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Official CFP Selection Freakout Thread
- Thread starter Alfred91
- Start date
Nah, Texas will be in.
Are you asking the odds of this happening? I’d say a healthy 25-30%. Perhaps more, especially if Louisville wins.
UMich nice recent win over tOSU, gonna whip Iowa
UDub wins the best conference and is 13-0.
Bama handed UGA its first loss in years in a close game and team mightily improved in home stretch.
UGA has not lost much at all and lost a close one in a CCG.
Texas gets a T&P note from the committee…
I edited my post. For some reason I included Texas in the first and not in the second
hawg1
Well-Known Member
This is my FF even if FSU wins.
No chance. Keeping a 13-0 conference champ out in favor of a Bama team that needed a Hail Mary to beat mediocre Auburn would be a travesty. For once, the SEC can canabalize itself
Yes, asking odds of happening.
More specifically, was wondering if you would price a bet you'd be willing to make.
I was fully expecting an Oceans Eleven "no bet" response.
Alabama got a lot better as the year went along.
SEC is a better conference than the Big 12.
UGA would be favored against UT in a neutral site game.
Hot take with some plausability.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
That’s fair. Who would be favored, Bama or FSU? UGA or FSU? OSU or FSU? Just truth to find the four best.
Yup, instead let's put in an FSU team that by the way needed to hold on against a mediocre BC team.
Ok, but they didn’t lose a game like Alabama did
Let's shoehorn in the SEC team that barely beat USF around the same time, and barely beat Auburn.
I get it, the self fulfilling prophecy of the SEC being the best every year must continue!
If FSU wins, you absolutely can’t punish an undefeated team because their QB got hurt. They will have won 2 games without him if they win tonight.
FSU win =
Michigan
Washington
Texas
FSU
FSU loss =
Michigan
Washington
Texas
Bama
I would be overjoyed at the SEC being left out
FSU win =
Michigan
Washington
Texas
FSU
FSU loss =
Michigan
Washington
Texas
Bama
I would be overjoyed at the SEC being left out
Agreed that the SEC is better than the Big 12 this year but that doesn't matter because UT beat Bama at their place. And Texas has closed out very well the past 2 weeks with big wins.
The big argument will be Bama or FSU if the Noles win tonight. FSU is 2-0 against the SEC with an impressive win against LSU but Alabama also beat LSU. FSU's win against a Florida team that isn't even bowl eligible doesn't mean a whole lot. Alabama was 3-1 against the top 25 coming into today and FSU was 2-1, both will get top 25 wins today with an FSU win. I just think Alabama's win over #1 Georgia will put them over the top.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
Not at all. Just asking you who would be favored vs FSU.
Who was favored in Oregon vs Washington?
You guys (Duff, UK) love this self-fulfilling prophecy phrase but how does winning big games on the field translate into a self-fulfilling prophecy? I've said that Texas should get in ahead of Alabama. FSU I just don't see, unless you want to take the easy route and just go with records. In which case let's talk about putting Libery in the CFP.
FSU is not the same team without Travis. Their backup is also hobbled.
Texas beating Alabama is why the scenario I outlined is an underdog, but not as much of an underdog as people think. This committee is not rational.
I get it. Without Travis, FSU is a dog to any of those programs. In this scenario, though, they are an undefeated P5 champ. This “best 4” narrative is bull****.
It’s not a narrative. It is the core value of the CFP, LLC.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
An upset happened. We know the results. If you don’t want to project favs, take power ratings.
hawg1
Well-Known Member
The best four is the charter. It’s not BS.
They included Cincinnati a couple years ago. They say that’s their core value, but always revert to the 4 most justifiable teams.
I understand what the company line is
Bingo
Then you're advocating for Ohio State this year.
It will happen at the cut line, but it will be excluding flawed teams with flawed resumes instead of trying to split hairs on whether a minorly flawed resume is more important than the teams minor flaws.