Most popular and money-making they've ever beenI think we are at the beginning of a "national burnout" for sports.
Maybe its just me that's burning out, haha.Most popular and money-making they've ever been
Sorry, Buffnik. I completely disagree. Expansion is almost exclusively about what teams can offer in regards to TV revenues and even if those two would take less money, it may not offset what would be virtually nothing new coming in.I think 2020 is the year for Pac-12 expansion to a Pac-14.
And I'm thinking the expansion will be within the footprint with UNLV and New Mexico. UNM is already R1 as of the 2015 Carnegie ranks for research intensity. That's a requirement for membership. Adds a market (though a small one) and bridges us to Texas if that state is in the picture down the road. UNLV was R2 (deal killer), but is in a 3 million population state that's growing like crazy and is becoming a very good recruiting area with several programs beating top Texas programs in interstate matchups this year. Marquee name in basketball and a football program that could take off with a new stadium. Regarding its research status, they have invested heavily in medical research programs and have a plan for getting there when the 2020 ranks come out: Top Tier Initiative.
With those moves, we'd be in good shape from several standpoints:
1) Pac-14 with those additions moves Utah to the North, which makes sense.
2) Having 14 teams equalizes the number of teams with the B1G, our closest alliance, which makes it easier to do scheduling alliances in football and basketball for "conference challenges" that would benefit both
3) Increases game volumes for the network (revenue)
4) Maintains and extends ownership of geography and cultural DNA of the Pac
5) Both programs would be very willing to accept reduced revenue shares that would still be much more than they get from the MWC
I think 2020 is the year for Pac-12 expansion to a Pac-14.
And I'm thinking the expansion will be within the footprint with UNLV and New Mexico. UNM is already R1 as of the 2015 Carnegie ranks for research intensity. That's a requirement for membership. Adds a market (though a small one) and bridges us to Texas if that state is in the picture down the road. UNLV was R2 (deal killer), but is in a 3 million population state that's growing like crazy and is becoming a very good recruiting area with several programs beating top Texas programs in interstate matchups this year. Marquee name in basketball and a football program that could take off with a new stadium. Regarding its research status, they have invested heavily in medical research programs and have a plan for getting there when the 2020 ranks come out: Top Tier Initiative.
With those moves, we'd be in good shape from several standpoints:
1) Pac-14 with those additions moves Utah to the North, which makes sense.
2) Having 14 teams equalizes the number of teams with the B1G, our closest alliance, which makes it easier to do scheduling alliances in football and basketball for "conference challenges" that would benefit both
3) Increases game volumes for the network (revenue)
4) Maintains and extends ownership of geography and cultural DNA of the Pac
5) Both programs would be very willing to accept reduced revenue shares that would still be much more than they get from the MWC
Well does UNLV offer the academics that have come to make the Pac 12? It's a big market and when the Raiders build a stadium, I do think it will help UNLV with either by playing there, or the Raiders helping with renovations at the current UNLV stadium, until their stadium is built. I do hope when the stadium is built that the football champioship is moved there from Santa Clara.
As regards to expansion as whole, I do believe Texas is still the ultimate goal. I am not sure when that will happen, but most likely Texas and OU will leave at the end of the Big 12's TV deal. I think the SEC makes a push for them. If the Pac 12 wants to get into Texas, it may be easier for them to go after Houston. Which offers academics, facilities, large market, and a hotbed for recruiting.
We may be in much better position to add Oklahoma than Texas. Paired with Kansas, Houston or Texas Tech, that would be a situation that would absolutely raise conference prestige nationally to get the carriage we need... without the UT headaches.
Imagine if we did UNLV/New Mexico now and Oklahoma/Kansas later.
For scheduling, would put CU in a pod with OU/KU/UNM. ASU/UA/Utah/UNLV another pod. That's the Eastern Division.
CA pod of USC/UCLA/Cal/Stanford. NW pod of OU/OSU/UW/WSU. That's Western Division.
That would absolutely work for national prestige and brand strength. (You can sub KU for UH or TTU or even OSU if you have to bite the bullet on academics to get OU and this still works very well.)
Ideally, I think you add Texas, KU, OU, then preferably Tech over KSU and Okie State. If that were the case, you would have your NW and Cali pods, then the Rocky Mountain pod which would be the UofA, ASU, CU, and UU. The final pod would be the Great Plains with KU, OU, UT, and Tech. I do admit that Tech could possibly be replaced by a Houston or another team, but I am not sure who that would be. You can still give each team a travel partner, so lets keep it the way it is, and pair UT with Tech and OU with KU.
Each school plays the three other teams in their pod, plus have a two year cycle with 2 teams in each pod. So if CU played their in-pod games (UofA, ASU, and UU), then lets say they got USC, UCLA, KU, OU, Oregon and OSU. The following two year cycle, you just switch in the teams you didn't play. This way you can keep a nine game schedule. Nice thing with the Big 12 teams is they are okay with a 9 game conference slate. I don't want to add another game, but if you did, you could do a championship bracket of the 4 pod winners. But personally, I would have the teams with two most conference wins overall play in the championship, hopefully at the Raiders' stadium.
For basketball sake, again keep the pods and travel partners. That gives you 6 games right there. Now you just play every other team once and do it on a one year cycle. So if you have UCLA on the road one year, the next year you get them at home.
In regards to UT, OU, and KU. They all offer what the Pac 12 wants in academics. Even Tech is a good engineering school. You not only add Texas' markets, but would add OKC and KC with OU and KU, plus a national following off all three major schools. Tech is sort of the odd man out, but Lubbock is a bigger market than Pullman and Corvallis.
