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Official Allbuffs 2021 gambling thread

ahoelsken said:
Got my season bets in tonight-I've got the following:

1. ****braska Under 6-There's no way they hit that number even if everything goes right for them. I don't get why they're getting a touchdown against Illinois. Illinois pasted them last year.
2. Arizona Under 2.5-I think they're gonna beat Northern Arizona. Other than that, I could see them stealing a game somewhere (San Diego State or Cal maybe?) but that's it.
3. Tennessee Over 6-I think they're going 7-5. Their toughest OOC game is against Pitt, and that's at home. They play Vandy. That's a sure W. I can find another couple wins there-South Carolina, Missouri, Ole Miss possible.
4. Titans to win the AFC South-Their only competition for their division is the Colts. Can you trust a team QB'd by Carson Wentz right now? I sure as **** don't.
5. Might go under on the Eagles-Nick Sirianni seems like he's in over his head, but I could spend too much time listening to Schlereth and Evans mock him regularly....I don't know.

Looking at week 0 in CFB:

Illinois-****braska: Am I the only one who thinks Illinois +7 is free money?
UCLA-Hawaii: Watching the line for now.... UCLA -10 now. If it drops, I'm gonna hammer it. Hawaii's awful off the islands.
UConn-Fresno State: UConn sat last year. This game seems like a spot where an under's an excellent play, but I could be wrong.
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onealcd said:
I would stay away from Tennessee. That program is a disaster right now.
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Agreed about staying away from Tennessee - over 6 isn't likely. Pitt is actually pretty good so I wouldn't count that as a win. They do also have S. Alabama on the schedule but even with that there's 3 wins in non-conference plus Vandy. They're not beating Ole Miss. After that they probably get 1 out of UK, Missouri and South Carolina. So I'd put the Vols at 5 wins, 6 tops.

I actually think Nebraska beats Illinois which would likely lead to a 3-0 start but under 6 is probably still safe although I think MSU, Purdue and Northwestern are all winnable games for them. And possibly even Michigan if the wheels come off for the Wolverines.
 
CarolinaBuff said:
Agreed about staying away from Tennessee - over 6 isn't likely. Pitt is actually pretty good so I wouldn't count that as a win. They do also have S. Alabama on the schedule but even with that there's 3 wins in non-conference plus Vandy. They're not beating Ole Miss. After that they probably get 1 out of UK, Missouri and South Carolina. So I'd put the Vols at 5 wins, 6 tops.

I actually think ****braska beats Illinois which would likely lead to a 3-0 start but under 6 is probably still safe although I think MSU, Purdue and Northwestern are all winnable games for them. And possibly even Michigan if the wheels come off for the Wolverines.
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I'm not sure they're beating Illinois. Even if they do win, they're not covering. Illinois beat them by 3 touchdowns last year. They're not beating Northwestern IMO, even if NW turns out to be down. Pat Fitzgerald is the 2nd best coach in that league to Ryan Day right now. Northwestern's first four games are Michigan State, Indiana State, @Duke, and Ohio. That's soft as ****. They're going to be undefeated going into Lincoln on 10/2. Make that 5-0. Purdue and Michigan State are winnable sure. This Michigan team might be defined by that Washington game on 9/11-and that's a game that program badly needs. Lose that and the wheels come off IMO......still think they're beating Nebraska either way.

I have a very small wager on the TN over-good enough odds to where I feel like a small risk was worth it.
 
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ahoelsken said:
Got my season bets in tonight-I've got the following:

1. ****braska Under 6-There's no way they hit that number even if everything goes right for them. I don't get why they're getting a touchdown against Illinois. Illinois pasted them last year.
2. Arizona Under 2.5-I think they're gonna beat Northern Arizona. Other than that, I could see them stealing a game somewhere (San Diego State or Cal maybe?) but that's it.
3. Tennessee Over 6-I think they're going 7-5. Their toughest OOC game is against Pitt, and that's at home. They play Vandy. That's a sure W. I can find another couple wins there-South Carolina, Missouri, Ole Miss possible.
4. Titans to win the AFC South-Their only competition for their division is the Colts. Can you trust a team QB'd by Carson Wentz right now? I sure as **** don't.
5. Might go under on the Eagles-Nick Sirianni seems like he's in over his head, but I could spend too much time listening to Schlereth and Evans mock him regularly....I don't know.

Looking at week 0 in CFB:

Illinois-****braska: Am I the only one who thinks Illinois +7 is free money?
UCLA-Hawaii: Watching the line for now.... UCLA -10 now. If it drops, I'm gonna hammer it. Hawaii's awful off the islands.
UConn-Fresno State: UConn sat last year. This game seems like a spot where an under's an excellent play, but I could be wrong.
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I’m on Illinois. Waiting for 7+
 
ahoelsken said:
I will be too but I'm waiting for @BuffSurveyor and the rest of his ilk to up that spread a couple more points :ROFLMAO:
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+7 is maybe right. LOL! Who knows what the spread will be by game time with the NCAA investigation going on? The Illinois game will be interesting. Could go either way. With the schedule, I'd say 6 wins is about right. And with the new AD 6 convincing wins is HCSF's floor, or he may be gone.
 
BuffSurveyor said:
+7 is maybe right. LOL! Who knows what the spread will be by game time with the NCAA investigation going on? The Illinois game will be interesting. Could go either way. With the schedule, I'd say 6 wins is about right. And with the new AD 6 convincing wins is HCSF's floor, or he may be gone.
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Two things-One, you owe Frost....$25m if you want to fire him after this year? Good luck with that. Two, you shouldn't be favored against anybody in your league-how quickly Vegas forgot about Illinois coming into Lincoln and kicking your sorry asses last year.

