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Woelk is concerned too

Interesting that Neill is still contributing columns to the Camera, even after taking the job as the newsroom adviser to CSU's student newspaper, the Rocky Mountain Collegian.

BDC and Collegian are both fortunate to have him. I'm glad he's maintained his connects with the state of Colorado and its sports media. He was always one of my favorites.
 
What a troll. Writing a negative article just because every decent candidate rejected us? Someobody should neg that guy. Everyone knows Mac will magically pull a stud defensive coordinator out of nowhere, even though there aren't any left.

#trustinmac
 
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Woelk is concerned too

We all should be. Woelk touched on things Ive already mentioned as concerns.

Why would there be no interest in a job that will pay several hundred thousand dollars at an FBS program in one of the more attractive places to live in the nation?

For starters, there's the available talent. The Buffs last year were 111th in the nation in total defense and were tied for 116th in scoring defense. While the optimist will say, "Hey, there's nowhere to go but up," the realist will assess the situation and see the possibility of a resume killer.

The schedule is brutal so zero wins in conference are possible next year too.

MacIntyre, coming off a disappointing 2-10 season, will be entering his third year at Colorado, working for an athletic director who inherited him.

I think RG should be more publicly vocal about his commitment to MM as HC. To alleviate fears among candidates that want to come here that there is time to fix things. I know RG has said some things but I dont think he has been vocal enough. There are no good options here. If he has his doubts and thinks he's going to fire MM then get on with it. Otherwise, through your support behind him so he can get a good DC on board and the process of rebuilding can begin.

I don't believe that MM goes into 2015 on the hot seat. I do believe that MM's performance in 2015 will determine how hot the seat becomes. There is a chance that he has a performance that ends up with him being fired. There is a chance he could do so well that he could miss a bowl in 2016 and still keep his job into 2017.

Thats great. Maybe Rick George ought to say that loudly and publicly to ease the minds of DC candidates. Personally, if MM returns another 2 win, 0 and whatever Pac record, I think he's fired. He has to show some kind of improvement.

Maybe we should cut our losses again.

Jebus.
 
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You misunderstood me. What I meant was that he's got an opportunity in 2015 to do something like go 8-5, then win his bowl game. If that happens, he'd probably be bulletproof from a 5-7 non-bowl 2016.

What flavor Koolaid were you drinking when you translated that thought into key strokes?
 
So says the guy that guaranteed 4 wins including a victory over CSU. How's the weather up there in the clouds today Thor?

Do you really understand how that is a hyperbole? The chance of a zero win season is extrodinarily low, thinking different is being extremely ignorant.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
 
0-12

@Arkansas, L 7-73
@Air Force, L 16-44
@North Texas, L 3-77

Yup, big time hyperbole, Miami.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
 
0-12

@Arkansas, L 7-73
@Air Force, L 16-44
@North Texas, L 3-77

Yup, big time hyperbole, Miami.

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

WTF are you talking about SM-G900V. You have less street cred around here than BigBang or the self banned Buffs90. How many soap boxes do you have stacked up?
 
If I try to take off my Buff hat and look at things dispassionately for 2015, here's what I know when comparing likely results to what was experienced in 2014:

1. CU lost no skill position starters from the offense and 2 OLs who have capable replacements.

2. CU lost almost nothing from the defense other than needing to replace a 4-year starter at cornerback.

3. CU lost its punter and kicker, which should downgrade special teams performance.

4. CU brought in 3 JUCO DLs, and a JUCO DB while having several key players returning on defense from injury or suspension.

5. CU players are now in their 3rd year in the program with a junior-dominated team, which usually points to success.

6. The 2014 season had CU facing a lot of senior or NFL-prospect quarterbacks, which is very challenging. 2015 sees CSU, UMass, ASU, OSU, UCLA, Washington State and Oregon all replacing these types of QBs with USC loaded at the position, Arizona, Stanford and Utah having non-NFL prospect vets who are capable of big games, and Hawai'i an unknown.

