There is way too much emotion and way too little direct knowledge of various coaches for us to be driving who is hired as a coach. We also tend to suffer from recency bias.
Case in point - the OC we were mostly hating two weeks ago is now a viable HC candidate because we scored 20 points (with 7 in OT) but had a complete turnaround on defense to get a win with him serving as HC? Come on, man.
Walters is having a great DC year so far this season. But he isn't being mentioned for a single other P5 job. Why? He's only 36 years old and never been a HC. The records of teams while he's been DC for Mizzou and Illini are: 4-8, 7-5, 8-6, 6-6, 5-5, 5-7, 6-1. No reputation of being a great recruiter, but respected as a young DC to watch. Recency bias + emotion of being a Buff legacy at play here. How many hot, young coordinators have we seen take over a G5 HC job and fail because running your own program is a different job and a damn hard one? That's what happened to Sanford's career when he struggled as HC at WKU. But we downgrade Rahne because he's had a mediocre record building a G5 at ODU instead of remaining as OC at Penn State and not showing & growing his abilities as a HC running his own show?
Sanford isn't the guy (unless he does something crazy like get us bowl eligiable this year).
Walters isn't the guy this year but could be our next hire. Only way that changes is if Illinois wins the Big Ten West and finishes with a Top 10 defense nationally - and that would still be a high-risk hire at a time when CU can't afford a mistake.
In sum, we should hire a search firm and utilize an objective 3rd party with knowledge and no emotional bias to present the best options within a set of resume guidelines we're looking for.
The criteria I want:
1. Either is the top guy from a coaching tree which has had success at a similar university or is at least someone from one of the upper branches. Someone who can build CU on a model of a program we aspire to be.
2. Very recent college experience at the highest levels so has a great awareness of the challenges & opportunities presented by NIL, new transfer rules, and budget inequalities - and a plan for how CU can successfully compete in this environment.
3. Charisma, energy and gravitas to be able to attract & inspire young people, attract & mentor a staff, and rally media, boosters, community and other program stakeholders to the cause.
To me, this means starting with #1 with someone from the Petersen, Stoops, Meyer, Saban, Harbaugh or Franklin coaching trees - and expanding or contracting that based on whether any of those program cultures don't fit CU or whether there are others which would. This does not, I believe, mean that you only look at guys with HC experience. If you limit yourself to that, you'd be like a hypothetical Georgia which identified Bama as the model to aspire to which fit its university culture - but refused to hire Kirby Smart because he'd never been a HC. Or, on another criteria I think is irrelevant - if Georgia had refused to hire Smart because they were going outside for a new program model and he was blackballed due to being a former UGA player and assistant.
Have criteria. But those criteria can't be based on irrelevant limitations based on emotion or recency bias of "Buff legacy didn't work out the last 2 times."
#2 & #3 flow from there. Those are the ones which I can't evaluate well as a fan and would be revealed in the interview process.
Fwiw, I think the Petersen, Harbaugh and Franklin (Edit: also Alvarez) organizations are the most compatible with CU and that if we go outside of that then the guys whose success may translate most readily are Bronco and Grimes.