That 3-0 mark for Ohio State is not correct - they are only 2-0 against the current AP top 25
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College Playoff hypothetical
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
That 3-0 mark for Ohio State is not correct - they are only 2-0 against the current AP top 25
Although it's unlikely one of the more interesting scenarios would be if Ohio State and OU both lose. Then if UGA loses as expected who would be the 4th team? Bama, Clemson, and ND would be the obvious top 3.
The Big 12, B1G, and P12 champs would all have at least 3 losses and a 3-loss team isn't getting in. That leaves OU, tOSU, UGA, Michigan, and WSU with 2 losses. WSU and Michigan aren't realistic candidates in this scenario, so that leave tOSU, OU, and UGA. Or would this open the door for a UCF bid?
If this scenario played out I think Georgia should be the 4th team, however the committee has stated they try to avoid rematches in the semi's, let alone a rematch in back-to-back weeks.
The Big 12, B1G, and P12 champs would all have at least 3 losses and a 3-loss team isn't getting in. That leaves OU, tOSU, UGA, Michigan, and WSU with 2 losses. WSU and Michigan aren't realistic candidates in this scenario, so that leave tOSU, OU, and UGA. Or would this open the door for a UCF bid?
If this scenario played out I think Georgia should be the 4th team, however the committee has stated they try to avoid rematches in the semi's, let alone a rematch in back-to-back weeks.
That’s about the only scenario in which UCF has a shot and unfortunately, without Milton, there would always be an asterisk next to the beating they would take from Alabama.
If they got through Memphis, which is about 50/50 this week.
They also lose, we'll be talking about whether UW or UT with 3 losses and a conference championship is more worthy than a 2-loss team that just got beat.
Even if they beat memphis, the committee leaves them out because they’re without Milton.
Probably. UCF would be a prime example of deserving vs best.
I just remember personnel being a factor in how the committee evaluates marginal teams.
Conference champions as AQ is a most deserving model. They deserve to be in the playoff, but may not be the best team. There might be three teams in another conference better than them.
Three teams from one conference is a best model (if that’s what the data say).
UGA would be favored over three of those teams that you list, even if they lose to Bama.
So Vegas’ favorites should be the determining factor?
The problem with this argument of deserving vs best is that teams across conferences don’t play by the same rules.
steph
Well-Known Member
In addition, if P5 conference championship winners get an automatic bid, in reality you would have up to 13 teams in the playoff; the 10 P5 teams playing in their conference championship, plus 3 wildcard teams. If some conferences have traditionally weak divisions, maybe they need to think about realigning divisions to achieve more parity so you don’t have three 1 or 2 loss teams in one division and a 4 loss champion of the other division.
Yes. I would like to see Vegas Power Ratings used by the Committee.