This is an expansion scenario I can fully support.I think 2020 is the year for Pac-12 expansion to a Pac-14.
And I'm thinking the expansion will be within the footprint with UNLV and New Mexico. UNM is already R1 as of the 2015 Carnegie ranks for research intensity. That's a requirement for membership. Adds a market (though a small one) and bridges us to Texas if that state is in the picture down the road. UNLV was R2 (deal killer), but is in a 3 million population state that's growing like crazy and is becoming a very good recruiting area with several programs beating top Texas programs in interstate matchups this year. Marquee name in basketball and a football program that could take off with a new stadium. Regarding its research status, they have invested heavily in medical research programs and have a plan for getting there when the 2020 ranks come out: Top Tier Initiative.
With those moves, we'd be in good shape from several standpoints:
1) Pac-14 with those additions moves Utah to the North, which makes sense.
2) Having 14 teams equalizes the number of teams with the B1G, our closest alliance, which makes it easier to do scheduling alliances in football and basketball for "conference challenges" that would benefit both
3) Increases game volumes for the network (revenue)
4) Maintains and extends ownership of geography and cultural DNA of the Pac
5) Both programs would be very willing to accept reduced revenue shares that would still be much more than they get from the MWC
Ideally, you never, under any circumstances, ever, ever add Texas to your conference. Ever.Ideally, I think you add Texas, KU, OU, then preferably Tech over KSU and Okie State. If that were the case, you would have your NW and Cali pods, then the Rocky Mountain pod which would be the UofA, ASU, CU, and UU. The final pod would be the Great Plains with KU, OU, UT, and Tech. I do admit that Tech could possibly be replaced by a Houston or another team, but I am not sure who that would be. You can still give each team a travel partner, so lets keep it the way it is, and pair UT with Tech and OU with KU.
Each school plays the three other teams in their pod, plus have a two year cycle with 2 teams in each pod. So if CU played their in-pod games (UofA, ASU, and UU), then lets say they got USC, UCLA, KU, OU, Oregon and OSU. The following two year cycle, you just switch in the teams you didn't play. This way you can keep a nine game schedule. Nice thing with the Big 12 teams is they are okay with a 9 game conference slate. I don't want to add another game, but if you did, you could do a championship bracket of the 4 pod winners. But personally, I would have the teams with two most conference wins overall play in the championship, hopefully at the Raiders' stadium.
For basketball sake, again keep the pods and travel partners. That gives you 6 games right there. Now you just play every other team once and do it on a one year cycle. So if you have UCLA on the road one year, the next year you get them at home.
In regards to UT, OU, and KU. They all offer what the Pac 12 wants in academics. Even Tech is a good engineering school. You not only add Texas' markets, but would add OKC and KC with OU and KU, plus a national following off all three major schools. Tech is sort of the odd man out, but Lubbock is a bigger market than Pullman and Corvallis.
I agree, just thinking from a money standpoint. In the end, I do think OU/OSU and UT/Tech are a package deal and go to either the SEC or B1G to make both conferences 16. ACC would probably go after ND and WVU as stated by . If that happens, I think the Pac 12 should make a move at KU maybe TCU (again, religious affiliation), Houston would be a better option though. So now the Pac stands at 14. I respect UNM, but I don't know if they are a better get than lets say CSU. UNLV is definitely the wild card. Don't know much on their academics, but adds a big market. Could go with BYU and Boise. BYU has solid academics, but refuses to play on Sundays so that's a problem. Boise doesn't add much in a market and the academics would make an ASU degree look good.Ideally, you never, under any circumstances, ever, ever add Texas to your conference. Ever.
I agree, just thinking from a money standpoint. In the end, I do think OU/OSU and UT/Tech are a package deal and go to either the SEC or B1G to make both conferences 16. ACC would probably go after ND and WVU as stated by . If that happens, I think the Pac 12 should make a move at KU maybe TCU (again, religious affiliation), Houston would be a better option though. So now the Pac stands at 14. I respect UNM, but I don't know if they are a better get than lets say CSU. UNLV is definitely the wild card. Don't know much on their academics, but adds a big market. Could go with BYU and Boise. BYU has solid academics, but refuses to play on Sundays so that's a problem. Boise doesn't add much in a market and the academics would make an ASU degree look good.
awesome discussion.
I believe the next wave of realignment will be about content. not geography, not TV rights, not academics. content -- quality content. Adding schools in NM and NV does not add content. Adding schools that invest in athletics and already have a serious fan base is the only expansion option that will benefit any program.
Disagree. I believe that I'm thinking like a University president responsible for the P&L.You're thinking like an AD or a fan. We don't run this show.
Disagree. I believe that I'm thinking like a University president responsible for the P&L.
Unlike everyone else, I don't think expansion addresses the 'revenue problem.' I think we could lessen the 'revenue gap' most by doing other things. But if we had to expand to 14 teams, I would add UCSD and either SDSU (classified R2) or UC-Davis.
Agree with everything you just said, except for the unstated assumption that research alliances are based on athletic conferences. I believe the trend is moving away from this and that AAU membership will mean much more for this than shared athletic conference membership. Hell, the trend is even moving further and further away from any notion of "full membership" even as relates to athletics, with more conferences adding "members for this sport only" schools.They are. Research partnerships for things like biotech and aerospace along with affiliations that bring more prestige in attracting more international grad students are worth a sh!tload more money to them than a conference sports network. In the Pac-12, the athletic departments are self-liquidating advertising that enhance donations. The tail does not wag the dog in this conference.
To put it another way: Bruce Benson gives zero ****s about out-competing the Broncos & Nuggets for the sports entertainment dollar in the Denver metro as part of the university mission.