This is a good topic. I still love College Football. I'll keep following the Buffs whenever and where-ever. For me, it is great to be relevant again. I do my football on Saturdays, so not much will change here.
My biggest complaint with CFB is the loss of competitive balance over the past 10-15 years. Now there are very few Have's and more disparity with the growing number of Have-Nots. The pool of top notch teams has really shrunk--I think it used to be about 25 with legitimate championship shots, now it is more like 10. IMO, the top 6 SEC teams plus Clemson, Ohio State and Michigan are truly a huge step above. These schools are prohibitive favorites, and outside of Cam Newton/Jamies Winston escapades they are winning the Championships. The playoff outcomes and specifically watching the Conference Championship games side-by-side bears this out. Watching the SEC title game against the others, it is really not all that close in the 11 on 11 player match-ups/team depth areas. The SEC is just bigger, stronger, faster, and deeper--TV bears it out. A few other traditionally great teams periodically join in the post-season for a year (they have a break-out star), here or there--I'm talking UW, Ore, USC, Notre Dame, Auburn, Miami and even Fla State; but those are looking more rare these days. I would normally consider Texas and OU Haves (they have the $$$, tradition, results, and have been in the playoffs), however now that may be questionable, as they may be swallowed up by the overall SEC. If they are good they ascend into the SEC 6. All of those teams and plus others that were "Haves" a decade ago (i.e. legitimate shot at championship) most are now relegated to underdog/dark-horses to after thoughts. Brian Kelly leaving Notre Dame for LSU for the sole reason of winning a title was a big tell. He felt he could get ND regularly into the playoff, but did not think he could obtain all the horses/depth to really win it all. In today's college football several strong traditional programs with some success are really in the dumps or heading that way: Stanford, UCLA, Florida, ASU, USC, Iowa, Wisconsin, Michigan State, Nebraska are all sort of afterthoughts at this juncture. Also, that applies to good programs--Okie State, KSU, Utah, Louisville that all have put together mostly good/great seasons, but just never acquire enough horses to join the Haves.
Certainly, college football is a mess and in a huge period of transition. The $$$ disparity concerns me a great deal. I do think there are some positives:
1. Going to the 12 team (or 14 team) playoff may open the field somewhat. I think it is doubtful that much will change in the 1st 5 years, however we could start to see a little more parity emerge. IMO, Ole-Miss or even Penn State (neither team I really root for) breaking through winning playoff games, reaching a final or winning it all would be a good early development. Down the line, we might see some teams that make the playoffs as a younger team or with returning talent, then become prime transfer destinations possessing a legitimate championship shot. Perhaps, ascending teams could join the Haves and maybe stay there for a while. Utah's performance is intriguing. If it were a 12 team playoff, I think they were projected to get in 4-5 times--I doubt they would have lost every game. Say they had a younger or deep team coming off a playoff win with with players returning, Whittingham could fill that 2-deep potenitally obtaining the playmakers or top notch QB they lack. This is where you could see a "Cinderella" emerge and become part of a larger "Haves."
2. I am adjusting to the transfer portal and multiple transfers, as free agency has arrived. I have just re-focused HS v. TP recruiting. It is more maddening, but more exciting too, as we see the roster evolve. Now Prime is an extreme, but teams can really address some of their deficiencies now. Given the sheer # of 4* HS blue chips that really wash-out (i.e. quit playing, or now at non P-4 schools, injury issues), I now see the folly of hyping high school recruiting. Making 17-19yo kids, as the savior/bedrock is nice in rooting for a player 3-4 years, however IMO those bets are long-shots (Jason Harris is on his 3rd team, looking down a division, not even sure where Assad Clayton is these days), and the TP has overshadowed HS recruiting for some good reasons--Div II/non-P65 guys jumping divisions, seasoned grad transfers who want that extra year, and great players stuck in a glut depth chart. Certainly, Prime does things to the extreme, and a few coaches like Dabo do it differently. I have concluded, that HS recruiting while still important is a crap-shoot (17-18 yo's are too unpredictable) and those recruiting races rely too much on the 247, Rivals, ESPN (the "Insiders") etc... as the Hype Machine. I'm not sure that was good for the game or the Frosh players. Again, many wash out and some are not prepared to college life + football. Perhaps in later years, some players might consider being willing to sit a year or two in growing, maturing, and adjusting without the huge spotlight/pressure and lessen quick transfers. One place where HS recruiting/visits etc... will remain important is coaches and players getting to know one another. If you know a coach or AC, and desire to transfer you may be going to somewhat of a known.
