First round is on campus sites
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Under the current system, does anyone know if the conference champ outside #1-4 is automatically slotted #5 thus playing #12 in this 5 +7 format?? That would mean that they get a home game correct? Does Notre Dame have any inside path to the #5, since they are not in a conference. Just based on overall SOS, I would imagine the G5 champion would likely be outside the #1-4, just viewing past seasons rankings--(IMO, Notre Dame is the only exception). If so, I think that #5 for the G5 auto-Q would be cool, as it will keep the G5 more relevant, the G5 could really market their campus and conference, and it should enhance chances at home win or a close competitive game. I would still think a G5 would still be a significant underdog even playing at home.
Also, I'll be very interested to see how the QF's shake out. They have 10 days between 1st and 2nd round, but 2-4 of those will be pretty much off/travel days for the 1st round winner depending on if they were home or away team. I imagine a home team would stay on campus to practice with their established/known infrastructure (weight room, PT/trainer facilities, own practice field, film room, meeting rooms, coaches rooms, film stuff, maybe extra staff, etc...) and I think the same would hold true for a visiting team, rather than venturing into the unknown at the QF location to recover, game study, and practice.
I surmise the already auto-Q QF team will get some great recent film from the 1st round game (outside an early blowout, no reason for the teams not to play their full-playbook), not be banged up, defintely only travel once, and might be able to travel to the QF location a few days earlier than the opponent, if they are allowed to do so. Thus, I predict
huge advantage to the QF auto-qualifier. I'll be very interested to see if these games are close and/or how many upsets. Given the roster disparity, see my post above re: FPI rankings, I could envision an non-auto Q SEC team being truly favored (maybe a 1 loss B1G teams out of their big 3 teams, Clemson, FSU). However, it think 1-3 of the games will be heavily favored toward the Auto-Q, 1-2 would be pick em' game at best, a G5 that wins in round 1 up and comer (or two loss team), I would imagine to be a heavy underdog. With most P-4 conferences going away from Divisions but keeping the championship game--then Non Auto Q would be coming off a recent loss.
Overall, I really like the new system. I think that it gives more opportunities, but sort of doubt it will play out with ultra-competitive/great games like the Men's 64--with a cinderella advancing to the semis or NCG. However, that is why they play the games and upsets do occur. I'm not sure what impact it will have on the other bowls--i.e. more player opt-outs to preserve NFL stock/avoid injury. Also, NFL caliber players looking at a playoff with 4 games on a team is an underdog (or even severe underdog) sounds like an uphill battle with substantial risk, thus maybe intice more opt-outs, certainly more than teams with 3 games where the team looks to be favored in 1-2 of those games--thus players feel a NC ring is a truly achievable. I just think a player's view (plus now their advisor/agent) of those games is absent being a clear favorite, they will be extrelemy physically taxing games with more significant potential for huge wear/tear, injury or going out with a poor performance. However, team cohesion may mitigate that to a degree.
Food for thought. For what it is worth.
Go Buffs!!-- a breakout season, "all the coaching and player peices fall perfectly together," CU gets extremely hot late in the season and somehow wins the B-12 championship.