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Official 2014 Bubble Watch Thread
- Thread starter Buffnik
- Start date
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Arkansas down 20 at Alabama
Missouri down 13 against the Vols
Pitt down 11 at Clemson
Missouri down 13 against the Vols
Pitt down 11 at Clemson
Medford M.
Well-Known Member
Turning into a war of attrition form the bubble teams.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
It can't be legal what Alabama and Tennessee are doing to Arkansas and Missouri. Arkansas will lose their spot in the field, probably for good. And Missouri's bubble pops.
Meanwhile, I think Tennessee has shown what it is capable of. They can be dangerous in the tournament. (Or lose by 20 to Belmont.)
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
3 bid league with Vols getting in seems to be most likely. Arkansas just can't stay in after this performance and Missouri is done.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
****
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CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Pitt forced overtime. Clemson blew five points in 4 seconds.
They're still reviewing that shot by Pitt. Damm that was close.
That was weird, according to the clock above the basket it looked like it was still on his fingertips but then according to that inset clock on the screen he got it off. I guess that was the official one. Officially going to OT now.
jcatcher
Club Member
Things are coming together nicely for the Buffs. Harvard wins yesterday to get into the RPI Top 50, Stanford failed to give away their game to Utah, keeping Furd in the Top 50, and Arizona State doesn't give a crap and will likely keep Oregon State in the Top 100. If this holds up, this game with Cal may not mean much. I don't see a 7 seed as likely unless we make the Tourney Final, and an 8 or a 9 is a meaningless distinction.
scoob
Well-Known Member
It has to be three, max. Georgia looks like they may beat LSU and finish in third at 12-6 (Two games ahead of Arkansas and three up on Missouri). They didn't belong on the same court as CU. If Ark and/or Mizzou make the dance, the PAC should be a 10 bid league. Both are basically the equivalent of Washington or Oregon St in the PAC.
scoob
Well-Known Member
I think the game is still huge. The bye in the PAC12 tourney is huge. A slip-up against USC or Wazzou in the first round would be a seed killer.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
If OSU wins, the bye is ours even with a loss. Apparently.
scoob
Well-Known Member
Ok, never mind. Hope nobody tells the team. Let's just beat the Bears and not have to worry bout "apparently".
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Providence down big at Creighton. Friars need a Big East tournament win.
Yeah. It's not so much that bubble teams are losing today. It's how they're losing.
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
Sunday:
Florida State 18-11 (9-8) vs #7 Syracuse 26-4 (13-4): Prior to Saturday, Lunardi had FSU his 4th team out and Bracket Matrix had them 7th out. Numerous bubble teams took losses by big margins Saturday, leaving the door open for FSU. RPI is 54. If the Noles can beat 'Cuse, they have a good chance of slipping into the field. They probably still will need at least 1 ACC Tournament win. If they lose, a deep run and some outside luck is their only hope. Noles have quality wins over VCU, UMass and Pitt, but they really need this win over Syracuse (it would be their 4th straight win) to show they belong.
St. Joseph's 21-8 (11-4) vs LaSalle 14-15 (6-9): Lunardi has St. Joes as an 11 seed holding the final bye, while Bracket Matrix has them a 10 seed. RPI is 34. St. Joes did absolutely nothing positive OOC (and picked up a horrendous loss to Temple), however in conference play they've managed to beat UMass, VCU and sweep Dayton. As long as the Hawks take care of business at home against La Salle and don't lose to anyone awful in the A10 tournament, they'll be fine. They're in the field, but they're one bad loss away from a very nervous Selection Sunday.
Minnesota 18-12 (7-10) vs Penn State 15-15 (6-11): Lunardi has Minnesota his 3rd team out, Bracket Matrix has them the 2nd team out. RPI is 51. With so many bubble losses today, who knows where exactly they are at the moment. What we do know is this: Minnesota is right near the cut-line and a home loss to Penn State would end their Dance hopes for good. Minnesota played a tough OOC, but only has a win over FSU to show for it. In conference they've beaten Wisconsin, Ohio State and Iowa, but have lost to Northwestern and Illinois on their home court and also at Purdue. The committee will certainly be impressed by their 5th ranked SOS, but you can only take that so far. A home loss to 107 Penn State would be one bad loss too many. Gophers have only won 3 of their last 10 heading into this. If they win, they'll stay alive but will likely need at least 1 conference tournament win (they'll be facing Illinois or Indiana, most likely).
Nebraska 18-11 (10-7) vs #9 Wisconsin 25-5 (12-5): Lunardi has Nebraska his last team in, Bracket Matrix has them the first team out. RPI is 50. What an opportunity for Nebraska. With so many teams around them failing, a win likely gets the Huskers a Dance bid (they'd get a bye for the B1G tournament and thus likely wouldn't face a team that would bring a sub-100 loss). If they lose, they're by no means done, but would need at least 1 conference tournament win. Nebraska has already won @ Michigan State and defeated Ohio State and Minnesota, but they've taken bad losses to UAB, Purdue and Penn State. The opportunity is there for Nebraska to go seize a dance ticket. This is quite possibly the biggest game Nebraska basketball has ever had (when you've only made 6 NCAA Tournaments and never won a game, it's slim pickings).
