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Official RPI Watch 2014-15

Didn't watch but looks like DU hit a junk 3 with no time left down 4. DU hung around though.

Thanks. Was curious how that played out at the end.

Cal took care of business with E Washington unless there's a crazy finish (up 15 with just over 2 min left).

Arizona has its hands full with UTEP late in the 1st (25-21).
 
Saturday:

Drexel (2-7) @ Penn State (10-1): Drexel has been a disappointment. Shouldn't be 2-7 bad. Penn State is definitely NOT as good as their record shows. Plenty of narrow wins over bad opposition. Suppose Drexel has an outside shot here, Nits are only favored by 6.5.

Oregon (7-3) vs Delaware State (5-6): Delaware State did manage to win at Wake, but they also allowed Iona to score 126 in a 50 point loss. One of their guys scored 48 in their previous game. Anyway, Ducks should roll easily.

UCLA (8-3) vs #1 Kentucky (11-0) (Chicago, IL): Obviously this would be an OOC win for UCLA that would change their season and the perception of the Pac as a whole. However, UCLA has had 3 games against quality opposition (North Carolina, Oklahoma, Gonzaga) and lost all 3 by double digits. If "A" game Kentucky shows up (they've been snoozing a bit lately, i.e. trailing Columbia at half), this won't be close. UK favored by 14.5

Wyoming (9-2) vs Southern (3-8): I know scheduling home game is difficult for Wyo, but there has to be a way to not cripple themselves with embarrassingly weak OOCs. As we know, they're a pretty solid team. They cripple any Dance hopes with these OOCs loaded with RPI 300+ opposition.

Air Force (6-3) vs UC-Davis (7-1): UC-Davis hasn't played anyone, but this strikes me as a dangerous game for AFA. AFA should win this at home but think it could be close.

Auburn (4-5) vs Xavier (8-2): Big opportunity here for Auburn to gain a quality OOC home win. Wouldn't count on it, but it sure would be nice. Surprised Auburn is only a 5 pt underdog.

#16 Washington (9-0) vs #15 Oklahoma (7-2) (Las Vegas, NV): Big game. OU is battle-tested. Sooners beat UCLA and Butler comfortably and their only losses are to Wisconsin on a neutral floor and a last second 2 point loss @ Creighton. Washington's start has been impressive, but I'm not sure they beat Oklahoma on a neutral floor. My hunch is they're a solid team but that things are a bit inflated for them right now. I think OU probably takes this one.

Northern Colorado (4-5) vs Jacksonville State (7-4): Can't profess to know much about Jacksonville State, but they have won 7/8 after an 0-3 start. However, that has been against very weak competition and they were picked near the bottom of the OVC preseason. UNC should be good enough to win a game like this at home. UNC is favored by 9.

Arizona State (6-4) vs Lehigh (4-5): ASU has lost to everyone with a pulse they've faced and won every game over cupcakes albeit often in ugly fashion. ASU is not good, but they are 6-0 at home so far and losing at home to Lehigh seems a stretch. Devils are favored by 12.5.

Stanford (6-2) @ BYU (8-3): Stanford has looked awful lately: killed by DePaul and needing comebacks to beat Denver and Loyola Marymount by narrow margins. BYU's 3 losses were in 2OT to San Diego State, OT to Purdue (both on neutral courts) and by 4 at home to Utah. Stanford is going to have to snap out of it and step up big time to win this one in Provo. BYU is favored by 4. It will be a far bigger loss than that if Stanford plays like they have been.

#14 Utah (7-2) vs UNLV (7-2) (Las Vegas, NV): This is technically a neutral game despite being played in Vegas. It's at MGM Grand. UNLV has lost to Stanford by 29 and Arizona State by 22. Other than that, they've been scraping out narrow ugly wins over cupcakes. The Utes should win pretty comfortably although playing in Vegas will make it a little more of a challenge. Utes are favored by 8.5. Utah would have to be really off to drop this. UNLV is a far cry from what they were when we beat them in the Big Dance a few years back. Dave Rice has tanked that UNLV program, Rebs have declined each year under him.
 
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Is UCLA an NCAA Tournament team? Their next (and final) OOC game is @ Alabama. If they lose that, they're in trouble. 8-4 after this UK game with nothing of quality in the win column.
 
Auburn beat Xavier 89-88 in 2OT. Huge win for them. Gives my hopes of Auburn coming on strong and being a mid-tier SEC squad hope.
 
Auburn beat Xavier 89-88 in 2OT. Huge win for them. Gives my hopes of Auburn coming on strong and being a mid-tier SEC squad hope.

Very big win. That will help.

Also, Washington is up 33-17 on Oklahoma in the first half. If that holds up, it's a desperately needed shot in the arm for Pac-12 rep this year.
 
Very big win. That will help.

Also, Washington is up 33-17 on Oklahoma in the first half. If that holds up, it's a desperately needed shot in the arm for Pac-12 rep this year.

