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Official CU vs Delaware Game Thread

A good friend is a Delaware alum and had dinner with their president last night. Their feeling was "not shot in hell" and evidently the loss of their starting QB has really thrown them. If we don't win by 5+ TDs, we should be ashamed.
I’m old enough to remember an opposing coach who said that his small school was so overmatched that he’d call timeout and have a party if they made a first down against us. That team was Montana State. And if I recall correctly they freaking dominated us even is the score didn’t reflect that.
 
homer simpson GIF
 
I feel like this is a game CU plays down to its opponent

We still win by like 17+ but it’s closer than it should be
I think this game tells us a lot more about this team and the Prime Era, than we would normally think the biggest cupcake of the season would.

Last week sucked. @statsowar has a metric for it:

1757107365002.png

The only p4 teams with worse net success rate were UNC vs. TCU and UCLA vs. Utah. Play to play, Georgia Tech was winning that game.

I sincerely hope that Prime and staff are not at all treating this as, "just need to clean a few things up around the edges and we'll be OK." I think the opportunity to win a lot more plays was right there, but the opportunities were consistently missed.

This is last year's Nebraska result, or 2023's Stanford result; a game that could have/should have been won, but was dropped with some blunders. The 2023 team seemed to fall to pieces after that game, the 2024 team bounced back at halftime of the Nebraska game and really came together.

If they don't seize control of this game, I'm expecting a really tough trip to Houston, and that there to be a chance that Wyoming beats us.
 
I think this game tells us a lot more about this team and the Prime Era, than we would normally think the biggest cupcake of the season would.

Last week sucked. @statsowar has a metric for it:

View attachment 90955

The only p4 teams with worse net success rate were UNC vs. TCU and UCLA vs. Utah. Play to play, Georgia Tech was winning that game.

I sincerely hope that Prime and staff are not at all treating this as, "just need to clean a few things up around the edges and we'll be OK." I think the opportunity to win a lot more plays was right there, but the opportunities were consistently missed.

This is last year's Nebraska result, or 2023's Stanford result; a game that could have/should have been won, but was dropped with some blunders. The 2023 team seemed to fall to pieces after that game, the 2024 team bounced back at halftime of the Nebraska game and really came together.

If they don't seize control of this game, I'm expecting a really tough trip to Houston, and that there to be a chance that Wyoming beats us.
That is the weirdest graph I've ever seen: so, GT has a higher value than we do because they beat us, but Ohio State has a lower value than Texas (and us), after they beat #3 Texas?

One side of the graph has USF with the lowest rating after winning 34-7, while the other end of the graph has USC with the highest rating after winning 73-13?
 
I think this game tells us a lot more about this team and the Prime Era, than we would normally think the biggest cupcake of the season would.

Last week sucked. @statsowar has a metric for it:

View attachment 90955

The only p4 teams with worse net success rate were UNC vs. TCU and UCLA vs. Utah. Play to play, Georgia Tech was winning that game.

I sincerely hope that Prime and staff are not at all treating this as, "just need to clean a few things up around the edges and we'll be OK." I think the opportunity to win a lot more plays was right there, but the opportunities were consistently missed.

This is last year's Nebraska result, or 2023's Stanford result; a game that could have/should have been won, but was dropped with some blunders. The 2023 team seemed to fall to pieces after that game, the 2024 team bounced back at halftime of the Nebraska game and really came together.

If they don't seize control of this game, I'm expecting a really tough trip to Houston, and that there to be a chance that Wyoming beats us.
Wyoming won't beat us. That game won't be close. However, whether we win big tomorrow or not, Houston should scare the living sh!t out of all of us. Willie Fritz is a coach along the same lines as Brent Key and rumor has it, we are a red letter game for them.
 
Wyoming won't beat us. That game won't be close. However, whether we win big tomorrow or not, Houston should scare the living sh!t out of all of us. Willie Fritz is a coach along the same lines as Brent Key and rumor has it, we are a red letter game for them.
That’s because I put Bison **** in Willie’s office 2 weeks ago, with a sign that said “Cougar High sucks - Sko Buffs!” You’re welcome.
 
Wyoming won't beat us. That game won't be close. However, whether we win big tomorrow or not, Houston should scare the living sh!t out of all of us. Willie Fritz is a coach along the same lines as Brent Key and rumor has it, we are a red letter game for them.
Everyone puts CU as their red letter game
 
We should absolutely destroy this team.

I want to see: improved decision making and pocket presence from Salter; establishing a dominant run game with Welch (an explosive play touchdown would be nice); some quality time with starters on the field for Juju; and the defense to control the line of scrimmage and create turnovers.
 
If I were coach for a day, I think I’d go with a plan of KS in the first half and JuJu in the second half, regardless of score. The gives both an understanding of how this is planned to be implemented.
 
I hope Shurmer finds a genie’s lamp and becomes a competent OC. Although, if the sick/fever rumors are true that’s maybe why Salter wasn’t running the ball.
 
That is the weirdest graph I've ever seen: so, GT has a higher value than we do because they beat us, but Ohio State has a lower value than Texas (and us), after they beat #3 Texas?

One side of the graph has USF with the lowest rating after winning 34-7, while the other end of the graph has USC with the highest rating after winning 73-13?

The height of the bar is net success rate of the winning team.

Each play in a game is scored as a success for the offense if there's an increase in expected points. Basically a 4 yard run on first down and a 40 yard pass are both a success, and counted equally here. A 13 yard pass is generally a success but not on 3rd and 15.

The net success rate is the winning team's success rate, minus the losing team's.

USF had a lot of explosives etc, and Boise was pretty successful, except for on key plays. Basically, Boise racked up a lot of small wins and USF cashed a few big wins.


1000000960.jpg
 
I think this game tells us a lot more about this team and the Prime Era, than we would normally think the biggest cupcake of the season would.

Last week sucked. @statsowar has a metric for it:

View attachment 90955

The only p4 teams with worse net success rate were UNC vs. TCU and UCLA vs. Utah. Play to play, Georgia Tech was winning that game.

I sincerely hope that Prime and staff are not at all treating this as, "just need to clean a few things up around the edges and we'll be OK." I think the opportunity to win a lot more plays was right there, but the opportunities were consistently missed.

This is last year's Nebraska result, or 2023's Stanford result; a game that could have/should have been won, but was dropped with some blunders. The 2023 team seemed to fall to pieces after that game, the 2024 team bounced back at halftime of the Nebraska game and really came together.

If they don't seize control of this game, I'm expecting a really tough trip to Houston, and that there to be a chance that Wyoming beats us.
Unless there’s a number I’m not seeing, the graph shows us around the third quartile which doesn’t seem like the third worst rate in the country?
 
If I were coach for a day, I think I’d go with a plan of KS in the first half and JuJu in the second half, regardless of score. The gives both an understanding of how this is planned to be implemented.
I'd do the opposite FWIW. I'd like to see how Juju responds to starting and playing meaningful snaps. Up by 24 in the 2nd half with the 2nd team doesn't tell me what I need to know. That said, it's going to go by series throughout.
 
I'd do the opposite FWIW. I'd like to see how Juju responds to starting and playing meaningful snaps. Up by 24 in the 2nd half with the 2nd team doesn't tell me what I need to know. That said, it's going to go by series throughout.
Reading between the lines of what Neely said, I’m now expecting JuJu to play starting the 2nd quarter (or thereabouts) and play the rest of the way.
 
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