You win at CU and you are in the hunt for the NC. Unless he really loves a team like GTech (played for them) I don't see him leaving.
This.
There aren't many places where this is true. A one-loss KjSU team could be snubbed, as could a one-loss Baylor team. There are quite a few P5 schools that fall into that category. CU isn't one of them. Hell, a
2 loss CU team was something like .00002 computer ranking points away from the NC game; this year that team would be in the playoff.
Because we actually have history, when we start winning 9 or 10 games a year, we'll get the votes that UO, **** Baylor, and other upstarts had to fight for years to get (and still lose at the slightest hint of weakness).
I know we've sucked for a long time. But... the only coach that has ever been "hired away" was the weasel, and there's a good case to be made that he bolted because he knew his seat was getting a little warm.
Actually, now that I think about it, OSU is a great example. Riley has posted three 9 win seasons, and one 10 win season. Two weeks total ranked in the top 10, and the beavers were quickly dropped when they dropped a game. For better or worse, if those same records were posted at Colorado, the buffs would have spent more weeks in the rankings and would have had slightly higher rankings overall.
Granted, CU doesn't get the same history/reputational ranking boost that ND or tOSU do, but the Buffs do get some benefit, and if MM wins at CU, he'll also be the recipient of that benefit. At the end of the day, only weasel coaches voluntarily leave CU for other jobs, and MM isn't a weasel.