Either play would have gone for 40+ yards regardless of the reason. In essence I was agreeing with your post that the offensive ranking could have easily been higher.
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2019 Advanced Stats Thread
- Thread starter J.R. Ewing
- Start date
123rd on D.
Trying to ignore that, asshole.
ChillyBuff
Well-Known Member
Manny wasn’t that good.
I think the D will improve during the year, hell, it better. New system and all that, takes time, sometimes. I don't think it'll rank much better than 70s or 80s, though.
Seems a bit high on offense since our running game is anything but explosive. Efficiency must be off the charts
He doesn't have his team sheets set up year since making the move to ESPN. I'm guessing he's still working up the process to automate all of that.
Here's the linky to the summary on ESPN (I know, I know). However, one thing is abundantly clear: It's not going to be a very fun day for the red-clad faithful in Lincoln next week.
Interesting that CU performed as well as they did this last weekend against the #16 defense.
Here's the Total/Off/Def/ST rankings for our remaining schedule (as posted above, CU is Total: 55th Offense: 11th Defense: 113th Special Teams: 10th)
Through 4 weeks, CU's faced current 101 (CSU), 35 (nubs), 49 (AF) and 39 (ASU). The highest rated O belongs to nubs (30), highest rated D is ASUs (16th).
Interesting that CU performed as well as they did this last weekend against the #16 defense.
Here's the Total/Off/Def/ST rankings for our remaining schedule (as posted above, CU is Total: 55th Offense: 11th Defense: 113th Special Teams: 10th)
| Team | Total Rank | Offense Rank | Defense Rank | Special Teams Rank |
| Arizona | 36 | 6 | 102 | 92 |
| Oregon | 13 | 48 | 4 | 119 |
| WSU | 23 | 4 | 80 | 32 |
| USC | 31 | 18 | 52 | 42 |
| UCLA | 78 | 57 | 87 | 105 |
| Stanford | 88 | 104 | 53 | 93 |
| UW | 9 | 15 | 23 | 13 |
| Utah | 22 | 28 | 34 | 69 |
Through 4 weeks, CU's faced current 101 (CSU), 35 (nubs), 49 (AF) and 39 (ASU). The highest rated O belongs to nubs (30), highest rated D is ASUs (16th).
That over/under against zona is gonna be crazy
Interesting that we're pretty much the same as UA but with better STs. Oregon is getting it done with defense and not offense.
Worth remembering at this point that a good deal of that 55th ranking is still made up of the preseason projection. We were projected 69th, so we're probably playing in the low 40s or maybe even the high 30s so far. As the sample size grows, he removes a little more of the preseason projections each week.
We're up 10! Air ****ing tight!
Wow at the offense being that good with 1 game of viska. Jay Johnson and kap ftw
This team is going to give heart attacks all year long. A team with the 7th ranked offense can beat anyone in any given day. A team with the 113th ranked defense can lose to anyone any given day.
Hopefully the defense gets better as the year goes along. A mediocre defense makes this team really tough to beat.
BehindEnemyLines
beware the habu
Would be interesting to see this for just the 2nd half of the Buff's games
Reddit is amazing. Win probabilities:
coin flip for a bowl game basically. That Oregon game could get real ugly. Only hope for us there is that our weakness in the secondary isn't their strength. Otherwise, yeesh. Also, has us as a slight underdog v UA this week. on the other hand, a near 70% win probability against furd is crazy.
coin flip for a bowl game basically. That Oregon game could get real ugly. Only hope for us there is that our weakness in the secondary isn't their strength. Otherwise, yeesh. Also, has us as a slight underdog v UA this week. on the other hand, a near 70% win probability against furd is crazy.
expected wins is at 5.9 whatever on the bottom right, so that's weird. But you are right, the maths on the bottom add up to that.
I think that checks out. 5.5 expected wins would be a coin flip.
ChillyBuff
Well-Known Member
That's pretty cool. do they archive the spread so we can see what the previous weeks look like? Track it each week?
I'm sure someone does somewhere, but I aint doin the work to find out. IIRC, SP+ is usually around 55% ATS
Not sure what goes into their competition measurements here, but this is good. Also why Arizona is not on this list.
Updated conference and division rankings. AAC West is actually better than ACC Coastal. Woof.
