ahoelsken
Well-Known Member
But the G5 programs outside of a few aren't recruiting in the top 50 (Cincinnati and Memphis were the only ones last cycle at 45 and 47 respectively). SDSU was 62, Boise was 67, Fresno State was 72, Nevada 86, and Montana 198th. A few of those teams actually out recruited Arizona, and were basically the same as CU, so yes, those programs are recruiting at a level similar to the bottom end of the Pac 12.
Oregon - 6
Cal - 28
UCLA - 31
Washington 37
You're telling me there's a similar talent level between Oregon/UCLA and Fresno State?? Between Cal and Nevada? Washington and Montana?
Again, G5/FCS programs who play one P5 program a year will SOMETIMES have a great gameplan and "get up" enough to pull off the upset. None of them, outside of Cincinnati, UCF, maybe Boise, would make a bowl game in the Pac 12.
As for Iowa State, Campbell has won 3, 8, 8, 7, and 9 games in his five years there. That's impressive for Iowa State, but they were a trendy pick for the CFP this year and will likely fall well short. They got manhandled against Iowa and barely beat Northern Iowa.
Talent will ALWAYS win out in the long run in college football. If Campbell stays, he might have them in the 7-8 win/year range consistently with this level of recruiting and coaching his balls off, but he's not going to sustain 9-10 wins and become some perennial power. It's why he's likely to leave after this season.
Two things-The talent discrepancy between Fresno and Cincinnati (to name a couple) and the power 5's those two have or will play (I'd be surprised if Notre Dame works Cincy) is a lot closer than your average G5's. Two, Campbell is still waiting for a Michigan type gig to open before he leaves Ames. I don't see him at USC.