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First round exit

I hope so. Not trolling. I want to see them win. I’m just not convinced the record reflects their ability to advance. I see these posts that say we have a 12 Net ranking and we just lost to a 80 Net ranking...the fact is they beat us twice...so we are going to the NCAA tournament and beat a better team? Hopefully we get the right matchup.
 
Skidog said:
I hope so. Not trolling. I want to see them win. I’m just not convinced the record reflects their ability to advance. I see these posts that say we have a 12 Net ranking and we just lost to a 80 Net ranking...the fact is they beat us twice...so we are going to the NCAA tournament and beat a better team? Hopefully we get the right matchup.
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Anyone who takes this man at face value is being conned
 
seattlebuff said:
You may not like his post, but he’s not trolling. He’s not just trying to get a reaction ... he legit thinks we’re gonna lose in the first round (which isn’t that off base).

From Wikipedia:

In Internet slang, a troll is a person who starts quarrels or upsets people on the Internet to distract and sow discord by posting inflammatory and digressive,[1] extraneous, or off-topic messages in an online community(such as a newsgroup, forum, chat room, or blog) with the intent of provoking readers into displaying emotional responses[2] and normalizing tangential discussion,[3] whether for the troll's amusement or a specific gain
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No amusement or gain.
 
Skidog said:
I hope so. Not trolling. I want to see them win. I’m just not convinced the record reflects their ability to advance. I see these posts that say we have a 12 Net ranking and we just lost to a 80 Net ranking...the fact is they beat us twice...so we are going to the NCAA tournament and beat a better team? Hopefully we get the right matchup.
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UCLA is waaaay better now than they were early in the year. The NET ranking is the aggregate of the whole year.

They were 8-9 to start the season with losses to #267 Cal St. Fullerton, #120 Hoffstra, and #112 Wash. St., and are 8-2 in their last 10 including 2 wins against us and a win @Arizona.

A reasonable finish would be splitting in the bay, winning in Utah, winning 1 or 2 games in the Pac12 tourney and getting a #4-#6 seed in the tourney

I'd say a good probability would be 100% chance of being favored to win the first round game and 50% chance to be favored in the second round game. Games played by 18-23 year olds tend to have some wacky, random results so maybe 80% chance to win the first round and 50% to win the second, compounds to about 40% chance to be a sweet 16 team.

There are, at best, 20-25 teams that should be more excited about the quality of their team this year. Bad losses happen to almost every team, this was a bad run of 10 minutes in a bad matchup against a team that is much better than it's record; it's not a reason to write of this team.
 
AllStarBuffs said:
Any team could lose in the 1st round.....it's MARCH MADNESS BABY!!!
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I want a win...hopefully a good matchup. I thought in 97 and 12 we had bad matchups and won...in 14 and 16 we had good matchups and got destroyed in one of those...
 
Robert Sorell said:
UCLA is waaaay better now than they were early in the year. The NET ranking is the aggregate of the whole year.

They were 8-9 to start the season with losses to #267 Cal St. Fullerton, #120 Hoffstra, and #112 Wash. St., and are 8-2 in their last 10 including 2 wins against us and a win @Arizona.

A reasonable finish would be splitting in the bay, winning in Utah, winning 1 or 2 games in the Pac12 tourney and getting a #4-#6 seed in the tourney

I'd say a good probability would be 100% chance of being favored to win the first round game and 50% chance to be favored in the second round game. Games played by 18-23 year olds tend to have some wacky, random results so maybe 80% chance to win the first round and 50% to win the second, compounds to about 40% chance to be a sweet 16 team.

There are, at best, 20-25 teams that should be more excited about the quality of their team this year. Bad losses happen to almost every team, this was a bad run of 10 minutes in a bad matchup against a team that is much better than it's record; it's not a reason to write of this team.
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I didn’t write them off...
 
Skidog said:
I didn’t write them off...
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Too many folks rely on polls, NET, KenPom etc. to heighten expectations...I have watched every game (into early mornings on east coast)...doesn’t seem like a 4-6 seed team to me...once you get below that your probability to win is probably 50-50 (I don’t have that stat)...
 
Medford M. said:
You called UCLA a terrible team and said we'd get dealt a better team in the dance...

There aren't any 12 seeds that have anywhere near the talent as UCLA.
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It may change after today, but Palm and Lunardi have a bunch of teams in their brackets...no UCLA
 
Skidog said:
Too many folks rely on polls, NET, KenPom etc. to heighten expectations...I have watched every game (into early mornings on east coast)...doesn’t seem like a 4-6 seed team to me...once you get below that your probability to win is probably 50-50 (I don’t have that stat)...
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Yeah too many damn people relying on facts instead of risky eye tests that are subjective to decide if we’re good or not!

DAMN FACTS!
 
seattlebuff said:
You may not like his post, but he’s not trolling. He’s not just trying to get a reaction ... he legit thinks we’re gonna lose in the first round (which isn’t that off base).

From Wikipedia:

In Internet slang, a troll is a person who starts quarrels or upsets people on the Internet to distract and sow discord by posting inflammatory and digressive,[1] extraneous, or off-topic messages in an online community(such as a newsgroup, forum, chat room, or blog) with the intent of provoking readers into displaying emotional responses[2] and normalizing tangential discussion,[3] whether for the troll's amusement or a specific gain
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Trolls of a feather etc. etc.
 
There might now be 4 teams in conference better than us...and many think this is a S16 team? If UCLA wins out, this team isn’t even a 6 seed.
 
Skidog said:
There might now be 4 teams in conference better than us...and many think this is a S16 team? If UCLA wins out, this team isn’t even a 6 seed.
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Please go root for some other team. You are not even making sense
 
Skidog said:
I didn’t write them off...
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You asked if we should expect them to be non-viable in the postseason tournament.

Sorry that I misinterpreted that to mean that you wanted to know if you should write them off.

I'll rephrase; the UCLA result is not a reason to expect them to lose in the first round of the NCAA tournament. The UCLA results represent about half of that 20% chance to lose in the first round; the rest of available data suggests you should be excited about the Buffs likely playing more than one NCAA tourney game this year.
 
Robert Sorell said:
You asked if we should expect them to be non-viable in the postseason tournament.

Sorry that I misinterpreted that to mean that you wanted to know if you should write them off.

I'll rephrase; the UCLA result is not a reason to expect them to lose in the first round of the NCAA tournament. The UCLA results represent about half of that 20% chance to lose in the first round; the rest of available data suggests you should be excited about the Buffs likely playing more than one NCAA tourney game this year.
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I am excited...just setting my own expectations. It’s all road games and conference tourney from here on. They could lose to Stanford and IMO have a 50-50 shot of making final four of conference (ASU, Ore, Zona, UCLA). I’m not sure that keeps them a Top 25 team (6 seed). If they land a 7 or 8 seed...I think first game is likely a tossup (obviously depends on the matchup)...only point of this post. I’d feel a little better had they finished the home slate with a win.
 
This might have been a good wake up call. Tad sounded pissed. I wouldn’t be shocked if we go on a huge tear now running the table on this final road trip and a deep conference tourney run followed by a sweet 16 appearance.
 
Unleash Hell said:
This might have been a good wake up call. Tad sounded pissed. I wouldn’t be shocked if we go on a huge tear now running the table on this final road trip and a deep conference tourney run followed by a sweet 16 appearance.
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How many wake up calls does this team need?
 
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