3. I think the TP will even out somewhat. Each program has the memo that they need to get better in scouting, evaluating, and recruiting more out of the TP. They are putting more resources into the TP process. The faster and more proactive a team is, probably the better. 247, Rivals, Espn sometimes continue to be a hype machine, however they now have to compete with PFF's grades, experienced players, stats, all-conference accolades to off-set that. IMO, this is the year where the TP talent market really upgraded featuring P64 projected starters, experienced P-4 players, some 5*'s, and promising underclassman taking the plunge (i.e. Quincy Wiggens). Most were seeking an expanded role, however, I think some are really on 2nd chances and may either work or wash out, as attrition has always occurred in CFB.
4. NIL is a concern, as presumably whoever pays the most, should win the most. Certainly, this did not happen for Jimbo and Texas A&M. I think it is proven that one player or even a few players alone does not make a team into a championship contender. For HS recruits, I see a hot market for the top-50, but as guys wash-out or transfer, donor NIL opportunities may dry up some for the top-250. You may see more NIL bets on Upper-Classman TP's, however if injuries, performance and the $$, does not really equate to wins that could tighten. Also, certain guys that are "playing for the bag," will either put up or be shut-out.
5. Many hate the recruiting calendar and things were very hectic in December and April, however I see a method to the madness. This crush calendar overwhelms "Insiders." There is so much going on with players, coaches, roster movement in flux; I believe a well run football program and staff may have a better chance to get the upper-hand. Wasn't one of our starting safeties last year from Utah Tech, Utah Valley State?? The Insider Hype Machine either has to really expand, or their role will drop. Given these services are mainly subscription based and this is the media industry, I doubt a huge revenue influx will occur permitting expansion.
6. I think moving away from the Insiders/Hype Machine could be good for CFB as a whole. If you go back, the Haves (Top-7 Haves) really dominated the HS market for the last decade. Really, the top-15 took most of the Blue-Chip crop. The TP v. HS recruit conversations/positions will continue; however I think this might bring a better competitive balance within the P-64.
7. The Courts are prioritizing the college athletes over School/Conference Power, and I believe Congress is with them, so doubtful that will change. Good for the athlete. Maybe this opens the door to more parity and competition.
8. The new developments are a bummer for the bowls and I believe there will be contraction. IMO, there is no reason that 80 teams play in bowl games, except that ESPN basically holds the monopoly on most games and I guess they get sponsors, no matter how bad the match-up is. In time, I would like to see this backed down to about 60 with the smaller conferences still having tie-ins. End ESPN's drip, drip, drip of bowl games. Also, given that CFB is year-around and really an NFL feeder system, they need to do two things: (1) permit all the CFP teams not in bowls to have an extra # of practices--this might help with parity and coaching changes; and (2) the NFL should question the Bowl opt-outs. With only 5 rounds of the draft maybe some opt-outs may learn a lesson by their stock dropping or maybe not getting drafted.
9. An interesting realm has to do with coaching. Although, I consider DeBoar, Dillingham, Fisch and Prime to all be unknowns in the overall P-64 realm, it is because they lack a proven track record of P-4 success. I still think this has huge pull. Guys like Sark and Kiffin have grown wiser and ascended. These college coaches are working harder now than they ever have, and some are burning out. On both the HC and AC coach level, it looks to be going younger and charisma is a charm. Personally, I think Lincoln Riley is one step into the NFL. If there is more parity via more teams having a legitimate shot at a championship or long playoff run, perhaps coaches may not jump around with so much frequency. Both schools and coaches may have more patience.
10. College football is big business and always an "arms race." However, with NIL, the TP and still required facilities upgrades the $$$ might become saturated. With the House Settlement cut, once finalized the more you make, it could be the more you have to contribute. I think some schools may contract football or go Div II, however I think most will remain. The question will be Title IX and contraction of other sports. CFB is most schools #1 exposure and a local economic boon.