7. From a scheduling standpoint, many of the most winnable games are on the road (Hawai'i opener, Oregon State, Washington State, Utah) while the home slate of conference games is brutal (Oregon, Arizona, Stanford, USC) and it's an unbalanced year with 5/9 Pac-12 games on the road.

Things set up from a roster and competition standpoint for CU to make a move. From a scheduling standpoint, there are serious challenges. The first 4 games likely decide the season with a tough road trip to Hawai'i in the opener, a neutral site game against rival CSU and two home games against UMass and Nicholls State that should be wins. There's also no bye week in this 13-game schedule, so staying healthy is vital. If I was an outsider looking in, I wouldn't trust CU to do better than 3-1 in the non-conference. I would also say that the over-under on Pac-12 wins would be 1.5 in 2015. So I'd predict a season in the 4-9 or 5-8 range. Below that would point to a bad coaching job, above that a good coaching job.

The program is desperately in need of a good coaching job, really good. Like, 2.5 above the over-under I set at 4.5 wins to deliver 7-6 and a bowl game. For that to happen, CU almost certainly needs to go 4-0 in the non-conference, find a way to win 1 or 2 of its conference home games, and then find a way to win 1 or 2 conference road games to improve from 0-9 to 3-6 in Pac-12 play. Not unreasonable given expected improvements and a much less brutal slate of opposing QBs, but also an upside prediction.
 
If I try to take off my Buff hat and look at things dispassionately for 2015, here's what I know when comparing likely results to what was experienced in 2014:

1. CU lost no skill position starters from the offense and 2 OLs who have capable replacements.

2. CU lost almost nothing from the defense other than needing to replace a 4-year starter at cornerback.

3. CU lost its punter and kicker, which should downgrade special teams performance.

4. CU brought in 3 JUCO DLs, and a JUCO DB while having several key players returning on defense from injury or suspension.

5. CU players are now in their 3rd year in the program with a junior-dominated team, which usually points to success.

6. The 2014 season had CU facing a lot of senior or NFL-prospect quarterbacks, which is very challenging. 2015 sees CSU, UMass, ASU, OSU, UCLA, Washington State and Oregon all replacing these types of QBs with USC loaded at the position, Arizona, Stanford and Utah having non-NFL prospect vets who are capable of big games, and Hawai'i an unknown.

7. From a scheduling standpoint, many of the most winnable games are on the road (Hawai'i opener, Oregon State, Washington State, Utah) while the home slate of conference games is brutal (Oregon, Arizona, Stanford, USC) and it's an unbalanced year with 5/9 Pac-12 games on the road.

Things set up from a roster and competition standpoint for CU to make a move. From a scheduling standpoint, there are serious challenges. The first 4 games likely decide the season with a tough road trip to Hawai'i in the opener, a neutral site game against rival CSU and two home games against UMass and Nicholls State that should be wins. There's also no bye week in this 13-game schedule, so staying healthy is vital. If I was an outsider looking in, I wouldn't trust CU to do better than 3-1 in the non-conference. I would also say that the over-under on Pac-12 wins would be 1.5 in 2015. So I'd predict a season in the 4-9 or 5-8 range. Below that would point to a bad coaching job, above that a good coaching job.

The program is desperately in need of a good coaching job, really good. Like, 2.5 above the over-under I set at 4.5 wins to deliver 7-6 and a bowl game. For that to happen, CU almost certainly needs to go 4-0 in the non-conference, find a way to win 1 or 2 of its conference home games, and then find a way to win 1 or 2 conference road games to improve from 0-9 to 3-6 in Pac-12 play. Not unreasonable given expected improvements and a much less brutal slate of opposing QBs, but also an upside prediction.

