Saturday bubble. By this point, we've got Virginia, Kentucky, Tennessee, Boise State and La Salle sitting around anxiously awaiting their fate. Still some crucial games, however.
Memphis vs Southern Miss. Southern Miss 25-8 RPI 31. Don't be fooled by the gaudy record or the RPI. Southern Miss has a garbage resume. They have two fringe top 100 wins. That's it. Not to mention a recent sub-200 loss to Marshall. Southern Miss isn't getting an at-large bid. They might be close, but it just isn't going to happen. If they beat Memphis, they get the auto-bid, and Memphis will take an at-large, thus shrinking the bubble by a spot. That's why this game is so crucial.
Florida vs Alabama. Alabama 21-11 RPI 60. Alabama beat Tennessee in a bubble battle to keep their hopes alive. However, Alabama simply has to beat Florida to have any legitimate hope of getting in. 1 top 50 win. 4 sub-100 losses. Florida must be defeated to have any chance. As it stands, their win today has surged them to Lunardi's 3rd team out.
Vanderbilt vs Ole Miss. Ole Miss 24-8 RPI 52. Huge win for Ole Miss over Mizzou gave them a much needed resume boost. Unthinkable they're back in the projected field after losing to Mississippi State last week, but here they are as Lunardi's last team in. This gave Ole Miss a much needed 2nd top 50 win, both over Mizzou. The problem is 2 sub-200 losses. Vandy is a sub-100 RPI landmine they can't afford. Must-win for the Rebs to remain with a solid chance of sneaking in.
North Carolina vs Maryland. Maryland 22-11 RPI 62. Maryland kept their hopes alive with a gutsy win over Duke. It has brought their RPI win range of sneaking in. However, they're still on the outside. Lunardi's 4th team out. Maryland now has 3 top 50 wins, 2 of which were against Duke. Yet they only have 4 top 100 wins total. They finished 8-10 in the ACC in a major down year for the conference. Their OOC SOS is below 300. They were swept by fellow bubble team Virginia. Basically, Maryland has to beat North Carolina tomorrow to have any chance.
VCU vs UMass. UMass 21-10 RPI 55. Absolute long shot for an at-large, but they beat Temple today, IF they beat VCU, they'd have 3 top 50 wins, 9 top 100 wins. Only 2 sub 100 losses, neither of which are completely horrendous. This could be one of these 'where the hell did they come from' decisions by the committee, so I'm just warning you. Zero chance without a win over VCU, though. And even then, highly unlikely. UMass should be counting on an auto-bid baring committee going 2011 UAB on us.