Florida State 18-11 (9-8) vs #7 Syracuse 26-4 (13-4): Prior to Saturday, Lunardi had FSU his 4th team out and Bracket Matrix had them 7th out. Numerous bubble teams took losses by big margins Saturday, leaving the door open for FSU. RPI is 54. If the Noles can beat 'Cuse, they have a good chance of slipping into the field. They probably still will need at least 1 ACC Tournament win. If they lose, a deep run and some outside luck is their only hope. Noles have quality wins over VCU, UMass and Pitt, but they really need this win over Syracuse (it would be their 4th straight win) to show they belong.
St. Joseph's 21-8 (11-4) vs LaSalle 14-15 (6-9): Lunardi has St. Joes as an 11 seed holding the final bye, while Bracket Matrix has them a 10 seed. RPI is 34. St. Joes did absolutely nothing positive OOC (and picked up a horrendous loss to Temple), however in conference play they've managed to beat UMass, VCU and sweep Dayton. As long as the Hawks take care of business at home against La Salle and don't lose to anyone awful in the A10 tournament, they'll be fine. They're in the field, but they're one bad loss away from a very nervous Selection Sunday.
Minnesota 18-12 (7-10) vs Penn State 15-15 (6-11): Lunardi has Minnesota his 3rd team out, Bracket Matrix has them the 2nd team out. RPI is 51. With so many bubble losses today, who knows where exactly they are at the moment. What we do know is this: Minnesota is right near the cut-line and a home loss to Penn State would end their Dance hopes for good. Minnesota played a tough OOC, but only has a win over FSU to show for it. In conference they've beaten Wisconsin, Ohio State and Iowa, but have lost to Northwestern and Illinois on their home court and also at Purdue. The committee will certainly be impressed by their 5th ranked SOS, but you can only take that so far. A home loss to 107 Penn State would be one bad loss too many. Gophers have only won 3 of their last 10 heading into this. If they win, they'll stay alive but will likely need at least 1 conference tournament win (they'll be facing Illinois or Indiana, most likely).
Nebraska 18-11 (10-7) vs #9 Wisconsin 25-5 (12-5): Lunardi has Nebraska his last team in, Bracket Matrix has them the first team out. RPI is 50. What an opportunity for Nebraska. With so many teams around them failing, a win likely gets the Huskers a Dance bid (they'd get a bye for the B1G tournament and thus likely wouldn't face a team that would bring a sub-100 loss). If they lose, they're by no means done, but would need at least 1 conference tournament win. Nebraska has already won @ Michigan State and defeated Ohio State and Minnesota, but they've taken bad losses to UAB, Purdue and Penn State. The opportunity is there for Nebraska to go seize a dance ticket. This is quite possibly the biggest game Nebraska basketball has ever had (when you've only made 6 NCAA Tournaments and never won a game, it's slim pickings).
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
FSU falls at home to Syracuse by 16. Noles are going to need to win some ACC tournament games.
L Buff
Commissar of the Albuffs Collective Left
Didn't want to start a new thread about this since (I hope) it involves a quick answer, and I trust CVille, Nik, or someone else in the know should be able to provide it ...
Does anyone here have a list as to who is serving on the Selection Committee this year (or where it can be looked up)? It seems to me that we got screwed in 2011 largely because the committee members were heavily skewed towards the eastern conferences (including the ACC). Are there ANY members from western conferences on the committee this year?
Does anyone here have a list as to who is serving on the Selection Committee this year (or where it can be looked up)? It seems to me that we got screwed in 2011 largely because the committee members were heavily skewed towards the eastern conferences (including the ACC). Are there ANY members from western conferences on the committee this year?
A quick search turned up this list and there's 4 members from the western part of the country
| Name | Position |
|---|---|
| Mike Bobinski† | Georgia Tech Athletic Director |
| Ron Wellman | Wake Forest University Athletic Director |
| Doug Fullerton | Big Sky Conference Commissioner |
| Scott Barnes | Utah State University Athletic Director |
| Judy MacLeod | Conference USA Executive Associate Commissioner[SUP][1][/SUP] |
| Joe Alleva | LSU Director of Athletics |
| Jamie Zaninovich | West Coast Conference Commissioner |
| Joe Castiglione | University of Oklahoma Athletic Director |
| Bernard Muir | Stanford University Athletic Director |
| Mark Hollis | Michigan State University Athletic Director |
CVilleBuff
Well-Known Member
ACC with 2. Sigh.
L Buff
Commissar of the Albuffs Collective Left
No **** ... guess we know what part of the country Duke and UNC will be starting out in (again). :rolling_eyes:
But at least the west has some representation, including an AD from the Pac 12.
Thanks CarolinaBuff :thumbsup:
I still think that UNC won't get slotted in Raleigh unless they win the ACC tourney, and even then I wouldn't be sure. But I think the chances are good that Duke ends up there along with UVA as the other top-4 seed to play in Raleigh.
cubuffs85
Active Member
Wellman effed us over, right?
cubuffs85
Active Member
He'll team up with Wellman. Does 'Furd's AD have anything against us?
He'll lobby for us, I would think. That's his job - maximizing conference revenue.* Plus the better CU looks the less bad Furd's home loss to us looks.
* This was a big reason we were left out in the cold in 2011. We had left the Big 12 and neither they nor the Pac-12 had any incentive to carry the CU flag. Dan Beebe ****ed us on the committee that year.