I hold a much more contrarian point of view. CU has no trouble scoring but they can't control the game. Our defense can't stop the other team. A few Juco transfers does not add up to a lift off of the bottom of the D1 stat sheet. Further, we clearly are struggling in attracting coaching talent because we can't attract an established DC. Which means we are likely going to hire a position coach who will learn on the job how to be a DC. A risky proposition at a time clear direction is needed. That means mistakes will be made in emphasis in practices, mistakes in scheme and game plan and personnel. Maybe we bounce out of the 100s in stats into the 90s. Or 80s if were lucky.

I sure do hope your right. But I dont see it.
 
I hold a much more contrarian point of view. CU has no trouble scoring but they can't control the game. Our defense can't stop the other team. A few Juco transfers does not add up to a lift off of the bottom of the D1 stat sheet. Further, we clearly are struggling in attracting coaching talent because we can't attract an established DC. Which means we are likely going to hire a position coach who will learn on the job how to be a DC. A risky proposition at a time clear direction is needed. That means mistakes will be made in emphasis in practices, mistakes in scheme and game plan and personnel. Maybe we bounce out of the 100s in stats into the 90s. Or 80s if were lucky.

I sure do hope your right. But I dont see it.
Statistics would indicate a regression to the mean on defense. The defense is going to improve since they can't really go down, we just don't know how much. It absolutely would not take a ton of luck to be in the 80's for scoring defense.
 
Statistics would indicate a regression to the mean on defense. The defense is going to improve since they can't really go down, we just don't know how much. It absolutely would not take a ton of luck to be in the 80's for scoring defense.

A much more reasonable post on your part. I will not disagree that its possible for a move up on the statistics chart. But I think a lot has to go right on the coaching and injuries part of the equation for us to make it to Niks 7-6 bowling mark.
 
The worst part is that we have to win the 7th game instead of 6. I know that people say the added game was Nicholls State and it should be a W regardless, but it's still an extra game to prepare for when they could be preparing for a conference game. It's also an extra chance at injury and it means we don't get a bye. Either way, we need to win 3 conference games, at minimum, and most likely 4. Odds are not in our favor for a bowl game but it is definitely still doable.
 
If I try to take off my Buff hat and look at things dispassionately for 2015, here's what I know when comparing likely results to what was experienced in 2014:

1. CU lost no skill position starters from the offense and 2 OLs who have capable replacements.

2. CU lost almost nothing from the defense other than needing to replace a 4-year starter at cornerback.

3. CU lost its punter and kicker, which should downgrade special teams performance.

4. CU brought in 3 JUCO DLs, and a JUCO DB while having several key players returning on defense from injury or suspension.

5. CU players are now in their 3rd year in the program with a junior-dominated team, which usually points to success.

6. The 2014 season had CU facing a lot of senior or NFL-prospect quarterbacks, which is very challenging. 2015 sees CSU, UMass, ASU, OSU, UCLA, Washington State and Oregon all replacing these types of QBs with USC loaded at the position, Arizona, Stanford and Utah having non-NFL prospect vets who are capable of big games, and Hawai'i an unknown.

7. From a scheduling standpoint, many of the most winnable games are on the road (Hawai'i opener, Oregon State, Washington State, Utah) while the home slate of conference games is brutal (Oregon, Arizona, Stanford, USC) and it's an unbalanced year with 5/9 Pac-12 games on the road.

Things set up from a roster and competition standpoint for CU to make a move. From a scheduling standpoint, there are serious challenges. The first 4 games likely decide the season with a tough road trip to Hawai'i in the opener, a neutral site game against rival CSU and two home games against UMass and Nicholls State that should be wins. There's also no bye week in this 13-game schedule, so staying healthy is vital. If I was an outsider looking in, I wouldn't trust CU to do better than 3-1 in the non-conference. I would also say that the over-under on Pac-12 wins would be 1.5 in 2015. So I'd predict a season in the 4-9 or 5-8 range. Below that would point to a bad coaching job, above that a good coaching job.

