Take a guarantee of less money in the Fall vs a chance of no money in the Spring. No one knows if it will be better
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2020 CU football season POSTPONED until Nov 6th?
- Thread starter Jens1893
- Start date
Take a guarantee of less money in the Fall vs a chance of no money in the Spring. No one knows if it will be better
I'd strongly assume there will be certain contractual penalties stipulated in the contracts if the conferences can't or don't want to deliver games this fall plus are ADs budgets set for calendar or school years?
How is there a guarantee of any money this fall?
*EVEN IF* we have an approved vaccine in January - which is highly doubtful, and
*EVEN IF* they started manufacturing this theoretical vaccine when they cleared stage 2 testing in Oct/Nov, and consequently have millions of doses ready to go.
The process and logistics of actually distributing said vaccine and administering it to enough people to have full stadiums in March is pretty much impossible.
It will take 6-12 weeks (and probably longer) just to vaccinate the "high-risk" population, let alone the general population. Maybe by May/June would there be enough people vaccinated to safely open arenas and stadiums to capacity.
And that's best case scenario.
This all sucks big giant donkey balls, but the sooner we face the reality and stop being pollyannas, the better we'll navigate this.
Killjoy.
Even if not at capacity, the chances are good that they’d have a lot more people than they would have in the Fall.
Yeah, there is really no perfect scenario and you are throwing a dart in the wind at this point. If I am the P5's, I wait until the last possible moment to make a decision as we just don't know what things will be like in 2-4 weeks (obviously not trending well). A spring season makes sense, but we could be worse off by then.
I think that at most schools gate receipts represent ~20% of their overall revenue (I realise that some donations are tied to the ticket sales, but let's keep it simple for now). Given the general uncertainty surrounding the economy and just about everything else, I think it'd be absolutely foolish to pass on 80% now to maybe get a 100% next fall IF that was the choice, which I don't think is the case.
I think the question is whether the schools think they can safely hold college football games this fall and I think that answer is no for a variety of reasons and also because college football will not be anywhere near the top of any school's agenda right now.
I think the question is whether the schools think they can safely hold college football games this fall and I think that answer is no for a variety of reasons and also because college football will not be anywhere near the top of any school's agenda right now.
Yep, and I think that last possible moment is July 31 (which conveniently is a Friday). By that point I think they'll at the very, very least need to make a decision on the out of conference schedule and the September games.
Whoa. That’s crazy. I would have never expected that from Stanford.
fwiw, my wife and I also had a conversation. It concluded with there being no way in hell we'd go to a tailgate, into the stadium or a sports bar this fall. We wouldn't even meet a small group of friends for an at-home watch party. If it's the spring, we'd play it by ear and getting together at-home to watch games with a small group of friends might be on the table.
this. if it can happen to Stanford it can happen to any fûcking school. this is major.
I'm a little curious if there are any impacts of this to their Pac12 membership. i.e. is there a bylaw or something specifying a minimum number of varsity programs that member schools must field? if so, is Stanford getting close? (I don't think the Pac would kick them out even if this was the case)
first of many, many, MANY dominoes.
There are minimum numbers of sports. Stanford is not close to that number.
That takes them from 36 to 25 D1 sports teams.
I believe that Stanford offered more varsity sports than any school in the nation. They currently offer 16 Men's and 20 Women's sports (LINK). By comparison, CU offers 15 varsity sports in total.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
How can we know that?
I know that head coaches are driven professionals who generally live in a bit of a bubble and have a very narrow tunnel vision. And the common philosophy of coaches (as well as other leaders) is that you can't let any outside stuff distract you from your mission or goals.
But despite all that, I expected more awareness. Maybe I give people too much credit.
I think spring football is too risky because it will impact the 2021 fall season. You can't have teenagers playing 20 to 25 football games in one calendar year. I think if they pull anything off, it will be a 6 to 8 week conference/regional season in the late fall.
ripple effects of a spring season onto the 2021 season isn't something I've considered before. good point to raise and consider.
"Health & safety of athletes" is only the primary thing when it doesn't have negative financial impact.
Stanford AD cuts 11 varsity sports
ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
These comments (as with most things that come out of Harbaugh's mouth) were goofy.....but I don't know if I can be that critical. If you're Harbaugh, Dorrell, or any other football coach, I think the only thing you can do is prepare to open your season as planned until you hear otherwise.