I think that this mostly comes down to where a HC is most likely to be able to have a ton of success that leads to a major P5 job. We've seen certain programs prove it -- they have the infrastructure and recruiting footprint to win big.
For me:
1. UCF (much bigger school than most P5 members, elite recruiting grounds and all sorts of new facilities plus they pay well and have shown they can win major bowls against P5)
2. Houston (basically Texas's version of UCF)
3. Memphis (every Memphis HC going back a good number of years has parlayed the job into major P5 opportunities)
4. Boise State (the most successful G5 program in the country for the past 2 decades with every HC since they went D1 getting a P5 HC job)
5. Cincinnati (Ohio recruiting grounds with a program that just missed out -- pretty much on the same level as Louisville and others that have gotten the invite to move up)
Honorable mention to USF, SMU, BYU and Temple which all can make very strong cases for being in that Top 5.
For me:
1. UCF (much bigger school than most P5 members, elite recruiting grounds and all sorts of new facilities plus they pay well and have shown they can win major bowls against P5)
2. Houston (basically Texas's version of UCF)
3. Memphis (every Memphis HC going back a good number of years has parlayed the job into major P5 opportunities)
4. Boise State (the most successful G5 program in the country for the past 2 decades with every HC since they went D1 getting a P5 HC job)
5. Cincinnati (Ohio recruiting grounds with a program that just missed out -- pretty much on the same level as Louisville and others that have gotten the invite to move up)
Honorable mention to USF, SMU, BYU and Temple which all can make very strong cases for being in that Top 5.
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