Bubble watch for Saturday:
Florida at Kentucky: Kentucky 20-10 (11-6) RPI 54. Kentucky has taken two straight losses, including a bad loss at Georgia in their most recent game. They're on the outside right now. This is pretty simple: a win puts them in the field. A loss, and it is desperation, with a minimum of making the SEC Tournament final required.
Providence at UConn: Providence 17-12 (9-8) RPI 79. Providence has crept on to the fringe of the bubble after winning 7/8. There are a lot of holes in their resume, but if they win at UConn and then go deep in the Big East Tournament, they have a chance. No margin for error here.
La Salle at Saint Louis: La Salle 21-7 (11-4) RPI 40. La Salle is definitely "in" right now, but not much wiggle room (likely 12 seed at the moment) A win at Saint Louis would lock it up. A loss won't do much damage, but if they got their doors blown off and then took a horrible lost in their first game of the A-10 Tournament, they could be in trouble and fall out.
Ole Miss at LSU: Ole Miss 22-8 (11-6) RPI 57. Ole Miss is right on the line (Lunardi's first team out). They lack any solid wins other than Missouri, and have bad recent losses to South Carolina and Mississippi State. This is a must win for the Rebs. Win, and then a decent SEC Tournament, and they can sneak in. Lose to LSU, and their hopes are likely done (and frankly, it's amazing we're still talking about them right on the line after that horrendous loss to Mississippi State).
Iowa State at West Virginia: Iowa State 20-10 (10-7) RPI 50. The Cyclones took a big step forward with a win over Oklahoma State in their last game. They're definitely "in" as it stands, but by no means a lock with this RPI land mine at WVU next up. A loss to a bad West Virginia team would be very damaging. ISU wins at WVU, and they're likely safe. But a loss at WVU followed by a loss in their first Big XII Tournament game could easily potentially put them on the outside looking in.
Nebraska at Iowa: Iowa 19-11 (8-9) RPI 76. Iowa has crept to almost .500 in the toughest conference, that's why they're here. Like Providence, they've crept to the fringes of the bubble. Iowa's only chance is to beat Nebraska and then proceed deep into the B1G Tournament. Even then, it's a long shot.
San Diego State at Boise State: Boise State 20-9 (8-7) RPI 43. Boise State is likely "in" right now, although just barely (Lunardi's 2nd to last team in). They choked away a game at UNLV that would have likely punched their ticket. This is a golden chance for them: San Diego State at home. Win, and their Dance ticket is punched. Lose, and they likely fall right on to the outside of the line and need to do damage in the MWC Tournament.
Georgia at Alabama: Alabama 19-11 (11-6) RPI 65. Alabama blew golden chances to win at Florida and Ole Miss. As it stands, they're on the outside (Lunardi's 2nd team out). Tide has to beat Georgia, a win that won't do much, and then go deep into the SEC Tournament in order to sneak in.
South Florida at Cincinnati: Cincinnati 20-10 (8-9) RPI 46. Cincinnati is falling apart, losing 4/5, 6/8. They're still definitely in. However, a home loss to a horrible South Florida team would spell trouble. However, the only chance of Cincinnati falling out is to lose to South Florida, and then take another bad loss in their first Big East Tournament game as they have no bad losses to this point, despite all their struggles.
Missouri at Tennessee: Tennessee 18-11 (10-7) RPI 56. Tennessee is right on the line (Lunardi's last team IN). They held the line by winning at lowly Auburn in their last game. Needless to say, Missouri is a HUGE game for them as it would be a quality win and likely ensure that they're "in" heading into the SEC Tournament. This is quite simply one of these win and you're likely in (baring an SEC Tournament disaster loss). A loss means they'll need to go deep in the SEC Tournament to get in.
Arizona State at Arizona: Arizona State 20-10 (9-8) RPI 96. I don't see it, but Lunardi has the Devils as his 5th team out still. Any chance they have involves winning at Arizona, and then drawing the highest ranked RPI opponents possible and making it all the way to the Pac-12 Tournament Final. If there was ever a year for a lower RPI team to get an at-large than the previous record (67, USC 2011) this is the year, but sitting at 96 in March is simply NOT a good place to be. Total fringe team, at best. IMO. Regardless of what Lunardi says.
UCLA at Washington: Washington 17-13 (9-8) RPI 86. Another total long shot. Washington would need to beat UCLA, and then make it all the way to the Pac-12 Tournament Final to have ANY chance. And that likely wouldn't even be nearly enough.
Kansas at Baylor: Baylor 17-13 (8-9) RPI 72. Baylor has been a disaster over the last month +, but with this weak bubble, they STILL have a chance (Lunardi's 4th team out). A win over Kansas might very well save their season and allow them to sneak in if they have a halfway decent Big XII Tournament. Don't count on it, though. But, the chance is there. Golden opportunity for Baylor.
Central Florida at Southern Miss: Southern Miss 22-8 (11-4) RPI 37. Southern Miss has the most ridiculously inflated RPI of all (they have no good wins) and just took a horrible loss at Marshall. However, in this weak bubble, they're still hanging around (Lunardi's 3rd team out). It would be simply unreal if Southern Miss slipped in the tournament without a true quality win (they have a bunch of fringe top 100 wins as their "quality") and if they meet and beat Memphis they'll get an auto-bid (they'd only meet in the C-USA Tournament Final).
Belmont vs Murray State (OVC Tournament Final: Nashville). Belmont 25-6 (14-2) RPI 22. Belmont has a host of top 100 wins (although nothing special), and their RPI is ridiculously high. However, they have a few sub-100 losses (although most are to fringe top 100 teams). Still, the meat just isn't there with any truly quality wins. That RPI sure is awfully high though. Doubt they get in if they lose to Murray State, but stranger things have happened.
like the back of my hand. I'll give you all the lowdown on places to take the kids, etc. And yes, the Charlottesville area is a must. Absolutely gorgeous and full of things to do. 
