I think you may be onto something. I think we're going to beat TCU. They weren't very good on the road last year, and Dykes bringing the air raid from one end of the metroplex to the other means this is a transition year. Air Force isn't happening. We were probably more talented than they were in 2019, and its probably the same scenario this year. They win for two reasons-One, they run an offense that nobody outside of Navy and Army use. Two, they're more disciplined than everybody they play. They should have probably beaten us by 14-17 points at a minimum here in '19. We could not stop them at all. Felt like they were getting 5-7 per rush attempt. I don't think we get embarrassed, but I do think we get beat.
Conference play you're right on too-I think we probably should beat both the Arizona schools. They're paying for the COVID recruiting **** now. Herm's probably out after this year. Arizona's a year away I think. Cal? If we can the 5.5 ppg improvement you mention.....that's a winnable game too. Same with UCLA and Oregon State. Washington's not likely, and I don't see any chance at beating Oregon/USC/Utah.
Most likely scenario is a record that is close to the 4-8 last year, but one that they'll sell as progress because of better offense.