With the new
AP Top 100 (historical performance and, therefore, prestige) of college football programs having come out, I think a strong case can be for a Pac-14 through Houston + SMU.
Some programs that have been mentioned as Pac-12 targets in expansion (not in P5 and available are bolded):
2. Oklahoma
8. Texas
18. Texas A&M
34. BYU
39. TCU
42. Oklahoma State
44. Kansas State
46. Baylor
48. Houston
55. SMU
58. Texas Tech
59. Boise State
64. Kansas
****Mendoza Line (Oregon State is lowest Pac-12 at #65)***
67. Air Force
69. Rice
70. Tulane
71. Wyoming
72. Fresno State
77. Colorado State
94. Hawaii
98. San Diego State
100 (tie). Nevada
Looks to me like Houston + SMU deserves a real look for a Pac-14 move.
Dallas is #4 population metro in the US
Houston is the #5 population metro in the US
The Texas markets are the only path toward increased carriage and revenue for all. Why not do it through 2 programs that got left out of the Big 12 due to politics instead of a lack of athletics success or resources?
AP also did an all-time
Basketball Top 100.
Pac-12 schools (plus outsiders available, in bold):
4. UCLA
8. Arizona
25. UNLV
39. Utah
40. Stanford
50. USC
52. Washington
55. New Mexico
56. Houston
60. Oregon State
63. BYU
66. Oregon
77. Cal
79. Arizona State
86. SMU
92. San Diego State
*Colorado & Washington State didn't make the Top 100.
***************************
BYU is the clear and obvious choice for expansion if this was only about athletics and politics wasn't involved. But politics is involved and there's also a question about whether it does anything significant to the Pac market.
Assuming that can't happen, then I don't know of a better option than Houston + SMU. And I strongly believe that the Pac-12 needs to make a move. Gets us into those cable tv households in Texas while enhancing our pitch to DIRECTV. Also, AAC schools are worth the risk since that conference only pays $2MM a year, making it very easy to do a financial deal with them that doesn't immediately give a full & equal share (like what was done with Utah).
Long-term, we'd still have an opportunity if the Big 12 broke up to snag a couple teams. Or, if 16 became the magic number, we'd have time to give a look to other schools in the west from the host of MWC schools that would love to join the Pac. (As I've posted before, UNLV and New Mexico are where I'm looking most closely at for future potential, should we need to go that direction instead of with Big 12 schools in the 2021-2025 time frame.)