The program is desperately in need of a good coaching job, really good. Like, 2.5 above the over-under I set at 4.5 wins to deliver 7-6 and a bowl game. For that to happen, CU almost certainly needs to go 4-0 in the non-conference, find a way to win 1 or 2 of its conference home games, and then find a way to win 1 or 2 conference road games to improve from 0-9 to 3-6 in Pac-12 play. Not unreasonable given expected improvements and a much less brutal slate of opposing QBs, but also an upside prediction.


I have a hard time seeing more than 5 wins with this schedule.

UH- always tough on the road. Their DC left, but Chow remains and Wittek is now eligible. Even though he really isn't all that good IMO, he has to be substantially better than the two badminton players they had masquerading as QBs last year.

UMass- should be a W, but CU had to pull one out of their ass to beat them last year...which says a lot.

CSU- new coach, new QB, new RB, but last year CSU took a totally retooled OL and ran down CU's throat. Could be W.

Nicholls St.- W. At least MikMac isn't dropping games to D1AA teams.

The P12 schedule is brutal. It is hard to see USC, Oregon and Arizona as anything but longshots. Stanford, UCLA, ASU are all more talented than CU, one cannot consider any of those as a reasonable W. As you point out, UU, OSU and WSU, teams that CU is at least somewhat comparable talent wise, are all roadies. Tough sledding, I see 4-5 W's.
 
Honestly, the idea that CU is a career killer is ridiculous. Even John Embree is employed. All of Embree's assistants got jobs after leaving CU in the worst position it has ever been in. Think about that - you can kill an entire program and still get hired someplace else.
 
the **** man, the ****.
There isn't. We aren't paying MacIntyre his salary to ****ing regress and not beat three bad non-P5 teams at home or 45 minutes from home. If this program is going to move forward we need to expect to beat the teams we should.
 
Honestly, the idea that CU is a career killer is ridiculous. Even John Embree is employed. All of Embree's assistants got jobs after leaving CU in the worst position it has ever been in. Think about that - you can kill an entire program and still get hired someplace else.
yea, c'mon Sack that goes on every year in the NFL and College...Coaches **** up and go get a job somewhere else, and usually a promotion. Del Rio ring a bell?
 
There isn't. We aren't paying MacIntyre his salary to ****ing regress and not beat three bad non-P5 teams at home or 45 minutes from home. If this program is going to move forward we need to expect to beat the teams we should.
I'm not going to get into it with you, but this bull**** is ****ing stupid, and you should be better than such over zealous statements after the last seasons. Think about it this way: what are the chances we win each game? You follow advanced stats, figure out whether there are "no reasons" to lose to a team that beat us, a team that nearly beat us, and an FCS team.
 
the good news - Addison gained 8 lbs and 2 redshirt freshmen are impressing Foreman. Kinney bumped to 3*
 
I'm not going to get into it with you, but this bull**** is ****ing stupid, and you should be better than such over zealous statements after the last seasons. Think about it this way: what are the chances we win each game? You follow advanced stats, figure out whether there are "no reasons" to lose to a team that beat us, a team that nearly beat us, and an FCS team.
This sounds familiar....

CSU - 55%
UMass - 76%
NSU - 99%

So based on arbitrary percentages, the probability of beating all three is 41.4%. It's time to start expecting to beat the schools we should. UMass and NSU are just terrible. When is it ok to expect results, Snow? 2016? 2017? 2117? Under MacIntyre we've beaten the teams we should at home, I don't expect that trend to stop.
 
Honestly, the idea that CU is a career killer is ridiculous. Even John Embree is employed. All of Embree's assistants got jobs after leaving CU in the worst position it has ever been in. Think about that - you can kill an entire program and still get hired someplace else.

Hawkins' career, tho!
 
More Good News - Brad Jones, David Bakhtiari, Mason Crosby and Nate Solder all represented CU well this past weekend!
 
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