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Season predictions

How many games will the Buffs win

  • 0-2

    Votes: 3 1.5%

  • 3-5

    Votes: 54 27.0%

  • 6-7

    Votes: 106 53.0%

  • 8-9

    Votes: 18 9.0%

  • 10+

    Votes: 19 9.5%
  • Total voters
    200
TSchekler said:
Everybody predicting 3-4 wins again this year is essentially doing so based on how CU has done in prior seasons or simply going off public perception (betting lines) of different matchups. When CU goes into the Big House and beats Michigan to advance to 3-0, how do those "Probable Losses" begin to look? "Sure Losses"? The point is, a probable loss on August 8th, for a game that doesn't take place for 2-3 months is horse****.

OU in 2007 was a "Sure Loss", WVU in 2008 was at least a "Probable Loss" if not "Sure Loss", UGA in 2010 was at least a "Probable Loss". Admittedly, wins like those have ceased the past 5 seasons (thanks Embree, Bohn, Benson, etc), but they will no doubt happen again, and nobody will predict it.
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TSchekler said:
You missed the point about Michigan, but oh well. My prediction for the season is 6-6 because I believe that's how many games they will win and lose. I didn't specify which games would come with which result, because there are too many unknowns. I suppose I could have used your "methodology" of making predictions based on Vegas odds, but from what I saw last season from this team against heavy favorites like UCLA and USC, I believe they can play with just about anybody.... I also believe they can lose to just about anybody. To each his own, I guess.
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I think the problem is that you can justify your 6-6 but you dismiss anyone who predicts less. Thank you, oracle.
 
SerenityBuff said:
I've been to USC practices and I'm going to the scrimmage tonight in the Coliseum. We are not winning that game. They are huge, they are fast and they are well coached. I know some here have expressed doubt about whether Clay Helton is the right man for this job, but I've seen how the team responds to him. He is well respected and they work hard for him and his staff. He is the polar opposite of "Hollywood' coaches like Kiffin and Sark, which is what USC needs. That's going to be a long day for us in the Coliseum. I still think we win 6 or 7, though.
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Yes they have USC talent and yes they are better coached than they have been.

I figure that game as a solid loss as well but it wouldn't be the first time that a team like USC overlooks a team like CU and doesn't wake up until it is to late.

This is the year that we are going to get a game that all the experts think we shouldn't, might even get two. If USC wants to take a week off and give us one I'll gladly take it.
 
CSU: W
Idaho St: W
@ Michigan: L
@ Oregon: L
Oregon St: W
@USC: W
Arizona St: W
@ Stanford: L
UCLA: W
@ Arizona: L
Washington St: W
Utah W

8-4

TWO statements wins: on the road at USC and at home vs UCLA.

I'm drinking the Kool Aid!

kool8.jpg
 
darth-horax said:
CSU: W
Idaho St: W
@ Michigan: L
@ Oregon: L
Oregon St: W
@USC: W
Arizona St: W
@ Stanford: L
UCLA: W
@ Arizona: L
Washington St: W
Utah W

8-4

TWO statements wins: on the road at USC and at home vs UCLA.

I'm drinking the Kool Aid!

kool8.jpg
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You do realize with this prediction CU would be the South Champs, playing for the Pac-12 title.

That isn't just Kool-aid lol, someone slipped some rum in there.
 
The schedule sets up in an interesting way. It is very likely that CU will be 3-3 after the first six games. The question is whether the team will be starting to believe by then or starting to think it was all a dream. Play Michigan close, almost win at Oregon and play USC close and this team believes and then has a real shot against ASU, UCLA, UofA, WSU and Utah. But lose badly at Michigan, Oregon and USC and this team probably doesn't believe and very easily would toss in the towell during tough moments in the five games above. I think CU is 4-4 after eight games and a team only two wins from a bowl that is starting to believe can do great things....course I don't think this one will. 4-8
 
I'm not into the sports pop-psychology stuff so I'll go with 5 wins because that's how good I think the team is.

Looking at the schedule:

Nearly certain win: Idaho State

Likely win, but we've seen how those play out...: CSU, Oregon State

I don't know if they are any good this year?: Washington State

Won't be favored, but could be close: Arizona State, Arizona, Utah

No: Michigan, Oregon, USC, Stanford, UCLA

My inclination is that we should win the first four listed and, on average, take one from ASU, Arizona, Utah. I'd say the chance of taking 2/3 from that group is (at best) a wash with the possibility of dropping one of Oregon State, Washington State, and CSU. That puts us at 5 wins. I don't expect us to lose to ISU and I seriously doubt that we beat any of Michigan, Oregon, USC, Stanford, UCLA.

I think that the WSU, ASU, Arizona, and Utah games collectively determine whether or not this is a good season. Unless they lose to CSU or Oregon State early... then all bets are off.

Really, I think I am being a bit generous here with WSU. They might belong in the same category as ASU, Arizona, Utah...
 