Yep. I admittedly remained a little skeptical UW is top 15ish good but if they convincingly beat Oklahoma then I'll shut up about that. They look good. Much better than when I previously saw them a few weeks back.
 
Washington does it again. 69-67 winners over Oklahoma. This all but ensures UW will enter conference play undefeated.

ASU headed to 2OT with Lehigh :lol:
 
ASU falls to Lehigh 84-81 in 3OT :lol:. There's the bad loss they had avoided until now.

Watching ASU in this one, they just don't have much. Nothing concerning on the interior and no playmakers that can create. That's a team that CU absolutely cannot lose to this season.
 
Watching ASU in this one, they just don't have much. Nothing concerning on the interior and no playmakers that can create. That's a team that CU absolutely cannot lose to this season.

I have such a hard time trusting us in any road game, but I agree a sweep of ASU just has to happen. Seemed like a bad loss like this for ASU was inevitable when you look back at how ugly some of their previous scores were (and how favorable refs were in bailing ASU). What throws everyone off a bit is how close they played Maryland and a couple other power conference sides away from home. Of note though: we've always look like crap in Tempe, even when we won in 2012 over a similarly hapless ASU.
 
Stanford fell 79-77 at BYU. BYU was up 77-66 with 2:30 left and then fell asleep. Stanford cut it to 79-77 with just under a minute left and then no one did anything other than misses and turnovers. Stanford visits Texas next. Looks like an OOC of no quality wins and a horrible loss to DePaul for Stanford.
 
Well it's pretty obvious the Pac 12 has some issues this year. We wanna make the dance, better start winning games and especially in conference.
 
Utah handled UNLV 59-46. UNLV just flat out sucks. Dave Rice makes Dawkins look competent.

Arizona, Utah and Washington are the clear Pac Dance squads. Finding the 4th is the mystery. CU, UCLA, Stanford have not done squat OOC.
 
Sunday:

Oregon State (8-2) @ Quinnipiac (4-5): Why the **** is Oregon St playing a road game at Quinnipiac (it's in Connecticut). Beavs deserve credit for the 8-2 start. They've beaten everyone they should. However, now they're facing a pretty poor Quinnipiac squad on the road. Cross-country trip with an early start and just played in Corvallis late Thursday night. Not a good situation and Quinnipiac is favored by 2 as a result.

San Francisco (6-5) @ Cleveland State (5-6): Again, cross country trips are difficult. I just saw Cleveland St live a few days ago. San Fran should kill them on the boards, but Cleveland State has a stingy D. These two are pretty evenly matched overall. It would be a nice road win for USF if they can get it. Cleveland St is favored by 5.5.

Lipscomb (4-7) vs Austin Peay (4-7): Lipscomb already beat Austin Peay 68-59 on the road one week ago. Need to beat them at home.

USC (6-4) @ Boston College (6-3): Boston College is not good, but they've yet to lose to anyone bad. Can't say the same for USC. They share a common opponent, New Mexico. BC beat New Mexico on a neutral floor and USC won at the Pit. BC has also defeated a fairly solid team in Providence. Hard to see USC going cross-country and winning this one. BC favored by 6.5.

Georgia (5-3) vs Seton Hall (9-1): Seton Hall's record is padded with a lot of junk, but they do have a decent win over George Washington and their one loss was by 9 @ Wichita St. Dawgs need to get this win at home. We really need Georgia to prove themselves as an upper-tier SEC squad and maintain their solid RPI. Dawgs are favored by 2.5.

Washington State (4-6) vs San Jose State (2-9): SJSU is truly horrendous. They haven't won a game against a D1 team. As godawful as Wazzu is, losing this one is hard to envision. Wazzu should roll SJSU.
 
Today worries me.

Lots of opportunity, but I could also see this going very badly with a lot of these matchups.
 
I hope I"m wrong, but when I look at where CU is in RPI (100), and I look at where our remaining OOC opponents are (, and I look at the Pac (Arizona, Utah and Cal are only top 50 RPI teams).

It doesn't look good.

I think we might need to play and beat both GW and Wichita in the DHC to stay in the NCAA tourney discussion.

note: i'm using the free site RealTimeRPI as my source.
 
I hope I"m wrong, but when I look at where CU is in RPI (100), and I look at where our remaining OOC opponents are (, and I look at the Pac (Arizona, Utah and Cal are only top 50 RPI teams).

It doesn't look good.

I think we might need to play and beat both GW and Wichita in the DHC to stay in the NCAA tourney discussion.

note: i'm using the free site RealTimeRPI as my source.

There's A LOT of season left and lots of teams have lots of losses already
 
Oregon State lost at Quinnipiac.

San Francisco coming down to the wire at Cleveland State. Down 2 with 3 minutes left.
 
At least Lipscomb held on. Shouldn't have been so close against Austin Peay, but any win by Lipscomb is a good win.
 
Pleasant surprise. USC played great defense in the 2nd half to win at Boston College. That helps.
 
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