Thinking about a couple things for next weekend-I like the UConn-Fresno Under. Total's 62.5, and its too high to at least me because UConn sat last year. Following the Hawaii-UCLA total. 70.5 seems a little high for week 0.
 
DraftKings has 3 survivor pools and a pick em contest for the NFL this year.
Looks like the superbook is pushing for a 2022 contest for Colorado.
 
I think I'd catch **** about my avatar in this thread if I didn't add the under on Philly lol. Did tonight. Pointsbet is giving any new subscriber who deposits $30 $300 in free bets.
 
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My 1st football bet of the season. (I lost the 2nd, but it was only $5)

Win - 3 Team Parlay
  • Houston Texans +3.5 (-110)Houston Texans @ Dallas Cowboys
  • Denver Broncos -4.5 (-110)Denver Broncos @ Seattle Seahawks
  • Carolina Panthers - 1H +2.5 (-105)Baltimore Ravens @ Carolina Panthers
 
Anyone jumping on ucla -17 this weekend? I would ask Manhattan but he clearly has me on ignore lol
 
Bill Cody said:
I've considered early season fUCLA to be a dangerous play. They come out sloppy as hell in the first few games more often than not. That being said, I have no idea how good UH is supposed to be.
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Yep. Chip has been awful in first games since he has been at UCLA. I'd stay way away from them in this first game.

Holgorsen has completely flipped that roster so who knows what they've got this year.
 
Nebraska under 6.5 wins
Jags under 7 wins.
I have Mets to miss the playoffs and that is looking better.

Thoughts on eagles under 6.5 it’s +130 on draft kings. Or falcons under 7.5 for +115.
 
patebuff said:
Yep. Chip has been awful in first games since he has been at UCLA. I'd stay way away from them in this first game.

Holgorsen has completely flipped that roster so who knows what they've got this year.
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Chip also had very very young teams his first couple of seasons and now he has built a decent team for the first time since being there. They had some turnovers against the buffs last year but who knows how much they were actually able to practice due to covid and being in california. After they played us they went and almost beat oregon on the road with a backup QB.
 
onealcd said:
Chip also had very very young teams his first couple of seasons and now he has built a decent team for the first time since being there. They had some turnovers against the buffs last year but who knows how much they were actually able to practice due to covid and being in california. After they played us they went and almost beat oregon on the road with a backup QB.
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Yeah, his teams have gotten better as the season progressed. This is by far his best team, so if they are barely a bowl game or worst, I think UCLA will move on.
 
patebuff said:
Yeah, his teams have gotten better as the season progressed. This is by far his best team, so if they are barely a bowl game or worst, I think UCLA will move on.
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He had a great idea, and an insight that upended the game.

The rest of the game caught up, and new ideas are really hard to find.
 
KC was -4.5 for the game, and for the 1st half, but only -.5 for the 1st Q. I don't get a line on the Buff game. I'm thinking a little sympathy for UNC, Buffs by 21.

Win - Single
  • Kansas City Chiefs - Q1 -0.5 (-120)Minnesota Vikings @ Kansas City Chiefs
 
rscmac said:
****braska under 6.5 wins
Jags under 7 wins.
I have Mets to miss the playoffs and that is looking better.

Thoughts on eagles under 6.5 it’s +130 on draft kings. Or falcons under 7.5 for +115.
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I have the Eagles under-Nick Sirianni is going to make Vic Fangio look like Vince Lombardi. That team isn't good and he's a dumbass.
 
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Made a little $50 hate bet before the Nebraska safety - parlayed Illinois to win and under 48.5 @ +367.

Hope I don't regret it. I usually put a lot more thought into these things, but f corn.

In Fat Bielema I trust.
 
GoBeers said:
Made a little $50 hate bet before the ****braska safety - parlayed Illinois to win and under 48.5 @ +367.

Hope I don't regret it. I usually put a lot more thought into these things, but f corn.

In Fat Bielema I trust.
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I got 55 when I placed my bet on Wednesday night. Gotta jump on this **** lol
 
Already watching the LSU-UCLA total for next week-my guess is LSU football has evacuated because of Hurricane Ida, but I haven't seen anything official. UCLA and the points might be a good bet.
 
PSA - Barstool Sports has an excellent sign up offer now. $1000 site credit if your first bet of $1000 loses. Unlike a lot of other sites, this is not a 'free bet', so it's worth a lot more (basically double).

Fan Duel is similar in that they give $1000 in site credit w/ a first bet loss instead of a free bet. So if you haven't signed up for them yet either, drop $1000 into both, bet $1000 on both side of any game today. One wins, One loses.. so you should have about $1950 cash, and you have $1000 of free betting credit to throw down on anything you like.

I'm pretty sure the sportsbooks don't like this style of betting, so this message may self destruct in 24 hours.
 
ahoelsken said:
I got 55 when I placed my bet on Wednesday night. Gotta jump on this **** lol
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I know, should have had some foresight! Live betting is a doozy- that under was bouncing around like crazy and they build in a delay which meant a few bets didn't go through. It's not like I think ill of Nebraska every second of the day, but seeing scott frost's face made me want through down a few $$$, and seeing martinez throw wobblers conformed to me that offense is garbage.
 
GoBeers said:
I know, should have had some foresight! Live betting is a doozy- that under was bouncing around like crazy and they build in a delay which meant a few bets didn't go through. It's not like I think ill of ****braska every second of the day, but seeing scott frost's face made me want through down a few $$$, and seeing martinez throw wobblers conformed to me that offense is garbage.
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lol I had been planning on betting Illinois here since like June-Illinois has a fair amount of experience and kicked their ass last year
 
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