 4th where we will be gassed and lose.

We need to be able to run it to have a legit shot in the 4th.
 
NMBuff said:
Cal has better athletes, but suspect coaching. The game will be close until the 4th where we will be gassed and lose.

We need to be able to run it to have a legit shot in the 4th.
Click to expand...
I'd put it at better odds to have the team who isn't used to altitude being the ones gassed...
 
'Tini said:
I'd put it at better odds to have the team who isn't used to altitude being the ones gassed...
Click to expand...

People overrate the altitude factor too much. How many teams have we gassed coming from sea level since we joined the PAC?
 
NMBuff said:
People overrate the altitude factor too much. How many teams have we gassed coming from sea level since we joined the PAC?
Click to expand...
How many of those teams have been as bad as 2013 Cal? There is a statistical backing that it does add a positive benefit to teams at altitude in basketball, I would assume there is a similar stat that backs that up for football.
 
'Tini said:
How many of those teams have been as bad as 2013 Cal? There is a statistical backing that it does add a positive benefit to teams at altitude in basketball, I would assume there is a similar stat that backs that up for football.
Click to expand...

Yeah those Air Force and Wyoming teams are dominant in the mwc.

Football plays are so short that it doesn't matter. You need more snaps to wear the other team down. Cal could make us look gassed if they put up the type of effort they did against a MUCH better USC D.

With that said, I think cu has a definite chance to win. But it's a coin toss.
 
you all need to take a trip to bearinsider and remember that Vegas ALWAYS knows more than you do.

Cough* nutjob basketball newbies *cough
 
My guess is that Goff torches CU for 500+ yards and 4+ TDs. Cal may be **** but at least Tedford left athletes that actually belong in the conference. Cal scores points vs their p12 opponents instead of settling for low percentage FGs.
 
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