Bliff Cranch
Well-Known Member
It will be whoever is more physical in fall camp, regardless of experience or talent.
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2019 Buffs Football hype thread
- Thread starter Highlander
- Start date
hawg1
Well-Known Member
You think CU will be favored over Nebraska? I see Huskers as a tough out, even at home.
Assuming Nebraska handles South Alabama and CU handles CSU in week one, I think Vegas will have Nebraska as a very slight favorite (maybe -1 or -2). It's in Boulder, but Nebraska is going to be ranked, coming off a 4-2 second half in 2018, with a top 10 Heisman candidate at QB, and CU is coming off 0-7 and has a first time head coach.
We were talking about who will be favored. I believe they will be favored, which is perfectly fine by me. This program has typically shrunk over the last decade when they have actual expectations or are considered favorites.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
The unit match-ups favor Nebraska. I think they will be favored. I don’t see CU rolling the Huskers by any stretch. Will be fun. I have my ticket.
I think the trenches favor Nebraska, but don't really see a clear advantage anywhere else. Will CU be able to contain Martinez? That will be the difference, IMO.
Idk about dem apples. Nebraska is having a really hard time (desperate almost) replacing Ozigbo and Morgan Jr. Until proven otherwise, I think we are at least a push at RB (even with our present question marks there) and we are above and beyond better, bigger, and deeper at WR (even if you don’t think we are that strong at WR).
They are better at TE and probably better at OL, although I think early season starting OL is closer to a push. Adrian Martinez will have to save their OL a bunch this year (which he will).
Their DL and OLB >>> but we are better at ILB. Secondary is a push until they prove it’s better than ours (which is a potential massive issue for us).
They beat a TERRIBLE Michigan State team with a horrible backup QB, Ohio State made just enough mistakes not to blow them out of the water, and they lost to Iowa. I’m not impressed with how they ended the season yet, especially when so much of it came on relying on Ozigbo who is no longer there.
They are better at TE and probably better at OL, although I think early season starting OL is closer to a push. Adrian Martinez will have to save their OL a bunch this year (which he will).
Their DL and OLB >>> but we are better at ILB. Secondary is a push until they prove it’s better than ours (which is a potential massive issue for us).
They beat a TERRIBLE Michigan State team with a horrible backup QB, Ohio State made just enough mistakes not to blow them out of the water, and they lost to Iowa. I’m not impressed with how they ended the season yet, especially when so much of it came on relying on Ozigbo who is no longer there.
He talked up Coach Tucker and laid out pretty convincing reasons for moving on from Mac. Then Harris started beating the drum for paying players and things went sideways.
Coach Tucker came on a few minutes later, but I couldn't stay in the car and listen.
Yeah we have Jacob Callier
jizzrag85
Well-Known Member
You think -1 or -2? I’m betting that line will be closer to a TD. They’ll be selling the Buffs all season.
Have to remember that the line is not about how much better a team is than an opponent, it is about balancing the betting totals so regardless of outcome Vegas makes money.
Usually because of the national money the line is fairly accurate but some schools tend to be overvalued.
Nebraska is one of those schools that draws a lot of money regardless of how they actually compare to the opponent. Usually that betting balance is good for at least 1-2 points sometimes even more.
Heard one pro talking about how he loved to bet against the corn because it was like getting free points.
Senior QB, top 3 WR in the country, home game which is typically worth 3 points in the betting lines. I think the perception could be close to a TD advantage for Nubs, but being on the road will drop the line, IMO. I think a lot is going to ride on how both teams look in week one against inferior opponents.
It's going to be more like -7. See Mtn's post above. The nubs are going to be a tough out mainly due to their D and O lines.
I look forward to many of y’all posting your betting picks this fall. The sports betting expertise is flowing.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
You gonna post yours? I took Clemson over for season wins. Third year in a row. Only bet so far.
With Clemson's conference and schedule, an O/U win total of 11 is free money, particularly when they are heavy favorites to win the NC and play in 15 games.
I will post on occasion and am happy to engage via DM with you or others to discuss serious sports betting. Mostly I was hoping for some of the experts weighing in on the CU-nuh lines to post their picks so I have fade material.
Be careful about your book’s rules about these win totals. Sometimes they ONLY refer to regular season games.
Good call. Quickly overlooked the Regular Season part of the article I found.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
Fade the public!!!
jizzrag85
Well-Known Member
Solid logic.
That little man needs to be fired
Amazing how long DiStefano has managed to hang around after failing at his job so consistently.
Can they wear dark visors?
No.
Makes more sense now