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CitizenKane said:
The schedule sets up in an interesting way. It is very likely that CU will be 3-3 after the first six games. The question is whether the team will be starting to believe by then or starting to think it was all a dream. Play Michigan close, almost win at Oregon and play USC close and this team believes and then has a real shot against ASU, UCLA, UofA, WSU and Utah. But lose badly at Michigan, Oregon and USC and this team probably doesn't believe and very easily would toss in the towell during tough moments in the five games above. I think CU is 4-4 after eight games and a team only two wins from a bowl that is starting to believe can do great things....course I don't think this one will. 4-8
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Damn I hate the end of your post. Goes against everything the program has been building the last 3 years. Agree they might be 4-4. But the belief the kids have in the program and in themselves shows. Fine line between hope and hype, I agree. Also a fine line between realism and pessimism. Don't be a ****ing pess.
 
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CULifer said:
Damn I hate the end of your post. Goes against everything the program has been building the last 3 years. Agree they might be 4-4. But the belief the kids have in the program and in themselves shows. Fine line between hope and hype, I agree. Also a fine line between realism and pessimism. Don't be a ****ing pess.
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Optimist/Pessimist/Realist.....you're right, there is a fine line. This being koolaid season I am sure my comments seem pessimistic. I do think CU has a chance to win 7 of the 12 games they play.
 
CitizenKane said:
Optimist/Pessimist/Realist.....you're right, there is a fine line. This being koolaid season I am sure my comments seem pessimistic. I do think CU has a chance to win 7 of the 12 games they play.
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What do people mean when they say things like that? Does it mean there are 5 games you have circled that you're not going to bother watching because there's no hope? Or do you mean "highly unlikely" to get a win?
 
Buffnik said:
What do people mean when they say things like that? Does it mean there are 5 games you have circled that you're not going to bother watching because there's no hope? Or do you mean "highly unlikely" to get a win?
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Well, if you go by the Vegas Odds "Methodology" of predicting W/L, USC, Stanford, UCLA, Michigan and Oregon are what some people call, "Sure Losses".
 
TSchekler said:
Well, if you go by the Vegas Odds "Methodology" of predicting W/L, USC, Stanford, UCLA, Michigan and Oregon are what some people call, "Sure Losses".
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TSheck understood my meaning. The only game I would add to the list is the Washington State game. They were greatly improved last year and every indication is they will compete for the PAC title this year.
 
I first checked for a 5-7 record. Then I drank more Kool-aid. Now I'm drunkenly saying 7-6, with a win in a lower tier bowl against a non P5 team. I think many little things will contribute to a better season. Maybe the biggest is the coaching, including changes. Chev will bring needed changes in offensive scheming and strategy, which will also include adding difficulty to opposing teams scouting reports. His excitement and motivating will help. One more year of Leavitt's most excellent improvement on defense. And no more special teams SNAFU's, e.g., Hawaii. Diego improving his left hash kicking. The team and individuals are more mature and experienced. I think just a few key defensive stoppages on 3rd down and offensive 3rd down conversions will help decide close games they lost last year. The coaching and team, and the QB (hope Sefo doesn't get injured again), improvements and changes will lead to much better red zone success. I know . . . . my hope here is overwhelming reality.
 
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I don't see any road wins (historical likelihood excluding last year's squeaker) and it seems unlikely we'll sweep at home. This leaves me with a best-case 6-6, so that's what I'm hoping for.

Now getting by Michigan somehow would change everything...
 
Is brian lindgren still calling plays? Is mac lite still managing the games? Then Im assuming we will find a way to lose against anybody decent until we prove otherwise. I very much hope that Im proven wrong.
 
CitizenKane said:
TSheck understood my meaning. The only game I would add to the list is the Washington State game. They were greatly improved last year and every indication is they will compete for the PAC title this year.
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Fair enough, I didn't take issue with your 4-8 prediction. Took issue with the idea that the team would not start to believe after a 4-4 start. Regardless of the remaining schedule after a hypothetical 4-4 start, I believe the herd will approach each game this year with a 'can-win' attitude, just like I saw last year. I recognize I may be wrong, but I've found the team's belief in each other and the program to be quite resilient in spite of the results these past years.
 
CULifer said:
Fair enough, I didn't take issue with your 4-8 prediction. Took issue with the idea that the team would not start to believe after a 4-4 start. Regardless of the remaining schedule after a hypothetical 4-4 start, I believe the herd will approach each game this year with a 'can-win' attitude, just like I saw last year. I recognize I may be wrong, but I've found the team's belief in each other and the program to be quite resilient in spite of the results these past years.
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You make a fair point, if there was ever a time for this team to start to believe it would be after winning four games with four still to play.
 
Head says 5-7 record, but I like the way our schedule sets up outside of visiting Ann Arbor instead of facing someone like Indiana. Just give us a chance at minimum at bowl eligibility with the final 2 game home stand. We need to be at the point where beating Wazzu and Utah at home isn't exactly murderer's row. If we're 5-6 with Utah at home all that's between us and a bowl, we're 9 years overdue to not **** that up.
 
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